[House Hearing, 110 Congress] [From the U.S. Government Publishing Office] THE FUTURE OF AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL MODERNIZATION ======================================================================= (110-40) HEARING BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON AVIATION OF THE COMMITTEE ON TRANSPORTATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ONE HUNDRED TENTH CONGRESS FIRST SESSION __________ MAY 9, 2007 __________ Printed for the use of the Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 35-922 PDF WASHINGTON DC: 2007 --------------------------------------------------------------------- For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866)512-1800 DC area (202)512-1800 Fax: (202) 512-2250 Mail Stop SSOP, Washington, DC 20402-0001 COMMITTEE ON TRANSPORTATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE JAMES L. OBERSTAR, Minnesota, Chairman NICK J. RAHALL, II, West Virginia JOHN L. MICA, Florida PETER A. DeFAZIO, Oregon DON YOUNG, Alaska JERRY F. COSTELLO, Illinois THOMAS E. PETRI, Wisconsin ELEANOR HOLMES NORTON, District of HOWARD COBLE, North Carolina Columbia JOHN J. DUNCAN, Jr., Tennessee JERROLD NADLER, New York WAYNE T. GILCHREST, Maryland CORRINE BROWN, Florida VERNON J. EHLERS, Michigan BOB FILNER, California STEVEN C. LaTOURETTE, Ohio EDDIE BERNICE JOHNSON, Texas RICHARD H. BAKER, Louisiana GENE TAYLOR, Mississippi FRANK A. LoBIONDO, New Jersey ELIJAH E. CUMMINGS, Maryland JERRY MORAN, Kansas ELLEN O. TAUSCHER, California GARY G. MILLER, California LEONARD L. BOSWELL, Iowa ROBIN HAYES, North Carolina TIM HOLDEN, Pennsylvania HENRY E. BROWN, Jr., South BRIAN BAIRD, Washington Carolina RICK LARSEN, Washington TIMOTHY V. JOHNSON, Illinois MICHAEL E. CAPUANO, Massachusetts TODD RUSSELL PLATTS, Pennsylvania JULIA CARSON, Indiana SAM GRAVES, Missouri TIMOTHY H. BISHOP, New York BILL SHUSTER, Pennsylvania MICHAEL H. MICHAUD, Maine JOHN BOOZMAN, Arkansas BRIAN HIGGINS, New York SHELLEY MOORE CAPITO, West RUSS CARNAHAN, Missouri Virginia JOHN T. SALAZAR, Colorado JIM GERLACH, Pennsylvania GRACE F. NAPOLITANO, California MARIO DIAZ-BALART, Florida DANIEL LIPINSKI, Illinois CHARLES W. DENT, Pennsylvania DORIS O. MATSUI, California TED POE, Texas NICK LAMPSON, Texas DAVID G. REICHERT, Washington ZACHARY T. SPACE, Ohio CONNIE MACK, Florida MAZIE K. HIRONO, Hawaii JOHN R. `RANDY' KUHL, Jr., New BRUCE L. BRALEY, Iowa York JASON ALTMIRE, Pennsylvania LYNN A WESTMORELAND, Georgia TIMOTHY J. WALZ, Minnesota CHARLES W. BOUSTANY, Jr., HEATH SHULER, North Carolina Louisiana MICHAEL A. ACURI, New York JEAN SCHMIDT, Ohio HARRY E. MITCHELL, Arizona CANDICE S. MILLER, Michigan CHRISTOPHER P. CARNEY, Pennsylvania THELMA D. DRAKE, Virginia JOHN J. HALL, New York MARY FALLIN, Oklahoma STEVE KAGEN, Wisconsin VERN BUCHANAN, Florida STEVE COHEN, Tennessee JERRY McNERNEY, California VACANCY (ii) Subcommittee on Aviation JERRY F. COSTELLO, Illinois, Chairman BOB FILNER, California THOMAS E. PETRI, Wisconsin LEONARD L. BOSWELL, Iowa HOWARD COBLE, North Carolina RICK LARSEN, Washington JOHN J. DUNCAN, Jr., Tennessee RUSS CARNAHAN, Missouri VERNON J. EHLERS, Michigan JOHN T. SALAZAR, Colorado STEVEN C. LaTOURETTE, Ohio DANIEL LIPINSKI, Illinois FRANK A. LoBIONDO, New Jersey NICK LAMPSON, Texas JERRY MORAN, Kansas ZACHARY T. SPACE, Ohio ROBIN HAYES, North Carolina BRUCE L. BRALEY, Iowa SAM GRAVES, Missouri HARRY E. MITCHELL, Arizona JOHN BOOZMAN, Arkansas JOHN J. HALL, New York SHELLEY MOORE CAPITO, West STEVE KAGEN, Wisconsin Virginia STEVE COHEN, Tennessee JIM GERLACH, Pennsylvania NICK J. RAHALL, II, West Virginia MARIO DIAZ-BALART, Florida PETER A. DeFAZIO, Oregon CHARLES W. DENT, Pennsylvania ELEANOR HOLMES NORTON, District of TED POE, Texas Columbia DAVID G. REICHERT, Washington CORRINE BROWN, Florida CONNIE MACK, Florida EDDIE BERNICE JOHNSON, Texas JOHN R. `RANDY' KUHL, Jr., New ELLEN O. TAUSCHER, California York TIM HOLDEN, Pennsylvania LYNN A WESTMORELAND, Georgia MICHAEL E. CAPUANO, Massachusetts MARY FALLIN, Oklahoma DORIS O. MATSUI, California VERN BUCHANAN, Florida MAZIE K. HIRONO, Hawaii JOHN L. MICA, Florida VACANCY (Ex Officio) JAMES L. OBERSTAR, Minnesota (Ex Officio) (iii) CONTENTS Page Summary of Subject Matter........................................ vi TESTIMONY Brantley, Thomas, President, Professional Airways Systems Specialists.................................................... 35 Bunce, Peter J., President and CEO, General Aviation Manufacturers Association...................................... 35 Dillingham, Ph.D., Gerald, Director, Physical Infrastructure Issues, U.S. Government Accountability Office.................. 7 Frederick-Recascino, Ph.D., Christina, Interim Provost and Director of Research, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University..... 35 Leader, Charles A., Director, Joint Planning and Development Office, Next Generation Air Transportation System.............. 7 Romanowski, Michael, Vice President of Civil Aviation, Aerospace Industries Association......................................... 35 Scovel, III, Hon. Calvin L., Inspector General, U.S. Department of Transportation.............................................. 7 Sinha, Agam N., Senior Vice President and General Manager, Center for Advanced Aviation System Development, Mitre................ 7 Sturgell, Robert, Deputy Administrator and Interim Chief Operating Officer, Air Traffic Organization, Federal Aviation Administration................................................. 7 PREPARED STATEMENTS SUBMITTED BY MEMBERS OF CONGRESS Braley, Hon. Bruce L., of Iowa................................... 47 Carnahan, Hon. Russ, of Missouri................................. 50 Mitchell, Hon. Harry E., of Arizona.............................. 52 Salazar, Hon. John T., of Colorado............................... 56 PREPARED STATEMENTS SUBMITTED BY WITNESSES Brantley, Tom.................................................... 58 Bruce, Peter J................................................... 76 Dillingham, Ph.D., Gerald L...................................... 84 Frederick-Recascino, Ph.D., Christina............................ 135 Romanowski, Michael.............................................. 139 Scovel III, Calvin L............................................. 146 Sinha, Agam N.................................................... 166 Sturgell, Robert, and Leader, Charles, joint statement........... 173 SUBMISSION FOR THE RECORD Brantley, Thomas, President, Professional Airways Systems Specialists, response to questions from the Subcommittee....... 70 Dillingham, Ph.D., Gerald, Director, Physical Infrastructure Issues, U.S. Government Accountability Office, response to questions from the Subcommittee................................ 116 Leader, Charles A., Director, Joint Planning and Development Office, Next Generation Air Transportation System, response to questions from the Subcommittee................................ 189 Sturgell, Robert, Deputy Administrator and Interim Chief Operating Officer, Air Traffic Organization, Federal Aviation Administration, response to questions from the Subcommittee.... 195 ADDITIONS TO THE RECORD Airports Council International-North America, written statement.. 203 [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] HEARING ON THE FUTURE OF AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL MODERNIZATION ---------- Wednesday, May 9, 2007, House of Representatives, Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure, Subcommittee on Aviation, Washington, DC. The subcommittee met, pursuant to call, at 10:00 a.m., in Room 2167, Rayburn House Office Building, the Honorable Jerry F. Costello [chairman of the subcommittee] presiding. Mr. Costello. The Subcommittee hearing will come to order. The Chair would ask all members, staff, and everyone in the room to turn off their electronic devices or put them on vibrate. The Subcommittee is meeting today to hear testimony on the future of the air traffic control modernization program. I will give my opening statement, recognize the Ranking Member, Mr. Petri, for his opening statement, call on other members for comments and remarks, and then we will get to our witnesses. I welcome everyone here this morning to our hearing on the future of the air traffic control modernization. A major part of the Administration's FAA reauthorization proposal is to overhaul and transform our ATC system. Some have suggested that the Administration's proposal puts the cart before the horse by emphasizing financing without fully explaining the Next Generation Air Transportation System. Today, the Administration will have the opportunity to explain its vision for the future. While I have differences with the Administration regarding financing, I agree that the ATC system must be modernized. The FAA's forecast that airlines are expected to carry more than 1 billion passengers by 2015, increasing from approximately 740 million in 2006. The Department of Transportation predicts up to a tripling of passengers, operations, and cargo by the year 2025. At the same time, the increased use of regional jets, the emergence of low-cost and new carriers, more point-to-point service, and the anticipated influx of very light jets, as well as other new users such as unmanned aerial systems and commercial space vehicles, are placing a new and different type of stress on the system. Under the current system, controller workload, radio frequency, voice congestion, and the coverage and accuracy of ground-based navigational signals impose limitations on capacity. The NextGen plan that is under development will consist of new concepts that rely on satellite-based capabilities, data communication, information, and weather capabilities that will support strategic decisions and enhanced automation. While it is imperative that Congress provide the funding to make NextGen happen, NextGen is not just about financing. We have learned from the past that the NextGen system must evolve incrementally through sound contract management by the FAA, coupled with vigorous congressional oversight. Further, everyone should know that the major capital requirements for NextGen will not entirely happen during this reauthorization cycle. As I have stated in the past, the FAA is requesting less capital funding during the three years of its new proposal than the FAA requested in the first three years of its last proposal. Moreover, the Administration must get a better grasp on long-term NextGen cost. Earlier this year, the Department of Transportation's Inspector General reported that there are still unknowns regarding NextGen's costs which will depend on, among other things, performance requirements for new automation, weather initiatives, and the extent to which the FAA intends to consolidate facilities. The IG has reported that in the past the FAA's major acquisitions have experienced billions of dollars of cost growth and years of schedule delays directly due to overly ambitious plans, complex software development, changing requirements, and poor contract management. The IG has also stated that the FAA must articulate a strategy for how it will mitigate past problems that have led to massive cost growth. For many years, the Government Accountability Office has consistently reported that failing to involve air traffic controllers in the technology development process to resolve tricky human factor issues has led to costly rework and delays. The IG has noted that the need for focused human factors research has important safety implications. Common sense would suggest that the people that will be using and maintaining this new technology should be involved in its development. Therefore, I am concerned that the GAO is now reporting that no current controllers or technicians are involved at the more detailed planning levels for NextGen. I look forward to hearing from our witnesses on this issue this morning. In addition, it is clear that the Administration envisions a major role for the private sector in the development and implementation of NextGen. For example, the FAA intends to structure its automated dependent surveillance broadcast acquisition, which will be the primary ATC surveillance system for the entire National Airspace System as a service contract or lease. Further, while Congress debates whether to allow the FAA to charge user fees, the FAA is considering allowing its ADS-B vendor to charge fees for services. I think this approach has serious implications, and it is time for Congress to engage in this decision. With that, I want to welcome all of our witnesses here today, and before I recognize Mr. Petri, our Ranking Member, for his opening statement or comments, I ask unanimous consent to allow two weeks for all members to revise and extend their remarks and to permit the submission of additional statements and materials by members and witnesses. Without objection, so ordered. At this time, the Chair recognizes our Ranking Member, Mr. Petri, for his opening statement or any comments that he may have. Mr. Petri. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. This Subcommittee first addressed the topic of today's hearing, air traffic control modernization, nearly a quarter century ago, during the first term of the Reagan Administration. Since then, the Federal Government has spent nearly $44 billion in taxpayer money on the quest to upgrade the Nation's air traffic control system. Until recently, the air traffic control modernization effort has been plagued by cost overruns, scheduling delays, and mismanagement. However, the FAA has vastly improved its track record over the last few years. I would like to commend the FAA Administrator Marion Blakey for her leadership and efforts to get the bulk of our air traffic control modernization programs back on time and on budget. Under the leadership of Administrator Blakey and the former Chief Operating Officer, Mr. Russell Chou, the air traffic organization has started to resemble the performance-based, value-driven organization that Congress envisaged. Both the GAO and the DOT Inspector General found that air traffic organization has made significant progress in meeting cost, schedule, and performance targets for its major air traffic control acquisition programs. However, if we fail to sustain this progress and make significant strides in modernizing our air traffic control system over the next decade, then I fear a meltdown of our Nation's air traffic control system is inevitable. Such a meltdown would cripple our Nation's economy, which stands to lose $30 billion annually due to people and products not reaching their destinations within the time periods that we expect currently. The need for air traffic control modernization is overwhelming. The FAA's recent forecast conference could not have made it any clearer: air transportation demand is growing and soon will be greater than today's system can handle. According to the FAA, domestic air passenger traffic will nearly double to 1 billion passengers annually by 2015 and swell to 1.5 billion passengers by 2025. It is a testament to the FAA's 50,000 employees that our air traffic control system has and continues to be the largest and the safest in the world. We must ensure that the system is modernized so that this record is continued. As we modernize, part of the benefit we expect will be the cost savings and cost avoidance associated with the closure of already outdated and redundant facilities. In light of political opposition to such closures, as evidenced by the reaction following FAA's proposal to consolidate certain radar stations, or TRACONs, I am interested in looking at the benefits of establishing a commission similar to the BRAC type process at the Department of Defense--which was set up by our colleague, Dick Armey, or at his suggestion some years ago--to evaluate and recommend closures based on the best efficiency and cost savings for the NAS. I look forward to hearing from today's witnesses on the current progress of the NextGen effort, as well as the plans for the future. Over the past six years, there were 11 Subcommittee oversight hearings related to the FAA's NextGen effort. As this effort moves forward, we must continue this oversight on what is a very complicated but very necessary effort. So I look forward to working with you, Mr. Chairman, as modernization advances in the months and the years ahead, and, with that, I yield back my time. Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks the gentleman and recognizes the gentleman from Iowa, Mr. Boswell. Mr. Boswell. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I would like to associate myself with what both you and Mr. Petri said. I don't have a prepared statement, but I would like to say this to our people sharing with us at the table. Talk to us straight about what we really need. I hear all this talk about NextGen, but I haven't seen anything that would make me think that we have actually something that is moving, except we are talking about it. Everybody would agree that we have to modernize and upgrade and have more capacity. I think that is understandable, but I don't hear any proposal that would make it sound like we are actually at some step level of what we are going to put on the table. Also, I would hope that as you differentiate your responsibilities, do we have adequate funding; is it working? Is the trust fund in that bad a shape and is it adequate to do the things that we are talking about at this point based on what we know, or is there a shortfall? Are we trying to use all of this or are some people are advocating for doing everything they seem to be able to think of doing to advocate for the user fee. I think it is pretty clever what happened over in the Senate. Pretty clever, trying to separate the general aviation community, and I just don't want you to think that some of us haven't noticed that. I would hope we don't go down that slope, that we try to work out some feasible, reasonable, working together to maintain the safety and to keep the economy of our general aviation going, and not see situations where we just turn that major source of our economy in this Country down like we have seen it happen in other places around the world. So I hope you include that in some of your remarks. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Costello. We thank you. The Chair, at this time, recognizes Dr. Ehlers. Mr. Ehlers. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I will be brief, but I just want to go back some time. It is one of the few advantages of being older, you know. Back to 1956, when I was graduating from the University of California at Berkeley, I was elected to the Sigma Psi Honors Society. At the induction we had a speaker, a professor of transportation, who outlined why this Nation needed an air traffic control system to handle the transcontinental flights or the intercontinental flights. He pointed out very clearly and mathematically that, very likely, two heavily loaded airliners would collide in midair somewhere over this Country at some point in the next year, and in fact it happened. We all remember the crash over the Grand Canyon. Two major airliners went down with the loss of all lives. That was the beginning of our good national air traffic control system. I don't know why people tend not to react until the crisis has occurred, but this is a good example why we have to have an improved air traffic control system now, to avoid the tragedies of the future. I applaud the FAA for tackling this problem. I hope to give them all the support possible. I hope they can develop a good system that is workable for all classes of airplanes, at all times, at reasonable cost, and I hope we can achieve those objectives. With that, I will yield back. Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks the gentleman and recognizes the gentleman from Colorado, Mr. Salazar. Mr. Salazar. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Over the past several months, we have had multiple hearings on FAA reauthorization. I would like to associate myself with Congressman Boswell's comments on the importance of general aviation and I believe the impact user fees would have on general aviation. I appreciate that we are holding this hearing today on the issue of future air traffic control modernization and transformation of the NextGen. Our Nation's air traffic management system must be sufficiently updated to meet future needs, and I believe the Administration has yet to provide concrete details on how exactly it proposes to get there. While we wait, we continue to have problems. Problems continue to arise and demand, I think, immediate attention. In Colorado, there has been a need to solve airspace surveillance issues now because we didn't have time to wait for the ADS to be implemented. The result was that the Colorado- wide area multilateration system, which is funded by the State of Colorado, will be maintained by the FAA after installation. It solves our current problems for today, but it will be upgraded to solve the problems of tomorrow when ADS is functional and the aircraft are equipped to use this technology. The FAA should provide Congress with a comprehensive plan to determine what specifically the NextGen system will entail. Another instance of the FAA coming across as being, I believe, a little less than forthcoming, is with their poorly defined plan to realign, consolidate, co-locate, and close some of their facilities and services. I do appreciate the FAA looking to improve its cost control efforts, but I am concerned with some of their proposed changes and whether it would do more harm than good. I have had numerous conversations with the FAA on the matter of consolidating TRACONs. There have been rumors that the FAA intends to co-locate or consolidate the public TRACON either to Colorado Springs or Denver. I have also been informed that the FAA is considering decommissioning the VOR at Steamboat Springs. That is a very mountainous airport and I have used the VOR to land there several times. Not only would this reduce the approach options provided to pilots, but it prematurely removes VOR without first having a suitable GPS replacement. I can understand the desire to cut costs, but I have serious concerns, and I would hope that the panel today would address those issues. I look forward to the testimony today. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I yield back. Mr. Costello. I thank you. The Chair now recognizes the gentlelady from California, Ms. Matsui. Ms. Matsui. Thank you, Chairman Costello and Ranking Member Petri, for holding this important hearing on the future of the Nation's air traffic control system, and thank you to today's witnesses for providing testimony. Everyone seems to agree that the current technology and infrastructure that makes up the air traffic control system will not be able to handle the surging growth that we are expecting the next decade and beyond. So modernization needs to happen and there is much at stake. If we don't get this right, our constituents are going to be waiting in more lines and sitting through more delays than they have ever had to before, and the aviation system will not be able to meet the Nation's demand. So this is a big challenge with very significant consequences. That is why we are talking about NextGen. There is significant reason to be wary of this effort, as I am sure will be discussed extensively today. The FAA has an unimpressive history of cost overruns, schedule slips, and program cancellations. We need to modernize the Nation's aviation system, but we need to do it in a smart and cost- effective manner. We are in a tightly constrained fiscal environment, so we only get one shot at doing this right. The FAA and its partners have put forth some intriguing concepts that hold great potential to increase capacity and efficiency. I am excited about these ideas, but we must determine what is realistically achievable given the time line and fiscal constraints that we are facing. We are not going to be able to execute every great idea that our scientists and engineers come up with. We need to filter out what is pragmatic and realistic. We have certainty about the need to increase capacity and to modernize. We have much less certainty about how to do it. I understand that with an enterprise of this scale and magnitude, you are going to have setbacks and adjustments are going to be made. That is why it is important that we are pragmatic in planning this effort so we are not sitting here in five or ten years talking about how much money we wasted or how far behind schedule we are. This modernization is just too important for that to happen. I look forward to working with all my colleagues and all the agencies involved to make this modernization effort a success that transforms the Nation's aviation system for the 21st century. With that, I would like to thank the witnesses for taking the time to be with us today. I look forward to your testimony. I yield back my time. Mr. Costello. Thank you. For final opening statement or remarks, and then we will go to our first panel of witnesses, the Chair recognizes the gentleman from Missouri, Mr. Carnahan. Mr. Carnahan. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I appreciate your and the Ranking Member holding this hearing. I am really very proud of our Nation's long history in aviation innovation. After completing his first pilot training class in 1924, Charles Lindbergh began flying a mail delivery route from Lambert-St. Louis Field, the airport that Chairman Costello and I use to go home on weekends still today. His famed aircraft, the Spirit of St. Louis, was named after the city that I represent. While I am proud of our Nation's aviation history, I recognize that significant changes to the National Airspace System are necessary to accommodate the increased demands from the system. NextGen, which the Joint Planning and Development Office is producing, will allow our aviation community to continue to grow and maintain its economic strength. However, it is important for JPDO to recognize that the multi-billion price tag on NextGen will require intense oversight and cost controls. I don't believe this Committee, or anyone in this Congress, will allow billions of taxpayer dollars to be improperly spent. The JPDO does not have a flawless track record. Though progress has been made, the GAO still classifies NextGen as high-risk. I assure you this Committee will be watching closely over NextGen. I look forward to hearing from you today and working with the Chairman and Ranking Member as we go forward. Thank you. I yield back. Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks the gentleman. At this time, we will hear from our first panel. I will do very brief introductions. Our first witness will be Mr. Robert ``Bobby'' Sturgell, the Deputy Administrator and Interim Chief Operating Officer, Air Traffic Organization, Federal Aviation Administration; Mr. Charles Leader, the Director of the Joint Planning and Development Office, Next Generation Air Transportation System; Dr. Gerald Dillingham, the Director of Physical Infrastructure Issues, U.S. Government Accountability Office; the Honorable Calvin Scovel, the Inspector General for the U.S. Department of Transportation; and Dr. Agam Sinha, who is the Senior Vice President and General Manager for the Center for Advanced Aviation System Development. We would now ask all of our witnesses to summarize their statement in five minutes, if they possibly can. We will have your entire statement submitted and it will appear in the record. At this time, the Chair recognizes Mr. Sturgell. TESTIMONY OF ROBERT STURGELL, DEPUTY ADMINISTRATOR AND INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER, AIR TRAFFIC ORGANIZATION, FEDERAL AVIATION ADMINISTRATION; CHARLES A. LEADER, DIRECTOR, JOINT PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT OFFICE, NEXT GENERATION AIR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM; GERALD DILLINGHAM, PH.D., DIRECTOR, PHYSICAL INFRASTRUCTURE ISSUES, U.S. GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTABILITY OFFICE; THE HONORABLE CALVIN L. SCOVEL, III, INSPECTOR GENERAL, U.S. DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION; AGAM N. SINHA, SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT AND GENERAL MANAGER, CENTER FOR ADVANCED AVIATION SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT, MITRE Mr. Sturgell. Good morning, Chairman Costello, Congressman Petri, members of the Subcommittee. I am Bobby Sturgell, the Deputy Administrator of the Federal Aviation Administration and the Interim Chief Operating Officer for the Air Traffic Organization. I appreciate including our written statement into the record and I am glad to be with you here today to discuss the topic that many have recognized is of utmost importance and urgency, that is, the FAA's plans to modernize and transform our air transportation system so that we are prepared to meet the significant traffic demands expected in the future. Mr. Chairman, our case for change is compelling. I know you know that civil aviation accounts for nearly $690 billion in direct and indirect contributions to the U.S. economy and is responsible for 10 million jobs and $343 billion in wages. No doubt, we all want these benefits to continue and improve, but our air transportation system is, in many ways, a victim of its own success. Even as we have created the safest, most efficient system in the world, our system is hitting the wall. Flight delays have increased each of the last three years and, as the summer travel season gets underway, we expect the problems to get worse; and these problems won't go away in the future. We are forecasting a billion passengers by the year 2015 and we expect a doubling or possibly tripling of air traffic by the year 2025. Moreover, we have to anticipate the unique challenges that come with a new generation of air traffic vehicles, such as very light jets, unmanned aerial systems, and commercial space launches. The exact quantity and composition of these vehicles are not, however, fully predictable at this point. While all of this growth is exciting and good, it brings with it the problem of congestion. Congestion robs the family of precious time, it limits the freedom of our citizens, and it puts a drag on our increasingly global economy. The delay in dollars? We are estimating that commercial aviation could see an annual loss of $500 million for every minute of scheduled block time, the time which refers to that from gate-to-gate for the airlines. The cost to the whole country? Today's tab stands at $9.4 billion a year due to commercial passenger delays, and that number could climb as high as $22 billion by the year 2022. Our current system simply isn't scalable to handle these challenges, this kind of growth. Research done by the FAA has shown that our current air traffic system, using that system, controllers could not handle a 25 percent increase in air traffic, which is the amount that we expect in the 2015 to 2017 time frame. That is why we need the Next Generation Air Transportation System, a full-scale transformation that takes into account every phase of the process: air traffic control, airports, the environment, the military, and homeland security requirements. The NextGen system will be a much more automated and flexible system than the one of today. Navigation and surveillance will be more precise. Pilots and operators will know the location of other aircraft operating in the system. Air traffic control of individual airplanes will evolve into air traffic management and control by exception and aircraft flight paths will be trajectory-based to provide optimal routing. To implement this transformation, we are already moving forward with Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast (ADS-B) and System Wide Information Management (SWIM), two of NextGen's core backbone technologies. Of course, we recognize that these programs are only part of the process. NextGen encompasses many programs and components, all of which need to be properly integrated and aligned. That is why we are turning to a proven management vehicle, the Operational Evolution Partnership, the OEP, which we have been using for many years. In the past, the OEP successfully provided a midterm strategic road map for capacity increases that extended 10 years into the future. The new OEP has an expanded scope, beyond just capacity, and will include strategic milestones through 2025 as we go forward with NextGen. The FAA will use the OEP to plan, integrate, and implement NextGen in partnership with the private industry. Charles Leader will discuss more about our efforts towards NextGen, so let me just close by saying that we are at a crossroads today. The system is at capacity and it must be transformed. If we fail to act, we will be left with gridlock in the skies. The world recognizes the problem. Europe is already moving ahead with SESAR, their version of NextGen, and they have the funding to do it. If we fail to act, the world will look to someone else for leadership, not us. Someone else's technologies and standards will pave the way if we don't. By funding and building NextGen, we can keep America at the forefront and avoid gridlock. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I look forward to answering questions from the Committee. Mr. Costello. Thank you. The Chair now recognizes Mr. Leader. Mr. Leader. Good morning, Chairman Costello, Congressman Petri, and members of the Subcommittee. My name is Charles Leader, and I am the Director of the multi-agency Joint Planning and Development Office. I appreciate accepting the written comments into the record. I think you will agree that the United States has the safest and most efficient air traffic control system in the world. It handles a staggering amount of traffic each day that includes passenger flights, air cargo, military operations, unmanned aerial vehicles, and space launches. But as capable as it is, we are already seeing the limits of the current system. Delays and cancellations are growing, and unless we begin to transform the system now, the problems are only going to get worse. The issues concerning the future capacity and flexibility of the national air transportation system are matters that the House and this Committee understand very well. In 2003, Vision 100, the FAA reauthorization, chartered the Next Generation Air Transportation System Initiative and established the Joint Planning and Development Office. NextGen, as envisioned by Congress, is a steady, deliberate, and highly collaborative undertaking aimed at the long-term transformation of our national air transportation system. It is a transformation which I am pleased to say is already underway. NextGen, while representing a continuum of research, investment, and implementation activities, can be more easily explained if it is broken out into its three major phases. Each one represents a key period in NextGen's development. The first phase focuses on the development and implementation of certain key NextGen foundational technologies and capabilities. These initiatives represent our current programs; they are the foundation. This phase also includes the essential research and development needed to support the future development of NextGen. The second phase builds on this foundation to begin critical implementation of NextGen capabilities. This is where many aircraft in the fleet will begin to operate using onboard NextGen tools. This will allow greater expansion of the RNP/ Area Nav capabilities, net-enabled weather, advanced data communications, and the development of the critical infrastructure to support Trajectory-Based Operations. The third phase will be a maturation of our core NextGen capabilities into an operational nationwide system. This is where the aviation services are managed and operated in a way that achieves the NextGen transformation across the entire system. Implementation of NextGen has already begin. Two programs, both foundational technologies, are critical in this first phase of NextGen and were mentioned by the Deputy Administrator. They are the Automatic Dependent Surveillance- Broadcast and System Wide Information Management Systems. Both of these programs are funded and already underway. ADS-B relies on GPS and is critical in developing NextGen's satellite-based navigation and control capabilities. SWIM is developing our key networking capabilities and will establish the critical networking infrastructure. I want to make a point about SWIM and network enabled operations. The Department of Defense, Homeland Security, and the FAA have each contributed $5 million this year to fund the real-time demonstration of this capability. Each of these programs and the capabilities they represent are essential in beginning the transformation of our current air traffic control system from one that relies on voice communication and ground- based surveillance to one that is satellite-based, network- enabled, and uses advanced digital capabilities. By its very nature, this kind of initiative needs to use a portfolio-based approach. In other words, the approach has to be one that allows the JPDO to integrate a wide range of research initiatives and investments. That is why some of the most important products of the Joint Planning and Development Office have been its three key planning documents: the Concept of Operations, which went out for final review last month; the Enterprise Architecture, which will be released next month; and the Integrated Work Plan, which will be released for comment in July. I have copies with me of these documents to demonstrate that they are real and substantial in the detail in which they approach the future. The JPDO was developing NextGen by carefully developing data and using the appropriate models to evaluate the benefits resulting from this investment. If carefully managed, the NextGen program will bring tremendous benefit to our Nation. I look forward to answering the Subcommittee's questions. Thank you. Mr. Costello. Thank you. The Chair now recognizes Dr. Dillingham. Mr. Dillingham. Thank you, Chairman Costello, Mr. Petri, members of the Subcommittee. My statement today discusses the studies that we have underway for this Subcommittee on FAA's modernization program for the current air traffic control system and JPDO's efforts that are aimed at transformation to the future air traffic control system. With regard to the current modernization program, during the last few years FAA has made significant progress in implementing business management practices in acquiring ATC systems. Our work has shown that FAA has also improved the management and operational efficiency of the current system through cost savings, outsourcing, and consolidation. When compared to the years before the establishment of the ATO, these are significant achievements for the FAA. We view these accomplishments as positive, but not necessarily sufficient for the agency to effectively manage the transformation to NextGen. We continue to keep the modernization program on our list of high-risk programs. We believe that additional work needs to be done to fully address past cost, schedule, and performance problems that FAA previously experienced in acquiring systems, as well as to institutionalize those processes that caused the recent turnaround in the program. FAA's immediate challenge is filling two key leadership positions. The Administrator's term ends in September and the Chief Operating Office of the ATO left in February. This means that, within the next six months, FAA could have vacancies or acting officials in positions that for the last five years were occupied by its most significant change agents. With regard to the future ATC systems, a near-term challenge is to determine whether FAA has the technical and contract management expertise that will be required to implement the numerous complex systems that will be a part of the transformation to NextGen. To the extent necessary, personnel and skill sets that are not available within the agency must be acquired in a relatively short time, since the acquisition of NextGen technologies has already begun. Another near-term challenge is to identify which organizations will fund and conduct the R&D and demonstration work that, prior to restructuring of its aeronautical research portfolio, had been conducted by NASA. FAA's R&D Advisory Committee has estimated that it will cost nearly $100 million annually in additional funding and delay NextGen by five years for FAA to develop the necessary infrastructure and assume the previous NASA R&D. During the course of our reviews, we also heard a considerable number of concerns from stakeholders about the productivity and pace of JPDO efforts. To its credit, JPDO officials are currently implementing changes in structure and operations at the JPDO that are intended to improve the effectiveness of the organization. Although JPDO has made some progress in developing its key planning documents, including the Concept of Operations, Enterprise Architecture, and an Integrated Work Plan, some of these documents are nearly a year behind schedule. If this kind of schedule slippage continues, it will become increasingly difficult for JPDO to maintain its credibility and the participation of the aviation community. Our work has also identified some organizational issues that, if not addressed, could seriously jeopardize JPDO's chances of success. As we told this Committee last year, we believe that, because JPDO lacks authority over the key human and technological resources of its partner agencies, institutionalizing the collaborative process would be critical to JPDO's success. JPDO has been working for two years to establish a Memorandum of Understanding which would define the roles and responsibilities of the partner agencies. To date, the Memorandum has been signed by only three of the partner agencies. The frequency of leadership turnover at JPDO and the NGATS Institute has also raised concerns about the stability of the organization and the future of the initiative. During its three years of existence, JPDO has had three directors, and there have been two directors of the NGATS Institute. I believe that JPDO must immediately identify and address the factors that have contributed to the frequent turnover its senior management. Additionally, the Senior Policy Committee, which was established to provide high level advice and policy guidance to JPDO, has met just three times over the last three years, and not at all during the past year. JPDO also has a continuing challenge in ensuring involvement of all key stakeholders. As we testified last year, active air traffic controllers and technicians are not currently involved in NextGen planning. Mr. Chairman and members of the Subcommittee, in closing, I want to emphasize that ATO and JPDO have both achieved much in their short existence, but both organizations are facing some very serious challenges. Meeting these challenges is time critical and will require the joint efforts of the Congress, the partner agencies, and the private sector. Thank you. Mr. Costello. We thank you, Dr. Dillingham. Mr. Scovel. Mr. Scovel. Mr. Chairman, Ranking Member Petri, Members of the Subcommittee, we appreciate the opportunity to testify on progress to date with the JPDO and efforts to develop NextGen. While there is considerable controversy about how best to finance FAA, there is almost universal agreement on the need to modernize the NAS to meet the forecasted demand for air travel. Mr. Chairman, our work shows that the transition to NextGen is a complex, high-risk effort. Much work remains to align agency budgets to make the JPDO an effective multi-agency vehicle, and actions are needed to help FAA successfully deliver new capabilities. Today I will cover three major areas; the first is progress and problems with ongoing modernization projects. At the request of this Subcommittee, we are tracking 18 projects with a combined cost of $17 billion. We do not see the massive cost growth seen in the past. This is due to FAA's effort to re-baseline efforts and segment investment decisions. However, there are projects, such as FAA's Telecommunications Infrastructure Program, that are at risk of not achieving expected benefits. Second, JPDO's progress to date in coordinating and aligning research. In our recent report, we found that there was considerable coordination among JPDO participating agencies, but little or no alignment of R&D plans, and this is still the case today. We also found that the JPDO's integrated product team leaders had no authority to commit parent agency resources. We concluded that a more product-driven approach was needed. To its credit, the JPDO has announced a number of changes to be more product-driven. This includes revamping its integrated product teams as working groups. There are four key mechanisms for alignment that are in progress, but they need to be completed. First, NextGen's enterprise architecture. The JPDO's efforts to develop an overall blueprint for NextGen will help set goals and support investment decisions. However, the architecture documents we have reviewed to date lack sufficient detail to support investment decisions. This is very much a work in progress. Second, NextGen's R&D plan. The JPDO does not yet have an R&D plan that can guide various agency research efforts over the next several years. It expected to publish such a plan this summer. Third, NextGen's memorandum of understanding, or MOU. For more than a year, the JPDO has been working to reach agreement on an MOU. To date, this agreement has not been signed by all participating agencies. Fourth, NextGen's Integrated Budget document. The JPDO is working with OMB to develop an integrated budget that provides a single business case for NextGen efforts. This is expected to be complete in time for the fiscal year 2009 budget cycle. Finally, there are actions needed to reduce risk and help shift from planning to actual implementation. Action item one: FAA needs to develop realistic NextGen cost estimates and quantify expected benefits. FAA's current estimates suggest that the Agency will require $15.4 billion for capital projects from fiscal year 2008 to fiscal year 2012. This includes $4.6 billion for NextGen initiatives. There are considerable unknowns with respect to performance requirements for new automation systems and data link communications, to key cost drivers. Also, work remains to set transition benchmarks for when new procedures, new ground systems, and aircraft need to be equipped to realize benefits. Industry has asked FAA for a service road map that specifies when aircraft need to be equipped and what benefits will be obtained. Action item two: FAA and the JPDO need to develop approaches for risk mitigation and systems integration. The central issue focuses on what will be done differently from past modernization efforts with NextGen initiatives. Action item three: FAA needs to review ongoing modernization projects and make necessary cost, schedule, and performance adjustments. This is critical because NextGen planning documents suggest that billions of dollars will be needed to adjust ongoing programs like ERAM. Action item four: FAA needs to develop a strategy for technology transfer. This is important for the JPDO because the law envisions new capabilities developed by other Federal agencies or the private sector being transitioned into NAS. We recommended that the JPDO use technology readiness levels to help assess maturity of systems and reduce development times and costs. Action item five: FAA needs to conduct sufficient human factors research to safely support anticipated NextGen changes. History has shown that insufficient attention to human factors can increase the cost of acquisition and delay much needed benefits. FAA understands the importance of these items and is in the process of developing a plan that identifies roles and responsibilities for human factors work. Given the scope of changes envisioned, this remains an important watch item for the Committee. Mr. Chairman, this concludes my testimony. I would be pleased to answer any questions you may have. Mr. Costello. Thank you. The Chair recognizes Dr. Sinha. Mr. Sinha. Good morning, Chairman Costello, Congressman Petri and Members of the Subcommittee. Thank you for inviting me to participate in today's hearing on the future of air traffic control modernization. I appreciate the inclusion of the full testimony in the record. We all remember the summer of 2000, when delays in the system were at a very high level and were the subject of frequent stories in the popular press and on the evening news. The impact of unfortunate events of September 11, 2001 led to lower demand levels, and during the next few years there was a significant reduction in delays. However, demand has returned; it is at or above where it was in 2000 in many locations, and so are delays. Total delays in the National Airspace System, the NAS, were 9 percent higher in 2006 than in 2000, and 2007 is worse. Through April, total delays system- wide are 12 percent higher than in the corresponding period in 2006, and nearly 75 percent of all airport delays occur at just 7 airports: Chicago O'Hare, Newark, Atlanta Hartsfield, New York LaGuardia, New York JFK, Philadelphia, and Houston. There have been significant improvements in the National Airspace System since 2000. In addition to several new runways, I will point to new procedures such as Area Navigation, or RNAV, departures at Atlanta that are saving users $30 million to $40 million annually today. These RNAV procedures are based on the ability of the aircraft to navigate prescribed paths accurately and reliably. The next level in this process is called Required Navigation Performance, or RNP, procedures, which is one of the key elements of the future system. RNP allows aircraft to fly even more precise paths with assurance. In Alaska, RNP procedures are used today to fly instrument approaches safely in some of the most challenging geographical terrains. These just illustrate some of the improvements since 2000. A MITRE study for the FAA showed that the growth in air traffic demand is projected to lead to a doubling of delays at the Nation's busiest airports by 2015, compared to 2000, if none of the planned improvements are made to the NAS. Currently planned improvements, however, are projected to maintain average delays nationwide at 2000 levels. However, delays at many key congested locations across the NAS will continue to be a challenge, such as in the northeast corridor, the New York area, Philadelphia area, San Francisco, and Los Angeles. The JPDO has identified the NextGen capabilities beyond those in current FAA plans and budgets and the research required to help them. While some of the operational capabilities needed for NextGen require research, the good news is that the fundamental technologies and procedures--for example, satellite navigation, Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast, air-to-ground data link, and RNP procedures--are known and are available to build a scalable system that can help mitigate congestion in the mid-term (circa 2015) and be a stepping stone to achieve NextGen capabilities. FAA and MITRE have developed and conducted human-in-the- loop experiments of a portfolio of NAS improvements of particular note, targeted around the middle of the next decade and termed Performance-based Air Traffic Management. The idea behind this concept is to start changing the roles of flow managers, controllers, aircraft operators, flight planners, and dispatchers. It will require additional automation capabilities in the ground system, new avionics capabilities in the aircraft, air-ground data communications, and common situational awareness such as that provided by System Wide Information Management. A key element of the challenges of implementing operational improvements on the road to NextGen is that the implementation must be done from a portfolio perspective (i.e., all the necessary components must be in place). For example, air-ground communications is a key element of using the automation capabilities of the aircraft and the ground system. The evolution of the NAS must not focus exclusively on FAA ground system capabilities. The future NAS needs to consider and capitalize on the role that the aircraft can play and the capabilities it can provide. Air-ground data communications capabilities can permit ground automation systems to communicate with onboard flight management systems and can reduce controller and pilot workload. Improved navigation and flight management systems can enable aircraft to fly with greater precision and can increase airport, terminal area, and en route airspace capacity. Advanced cockpit displays and automation aids may permit aircraft to separate themselves from one another safely and efficiently, possibly at closer separations. As the JPDO and FAA, together with their government partners, continue to develop the necessary details of the 2025 NextGen concept of operations, it is important for the aviation community to move ahead now with the implementation of the known fundamental technologies and procedures. This needs to be truly a community effort because it requires changes in aircraft and air traffic systems together with procedures and airspace changes. Only through moving ahead now can we meet the challenges of the mid-term and be well on our way to having the full capabilities of NextGen by 2025. Mr. Chairman, this concludes my summary. I would be happy to answer any questions that the Committee may have. Mr. Costello. We thank you for your testimony. I am going to ask a few questions and then call on other members as well. Mr. Leader, in your testimony you indicate that the Enterprise Architecture will be completed and released next month. Is that correct? Mr. Leader. Yes, sir, that is correct. Mr. Costello. You have heard Dr. Dillingham testify, both in his written testimony and what he testified to today, that many of the reports that JPDO promised to deliver were at least a year behind in many cases. That, of course, is a concern, but my concern is more not so much with delay, but it is how comprehensive will the Enterprise Architecture be. In other words, you heard the IG's testimony. I have his written testimony in front of me where he says the architecture documents we have reviewed to date are lacking sufficient detail to support capital investment decisions and that the JPDO expects to complete another version this month. So my first question is what Mr. Scovel testified to, what he has seen so far it would not justify or support capital investment decisions. What we are going to receive next month, will that change his opinion and, in fact, will it be in detail to the point where we will know what we are getting and where we are going? Mr. Leader. We believe that it will, sir, that it will be of sufficient detail. Mr. Costello. What do we expect to receive in this Enterprise Architecture report that Mr. Scovel has not seen up to this point? Mr. Leader. I am not aware at this time, sir, exactly what version of the Enterprise Architecture he has most recently reviewed. Mr. Costello. Mr. Scovel, would you answer that, please? Mr. Scovel. We have reviewed several versions of the Enterprise Architecture Plan, sir, and it is our conclusion that, as our statement indicates, it does lack sufficient detail. It is very much a template, a plug-in-the-box matrix. What we would prefer to see is a linking of the Enterprise Architecture Plan with the R&D plan. Once the R&D plan is made known as well, I think then the Congress will have a better idea of what some of the cost factors may be, and I know that is of ultimate concern to this Committee. Mr. Costello. And the R&D that Mr. Scovel refers to, is that the road map that you have talked about? Mr. Leader. Yes, sir. We call it the Integrated Work Plan, and I believe that it more accurately serves the purpose that the Inspector General is seeking than does the Enterprise Architecture. Mr. Costello. And we are going to get the Enterprise Architecture next month and we are going to get this other document when? Mr. Leader. Well, sir, to review the time line, the Enterprise Architecture will be released on June 23rd, the updated Concept of Operations will be released on June 1st, and the initial baseline draft of the Integrated Work Place will be released on July 31st for review within the community. Mr. Costello. So by the end of July, both the industry, the Congress, and everyone should have a clearly defined plan of what the FAA intends to build and how they intend to build it? Mr. Leader. Yes, sir, what constitutes the Next Generation system. Mr. Costello. And will it in fact define both time requirements, cost, and other scenarios concerning implementation? Mr. Leader. Yes, sir, to the extent that we can do that now. The fidelity is obviously much greater in the first three to five years than it is in the twentieth year. Mr. Costello. You have heard Dr. Dillingham testify today, and also has testified before this Subcommittee in the past, and he has made points about the air traffic controllers and technicians not being involved in the working groups. You have heard me mention in my opening statement that it is common sense to involve those who are going to be running the system and working the system in making decisions at the early stage, before you lay out the plan. Tell me why the controllers and the technicians have not been at the table in working groups to review as we are going along and to give their input, as opposed to, what I understand, they are called in from time to time to give their opinion. Mr. Leader. We believe, sir, that controller input has been sufficient to---- Mr. Costello. That wasn't my question. My question was why are they not at the table like everyone else, in the working group. I understand they are called in from to time and ``consulted.'' If they are going to run the system and work on the system, why aren't they a part of designing the system? Mr. Sturgell? Mr. Sturgell. Sure. Mr. Chairman, I just want to talk about this broadly. We do value---- Mr. Costello. And I want to talk about it specifically. Mr. Sturgell. And I will get specific. Yes, sir. Yes, sir. We do routinely involve controllers and technicians as subject matter experts on projects and we know that user involvement is critical to the air traffic system today and as well as to the NextGen efforts. NATCA, the air traffic controllers union, currently has a seat on both our ATMAC and ATPAC advisory committees, which are air traffic management and air traffic procedures advisory committees. We are very pleased that the new president has indicated that he would like to participate as a member of the Institute Management Council with the JPDO, and he has also indicated an interest for controllers to potentially be co-leads on these working groups, and Charlie can talk more about how the industry plans to select co-leads. I would also say, you know, specifically, there are some examples at headquarters. We have 15 certified professional controllers on three working groups for the en route automation program. Places like Houston Center we have three certified professional controllers on the Houston airport airspace design project. Salt Lake City, we have got one full-time, four part- time, again on ERAM and four on TMA. So there is active involvement with the controllers, both controllers and NATCA itself. As far as the OEP, NATCA does have a seat on the OEP. They have not been at it in recent meetings. I would welcome them back and I would welcome adding PASS to the OEP associates team in a similar capacity, as having a representative seat, because we do intend to use that as the implementation process as we go forward, just the way we have used it in the past for capacity projects. Mr. Costello. The other issue that I want to touch on as well--I have several other questions, but I will go to other members and then come back. For Mr. Leader and for you, maybe Mr. Sturgell, Dr. Dillingham again--and you heard Mr. Scovel point out about the partnerships trying to bring agencies that are involved, and you have been working on this for two years and only have, I guess, a commitment out of three agencies. Can you tell me is that ongoing, is it progressing? Where are we involving other agencies? Mr. Leader. Well, sir, it is my understanding that within Department of Homeland Security, that earlier this week the Memorandum of Agreement was forwarded from the General Counsel's Office to the Deputy Secretary's Office for signature. It is my understanding that in the Department of Defense is it likely to be signed this month, upon official appointment of the Air Force as the executive agent to handle NextGen issues within the Department of Defense. Mr. Costello. Mr. Scovel, you indicate in your testimony that the FAA needs to articulate a strategy as to how to mitigate past problems that led to massive cost overruns and unanticipated costs. I would like you to explain and elaborate a little bit more on that, if you will. Mr. Scovel. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I think our view here rests on the fundamental necessity for FAA and the JPDO to determine what skill set mix will best position the JPDO in the NextGen effort in order to solve problems that have been identified with past modernization programs. Our exhibit in this regard would be the WAAS program, I think, where the program was conceived and laid out initially in 1998 for a cost of roughly $824 million. Due to problems with identifying what level of skill sets and the degree of technical proficiency would be needed in order to certify that system as safe, FAA reached that conclusion late and decided it needed to resort to academic and industry experts because it didn't have those skills in-house. As a result, we now face a situation with WAAS, which was supposed to be completed in 2001, where the program is still ongoing. It may be completed next year. The total cost has now risen to $3.3 billion. That is a program, sir, where FAA wasn't able initially to determine what skill set would actually be needed, and it was a critical one when it came to certification for safety. There will be similar situations, perhaps not specifying certification, but where JPDO and FAA will need to identify from the beginning what skill sets will be needed to see a program through to completion. That would be our fundamental take-away point on that one, sir. Mr. Costello. It looks to me like you want to respond, Mr. Sturgell. Mr. Sturgell. Yes, sir, Mr. Chairman. We are in the process now of contracting with the NAPA to have them provide us an assessment of the appropriate skill set and mix we need as we go forward with NextGen. I would also like to point out that we have made significant progress in controlling our capital programs. I think one of the things we are trying to do as we go forward with NextGen is to really settle on the development issues, do the proper amount of demonstrations, and mature a program to a much greater degree than we had done in the past when we started programs before development, etc., determine how much it was going to be, and then ran into problems early on which escalated costs. So I think that will help. I think segmenting programs has helped. We are doing a lot on the training side with our program managers and, you know, we still have work to do to keep improving this process. Mr. Costello. The Chair recognizes the Ranking Member, Mr. Petri. Mr. Petri. Thank you. I have a couple questions. First, Mr. Sturgell, could you describe how the implementation of NextGen will affect service and the accessibility of the system to small communities and airports? Mr. Sturgell. I think the NextGen system is going to be a great value to small community airports and to the general aviation community as a whole. One of the current technologies that we see as part of NextGen is WAAS, the Wide Area Augmentation System. I mean, there are, I believe, over 4,000 airplanes now equipped with that system. We are putting 300 approaches a year, and all of those, or the majority of those approaches are going after airports that generally serve smaller areas and that don't have precision landing capability today. Mr. Petri. Thank you. In his testimony,--I think I would like both Mr. Dillingham and you to respond--Mr. Dillingham expressed concern about turnover of personnel in the past and how that could affect the progress going forward. Could you comment on that and what, if anything, can be done to minimize that problem? Mr. Sturgell. Well, turnover is always a concern. I have worked with the Administrator now for five years. I think she has done a tremendous job at the agency. Russ Chew is a good friend and did a great job as well, and I think has actually helped us attract a lot of interest into the position and the ability for great candidates to come and want to be part of the FAA, want to be part of this transformation. We also have very, very capable leaders throughout the organization, one of them sitting to my left today, the vice presidents of the Air Traffic Organization, all very capable, senior executives, seasoned, know the business well. So our focus has been to integrate the processes and improvements into the culture at the FAA so that, regardless of where we are in the leadership at the top ranks, things like cost-effectiveness, benefit-cost analysis, proper planning are all ingrained at the agency. Mr. Dillingham. Mr. Petri, I agree with what Mr. Sturgell said, but clearly when you have had a situation where you have been in existence three years and you have had three different directors, as in the JPDO, and when the NGATS Institute has been formed for about three to four years and you have had two directors at this point, our concern is credibility, as well as leadership. If you expect the industry to send the best and the brightest to work on this very complicated and important initiative, I think they would be interested in the stability of the leadership and the organization. We think that, in addition to that, it is true that there is leadership below the senior management level, but at the same time directions do come from the top. The point that we made is that we have a situation that is developing where the leaders of the change that we are pointing to in terms of progress for FAA--Mr. Chew, Administrator Blakey--those people will be gone and, because of the calendar, we may have even a different Secretary of Transportation. All the leaders in this area are going to possibly be changing, and we are at a critical point. This is the point where we move from sort of planning to implementation. So we think that, one, as far as the Institute is concerned, where private sector people are being involved, we need to find out why the turnover. We need to find out why the turnover at JPDO so that we can prevent that from just continuing and having a revolving door. Mr. Petri. Thank you. That is an area that obviously requires further work. One last question during my time to both Mr. Dillingham and Mr. Scovel. It may have been covered a little bit by some other testimony, and it is having to do with the wide range of estimates of cost of the program. I think they vary between $15 billion and $22 billion for the infrastructure and $14 billion to $20 billion for the avionics equipment. I guess we are going to get a more precise road map shortly, but could you comment on that? Is that an unusual range or should that be a red flag? Mr. Dillingham. Mr. Petri, from our perspective, we think that when you are talking about a total range of $13 billion, that is a pretty wide range. We think that when the planning documents are final, we would hope that there would be a better idea of what the actual costs would be, and particularly, as Mr. Leader has said, in the near term a much finer point would be put on the cost of NextGen. Mr. Scovel. Mr. Petri, we think NextGen expenses between this year and 2012 are fairly well defined. With the need to fund ADS-B and SWIM and the $4.6 billion total for these fiscal years that FAA intends to request, we think those are fairly certain. Beyond 2012, however, we see considerable murkiness both in terms of the cost to industry in order to equip to take advantage of NextGen and also the cost to FAA and the Government on its side of the equation. As we have seen in past modernizations with FAA, costs can escalate; certainly, schedules can slip. We think for those reasons, as well as the rest of the financing picture, that a wide range, as has been suggested by FAA, is probably the best we can do at this point, and until we are closer to 2012 and get a better feel for how JPDO's research and development plan is progressing, we probably can't do any better than what we have. Mr. Costello. Thank you. The Chair recognizes the gentleman from Missouri, Mr. Carnahan. Mr. Carnahan. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you to the panel here today. I had a couple of questions, and I will try to get through these quickly. One of the cornerstones of NextGen appears to be data communications, and this technology would replace much of the voice communication system between controllers and pilots, but it appears likely to decrease the controllers' workload. But at our March 13th hearing, FAA Administrator Blakey told me, in response to a question, that the controller workforce would not be decreased after implementation of NextGen. My question for Mr. Sturgell is how can the FAA take a position that the controller workforce would not be reduced if their workload appears that it would be reduced? Mr. Sturgell. I would just say two things. First, we have a 10-year controller workforce plan that we have just recently released a month or two ago; it is our third update, I think, at this point. We are going to be hiring and increasing this workforce over the next 10 years, and that plan does take into account the modernization programs as we see them. The second thing is the goal, I think, from our perspective at the end of the day is that, with traffic growing the way it is, what we are looking to do is, as the Administrator said, increase the productivity of the workforce to be able to handle more flights. You know, the growth is essentially going to require this workforce to continue as we have laid it out in the 10-year plan. Mr. Carnahan. Thank you. I also wanted to ask about the multi-agency transition to NextGen that may potentially leave some users in the dust. FAA estimates on equipment cost to convert to new technology range anywhere from $7,000 to $30,000 for general aviation aircraft. Does FAA plan on exempting some general aviation users from mandated conversions, for example, turbo prop aircraft? And do you feel these costs are reasonable for general aviation? Again, back to Mr. Sturgell. Mr. Sturgell. I think that does account for why we have a broad range and the user costs at the moment. It is going to depend on equipage as we go forward, and a lot of that will be addressed in the rulemaking process in terms of the proposals laid out and the comments we get back from the community. I also think, though, that to the extent that equipage is going to be required, a lot of these costs should decreased just based on a volume perspective. As more avionics are produced for specific systems, the market tends to drive the price down. Mr. Carnahan. And, finally, I wanted to direct this question to Mr. Leader or any others that wanted to jump in on this, and that is with regard to human factors involved in the transition. The planning for NextGen should not just involve installing computers and launching satellites; it really impacts hundreds of thousands of people whose jobs involve the National Airspace System. The GAO and the DOT IG have reported that JPDO has not done enough to evaluate how pilots and controllers will be affected. What will the JPDO do to address this deficiency and how is your agency addressing human factors in this transition? Mr. Leader. Human factors, sir, is of critical importance to the system. As you are aware, with the increase in situational awareness, both the flight crews and the controllers will have access to more information than they have today, and the human factors research to ensure that they are able to productively use that while maintaining the safe operation of the system is very important to us. It is one of the priorities we have established with NASA in our collaborative R&D planning. Mr. Carnahan. All right. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I yield back. Mr. Costello. Thank you. The Chair recognizes the gentleman from North Carolina, Mr. Coble. Mr. Coble. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Additionally, I want to associate my remarks with yours and the distinguished Ranking Member's opening comments. Good to have the panel with us. Dr. Dillingham, I think you are one of the most frequent visitors we have had. It is good to have you back on the Hill. If we keep inviting you up here, you will be picking your mail up here. Mr. Dillingham. Yes, sir. Mr. Coble. Good to have you back. Mr. Sturgell, the Ranking Member, I think, put this question to you. I have been in and out on the phone, but regarding the implementation of NextGen, how it would affect the rural and small communities, and I believe your answer was favorable. Mr. Sturgell. That is correct. Mr. Coble. I am very interested in this because I have at least two of those airports that would fall into this category. Let me ask you this. As I say, I have been in and out, and I don't think it has been asked. To Mr. Sturgell, Mr. Leader, or Dr. Sinha, if you will, lay out the differences between today's system and the proposed modernization (a); and (b) how will modernization affect frequent fliers, that is, people who fly maybe a couple times a week, and there are many people who do this. Mr. Sturgell. I think the second answer is probably the most important in that the goal at the end of the day is to create a system that is not going to impede the economic growth of the aviation industry or this Country's economy as we go forward. In order to meet the forecasted air traffic demand we see on the horizon, what we are trying to do is keep delays down and to keep the system's ability to move people at the same or greater pace than we see Americans wanting to travel. Mr. Coble. And as safely as is done now, I am sure. Mr. Sturgell. Certainly, that is the number one consideration in all of this, safety and then efficiency. In terms of--others can pitch in, but the simplest way, in my mind, to describe how the Next Generation system is different from today's system goes back to the fact that it is going to become a much more automated system and it is a system that is going to take us from where we are today in terms of air traffic control of individual airplanes to a role where both controllers and pilots are involved in the air traffic management. We do also want to take advantage of the capabilities in the airplanes today, which we are not currently doing. Mr. Coble. Any others want to weigh in? Mr. Sinha. Thank you, Congressman. I would like to make a couple of comments regarding the changes from now to the NextGen system. The key words that come to my mind are that the future system is still going to be human-centric, so there will be people involved both in the aircraft and on the ground, but it will be automation-intensive. There will be lots of routine tasks that the humans do today that the automation can do easier and faster. So you will see a trend of some of the roles of the humans changing in the system. The other element of the change that we will be seeing is that it will be a lot more aircraft-centric. The capabilities in the aircraft are going to be, compared to today, phenomenal, in terms of the accuracy and the information that they can have available. So you will see those two as major changes. In terms of getting there, I think the human-in-the-loop experiment that we have done with the controllers has shown that doing business as usual is not an option. Even in some of the heavier traffic areas, 25 percent growth is not going to be possible with the current way of doing business. So even the controllers are saying we need something different. Mr. Leader. Yes, sir. I would just add that when we achieve the level of automation that is planned in the NextGen system, one major difference is that we will be able to manage the individual trajectory of all the aircraft that are flying under control of the National Airspace System on an individual way, and we will be able to adjust those flight trajectories after the departure of the aircraft to react to developing weather conditions. Today, weather results creates about 70 percent of the delays in the system, and being able to more realistically react to an evolving weather condition dramatically reduces delays. And in the process of doing so, our initial modeling shows that the system-wide savings for users of the airspace will be in the tens of billions of dollars, mostly in fuel, but obviously having dramatic impact in the reduction of emissions into the environment. So things will be dramatically different and the benefits will also be dramatic. Mr. Coble. Thank you, gentlemen. This may have been touched on as well, but with the automation coming on, I presume inevitably it will reduce the number of air traffic controllers. Or will it? Mr. Sturgell. Well, as we look out over the 10 years, we have laid out the hiring plan for our air traffic controller workforce during that period of time, and we see it increasing. Our view is that that level of controllers will be able to handle that much more additional traffic which we see coming into the system. Mr. Coble. I got you. Thank you. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you, gentlemen. Mr. Costello. Thank you. The Chair recognizes the gentleman from Illinois, Mr. Lipinski. Mr. Lipinski. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Just to briefly comment on the last question that Mr. Sturgell was addressing, I want to echo some comments by the Chairman and Mr. Carnahan. I want to make sure that we do have an adequate number of air traffic controllers, well trained air traffic controllers as the system moves forward. I wanted to move on to another question with Mr. Scovel. In your written testimony you state that the most urgent concern facing terminal automation is how quickly the FAA can replace aging displays at four sites: Chicago, St. Louis, Minneapolis, and Denver. Can you talk about this? Mr. Scovel. Thank you. Yes, we can. This is an item of great concern to my office, and it really dates back as well to the implementation of the STARS program, because when STARS came on and then reached its roadblock, if you will, when costs began to rise and the program was curtailed to leave open over 100 facilities that lacked terminal modernization, it was identified both by FAA and by my office that four key facilities--Chicago, Denver, St. Louis, and Minneapolis--would be left with aging display equipment which really put controllers at a disadvantage and quite possibly had safety implications, and that with this aging equipment in place, a series of software upgrades were not possible to be installed. We believe, thanks in part to our effort and FAA's budget request, that funds are now available to the FAA to replace two of those four systems. They have not yet been replaced, but the Congress had made those funds available specifically to FAA for that purpose. In the continuing resolution, in fact, additional funds have been made available. Where we take issue, however, is with the fact that FAA has really lost an advantage when it came to executing a contract for the replacement of those aging displays at the four locations because in accepting the industry's offer between Raytheon and Lockheed Martin to enter into a joint contract for the replacement of these displays and the time that was lost in negotiating with the contractors and bringing that contract to fruition, in the meantime, the displays remained in place and software upgrades were not installed. We would urge FAA to continue to make all due progress, all due haste in this regard because when the funds are on their books and those facilities are still lacking the terminal upgrades that are necessary and the safety implications are indeed involved, then time is of the essence. Mr. Lipinski. Thank you, Mr. Scovel. I just want to move on, with the limited time I have left, to ask Mr. Sturgell, Mr. Leader, and Dr. Dillingham anything that you can tell me about efforts to harmonize NextGen with the European SESAR project that is now going on. Mr. Sturgell. I think we have done a lot in the area of harmonizing with the Europeans. The Administrator has worked with Mr. Barron; we have an agreement in place with them. We are working on current demonstrations or other things we can do to make sure we are going to be harmonized going forward. We are doing similar things on the other side of the continent with countries like China. You know, the goal at the end of the day is an interoperable air traffic system for the users. Mr. Lipinski. Anyone else want to comment on that? Mr. Dillingham. Yes, Mr. Lipinski. I think one of the questions that is often asked of us by this Committee is who is ahead in terms of SESAR versus the U.S., and I think, when you look at implementation, it is clearly the U.S. You have heard testimony this morning about some NextGen technologies already on the books to be implemented--ADS-B, SWIM, and some of the RNP--so clearly, we are ahead in terms of implementation. Mr. Lipinski. Mr. Leader? Mr. Leader. Yes, sir. I would just point out that we have interactions with the European community on a number of levels. We have technical interchange meetings that happen fairly regularly to discuss common technical issues that we have. We have a joint task force with the European Commission working on the harmonization of the two systems and we have, from EuroControl, a full-time liaison assigned to the FAA. Mr. Lipinski. Thank you. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Costello. Thank you. Just as a side note, I would agree with Dr. Dillingham. A few weeks ago I had the opportunity to sit down with some of the folks from EuroControl, and I would agree with you, Dr. Dillingham. While I think that in your testimony, Mr. Sturgell, you indicated that they have their funding in place, there is a commitment for funding, but I would agree with Dr. Dillingham, with his statement. At this time, the Chair recognizes the former chairman of this Subcommittee, my friend from Tennessee, Mr. Duncan. Mr. Duncan. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman, and thank you for calling this hearing on this very important subject. All of the witness, I think, have given us very informative and very helpful testimony. But I think Inspector Scovel hit the nail on the head when he said a few minutes ago that our ultimate concern in this Committee has to be the cost. I heard a speech one time by Charlie Cook, the political analyst that is so respected on both sides of the aisle. He said he didn't think that anybody could really comprehend any figure over a billion dollars. And we talk about these figures almost like they were nothing. But I would guess that if we were able to bring a billion dollars in $1 bills in this room, it would boggle our minds at how huge the amounts are that we are talking about. So I am getting at a couple of things. In our briefing paper, it says in June of 2005, the GAO reported that to date the FAA has spent $43.5 billion for ATC modernization. And I remember hearings of six and seven years ago and so forth. These projections on these increases in passengers were almost exactly the same then as they are now. We were told that all this money we were spending was going to have us prepared for these big increases. Yet today we hear that the system is at its capacity and how bad the problem is. I don't doubt that. Then it says in May of 2005, the Department of Transportation Inspector General reported that 11 major FAA acquisitions experienced cost growth totaling $5.6 billion and 9 had schedule slips ranging from 2 to 12 years. Looking toward NextGen, the DOT IG stated that the FAA needs to articulate a strategy for how it will mitigate past problems that led to massive cost growth. Now, what I am wondering about, Mr. Sturgell and Mr. Leader, you have heard Mr. Scovel talk about certain action items. Do you agree with his action items, and what are we doing to make sure that five or ten years from now, we are not going to be having another hearing in front of this Subcommittee and hear about these massive cost growths and slippages, slippages ranging from 2 to 12 years? Are you putting some penalties or incentives in some of these contracts? What is happening? Mr. Sturgell. We are using some of those things, and specifically, the current en route automation and modernization program for all of our centers includes those types of incentives for the contractor. That program is currently our biggest one and it is on budget and on schedule. Mr. Duncan. Do you feel that you are doing these action items that Inspector Scovel mentioned? Mr. Sturgell. I think largely we are. I can't sit here and say what the specific ones are. I would just say that during this Administrator's tenure, we have worked very closely with the Inspector General's office to help resolve what these longstanding concerns about the management of the capital programs. As they both testified today, we have made a lot of progress in the last four or five years or so in this area. And it is something that we continue to be focused on. We have met our targets now for several years in a row, we are on track this year, we know how important it is going forward to have programs to be on cost, on schedule, meeting the metrics. So we are looking at ways to come up with better metrics, to help manage these programs, better training, more up front in terms of research, development, demonstrations, things that will help us stay on the track record we have had for the last couple of years. Mr. Duncan. Mr. Leader, anything you want to add? Mr. Leader. No, sir, except to say that in the planning phase, we are structuring the approach to very much continue what the FAA is currently doing in terms of both leveraging existing technologies, particularly those that have been developed by the Department of Defense that are appropriate for us to build on, and also to extensively use demonstrations and flight trials to mitigate risk before we begin any major acquisition. Mr. Duncan. My time is running out, but the understatement of the hearing was when Dr. Dillingham, whom we all respect so much, he said that this $13 billion in variation on these cost estimates was pretty big, or something to that effect. We were briefed about that also, and Ranking Member Petri talked about that. Do you gentlemen have cost estimates? Do you also see those huge variations in cost estimates and are you doing something to bring them down or do you think we have been given sort of incorrect information about that? Mr. Sturgell. Mr. Duncan, those are our cost estimates, and I would just say any corporation looking out 20 years from now, it is very tough to nail down things with precision. I think our estimates are in line, though, with what the Europeans are estimating, which is a good gauge for us as to where we are. And then as we get closer, we are much more precise. We have got $4.6 billion for the next five years laid out very specifically in several plans about where we are going to spend that money and on what. As we go forward, these things will get much more precise. Mr. Duncan. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Costello. I thank you. The Chair now recognizes the gentleman from Iowa, Mr. Braley. Mr. Braley. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Scovel, I want to follow up on one of the comments you made earlier. It was also addressed in your written testimony, where you stated that the most urgent concern facing terminal automation is how quickly the FAA can replace aging displays at four large sites that are particularly critical to the national airspace system, and quite frankly, very important to my personal airspace: Chicago, Denver, St. Louis and Minneapolis, which I fly through frequently. Can you explain in a little bit more detail the magnitude of the problem that situation presents to our air traffic system that depends so heavily on those connecting hubs in the midwest? Mr. Scovel. I can in general terms, and I would be happy to provide you with a more specific answer. But as a caveat, I must note that I am not a technological whiz to begin with. But it is my understanding, sir, that these four sites, because those terminal displays have not been replaced in a timely fashion, software upgrades have not been able to be installed at those four sites. And those pose a conceivable safety risk. Right now, those sites, terminals at those four sites have a black and white display. It is my understanding that with the replacement of the displays at those sites and with the accompanying software upgrades that can then be installed, the controllers who are working on those machines at that point will then be able to have a much clearer picture on air traffic that they need to control safely over their airspace. Mr. Braley. Last weekend, I toured the air traffic control facility at my home airport in Waterloo, Iowa. I was amazed at the range of equipment and the age of the equipment that was there for the air traffic controllers to use. Is that something that is systemic across the entire system, or is it more heavily concentrated in the regional airports? What is your understanding of that situation as a general proposition? Mr. Scovel. I believe it is systemic. My basis for that conclusion would relate not only to my response to your question relating to terminal displays at the four main centers that you mentioned, but also to the situation that had to do with the STARS program, and Members of this Committee are well familiar with that, I believe. STARS began as a program that initially would cost less than a billion dollars and would upgrade control displays at 170 facilities, cost growth and schedule slips required the program essentially to be curtailed at a cost of about $1.4 billion and with less than 50 sites serviced. That means that over 100 other controller sites still have older equipment. I daresay that is the reason why you saw the equipment that you did. Mr. Braley. One of the topics that was critical to a number of the presentations I reviewed had to do with the critical role of human factors research as we move into Next Generation. In your statement, you talked about the FAA identifying a variety of issues that will require additional human factors work, increased automation and new technologies and the impact they have on flight crew workload, the effect that changing roles and responsibilities have on safety, alerts and information displays a pilot needs to safely oversee conflict detection and resolution and automation failure. I would just like to present this question to the panel as a whole, but are we talking about human factors analysis that is going to go on the front end evaluation of how these systems are designed, human factors analysis of how they play out in a simulation environment before they are fully implemented, and then human factors follow-up as the NextGen gets rolled out? Or what type of human factors emphasis are we looking at here? Mr. Scovel. I will defer in a moment to Mr. Sturgell and Mr. Leader on aspects of your question, sir. But at this point, let me say that our belief is that human factors, research and involvement, specifically in the case that you mentioned, by controllers, and also by flight crews, because of course, they are going to be involved, when some of the responsibility for separation of aircraft in-flight will shift from the ground control facility to the cockpit with ADS-B and other technological improvements, that human factors research needs to include those elements of the workforce, controllers and flight crews. We would also make a point, and I don't know that, I know it is made in our testimony earlier, in our written statement, but I don't know that it has been made on the record verbally, and that has to do with the involvement of NASA. Both OIG and GAO have pointed out that NASA intends to essentially curtail its research in the JPDO area. They intend to focus more on fundamental research. In the past, NASA has devoted great effort, time and money to human factors research. And if we see NASA withdrawing from the type of research that can be readily applied by the JPDO to the NextGen effort, then it leaves open the question of what will happen with that human factors research. Who will do it, how will it be managed, how will it be paid for, what guarantees can we get as to its accuracy? Mr. Dillingham. Mr. Braley, I think the short answer to your question is that in all three cases, before, during and after, clearly when we have a system that is going to shift from, as Mr. Sturgell said, from air traffic control to air traffic management and automation, it is going to be very important that the human factors element be very much involved in this. It is also one of the reasons why we think it is important that the controllers and the technicians and the pilots and all the people who are going to be involved have a part in developing and planning the system. Mr. Leader. Yes, sir, I agree. We are looking in the long term, working with NASA on both the human factors issues but also on failure mode recoveries. Because in the automated system, that is a critical part, obviously, of the safety. But today we have human factors work going on within the FAA's research efforts specifically up at Atlantic City. There are today human factors experiments taking place to deal with the near and mid term issues that transformation of the system will create. As well, I would suggest that Dr. Sinha might want to say something about the human factors work that MITRE-CAASD currently has underway here in the Washington area. Mr. Sinha. Mr. Congressman, if I might, I think I would like to differentiate the different types of human factors analysis. One is the fundamental research in human factors in terms of creating the principles of human factors. But I think equally important is what I would call applied human factors. And I think that really, just like safety, it has to be built in from the beginning. You can't add human factors at the end or you can't add safety at the end. So I think again, the short answer is in all phases. And some of the research that we are doing, we do bring in controllers who are qualified to work the sectors, to help us both with the ideas and the pilots in the simulation as well as in the demonstrations that we do. We agree that it is very critical. And to me, the proof of the pudding is really in the applied human factors. Mr. Braley. Thank you. Mr. Costello. The Chair now recognizes the gentlelady from Oklahoma, Ms. Fallin. Ms. Fallin. Thank you, Mr. Chair. Gentlemen, we appreciate all your great work on this subject and helping us transform our air traffic control system. I was interested in your comments about the human factor. I was thinking about the general aviation pilots. And with the Next Generation system that we are talking about, and you mentioned, someone mentioned earlier about the cost of the new avionics that will go into the general aviation planes could be anywhere from $7,000 to $30,000 possible guess cost for the electronics. But the human factor of learning a new system when you are just a recreational pilot and trying to fly, I was thinking back on, I am just a couple hours away from getting my license. I used to fly old 182s. My agency I worked for bought a new 182 that had all the new avionics like electrical, computer equipment and I was just lost when I was that. So I was thinking about the pilots coming online with the Next Generation system, have we got an idea of how complicated it is going to be for the recreational pilots and what type of learning curve there will be for the human side of things? Mr. Sinha. Let me comment from the experimentation side of how we are doing that. First of all, I would like to state that when we talk about avionics and when we talk about changes, not everything applies to everybody. So for the commercial pilot to be flying into New York is definitely way different than the recreational pilot flying out in the midwest with really nobody else bothering them, so to speak. So when we talk about the avionics and the avionics equipage, it is very dependent on what is it that you are going to be doing with your aircraft. So for the air transport quality avionics, yes, that is going to be much more sophisticated and they will have to go through the training, just like they do today. For the recreational pilot, actually again the changes will not be that phenomenal. We will, I think, Mr. Sturgell talked about WAAS, the wide area augmentation system, that does give you a capability, for example, to have precision approaches where you haven't had it before. So that would require some training. But again, I don't think it is going to be unsurmountable. Ms. Fallin. That is good to know. I have one other question on the air traffic controllers. We have talked a lot about the increased travel in the United States and projections on that, and the aging workforce of the air traffic controllers and the need for more of them. But how will the Next Generation system and the learning curve, once again, on the human factor for the air traffic controllers, how much extra training, do you have a plan in place, have you started thinking about what their needs will be as they try to learn this new system we are talking about? Mr. Sturgell. I think we have started doing that, and that is one of the things we did with MITRE last year in terms of performance-based air traffic management and the changes in the controller's role. And all of that, we will certainly be including them today as we do and going forward as well. Ms. Fallin. Are you expecting they are going to have a lot more to learn in this new system? Or is it going to be relatively general basic concepts? Mr. Sturgell. It is a different role. We are very focused, it is one of our highest priorities, on the whole retirement issue and staffing of the facilities and the hiring process. It is a new generation of controllers that we will see coming in over the next decade. It is probably a generation that is much more familiar with technology and computers than folks that were born 30, 40 years ago or whatever. So I think this is a workforce that has seen a lot of change before. It is a workforce that is probably going to see a lot of change as we go forward. But it is a workforce that responds to changes. And I think it is going to be a better job, more exciting job for the controller workforce in the future as well. Ms. Fallin. Thank you very much. Mr. Sinha. If I might add just a comment on that. I think it is going to be different type of training. And the way I characterize it is the difference in computer dexterity between myself and my kids. They just take to it like fish to water and they are there. So a lot of the training that will be done will be a lot more sophisticated in terms of the simulation based training or intelligent tutoring system. As an example, we have implemented the system that Mr. Sturgell talked about in Indianapolis. These are real controller trainees today. They are absolutely delighted with the way that it is being done and they will not go back to the older system of training. So back to the Playstation 2 generation that is coming online, I think that is a big advantage. Ms. Fallin. Sounds like it might be a new marketing and recruitment tool for you. Thank you. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks the gentlelady. At this time the Chair recognizes the distinguished Chairman of the full Committee, Chairman Oberstar. Mr. Oberstar. This is a very important hearing, yet another one in a long series that Chairman Costello and Ranking Member Petri are doing and the Com aviation. What puzzles me, and Mr. Leader, I want to have your explanation of this, that we keep hearing and getting vignettes of information about the FAA planning to have the ADS-B vendor to actually operate the system in charge of fee for its service. Is that what is in the works? Either one of you, Mr. Sturgell, Mr. Leader, toss a coin. Decide who is going to answer. Mr. Sturgell. The contract, as we are putting it forward, Mr. Chairman, is a services performance-based contract. It is not unlike us purchasing electricity today or purchasing telecommunications today. I think to probably try and help clarify this, we're looking at a service-based contract where the service provider would provide this particular service. At the same time, that service provider could, for example, contract directly with an operator to provide an additional service through that same mechanism. It is not unlike what we do today internationally with communications. We contract today with a company called Airinc overseas to provide international communications services between the FAA and the user of the system. At the same time, that user also contracts directly with Airinc to provide other capabilities outside of the FAA's needs. For example, a United Airlines needs to talk to a United dispatcher, that would be a service Airinc could provide to them. That is the way the ADS-B contract is being set up. It is not unlike things we do today. I think it gives the Government a lot more flexibility. It also reduces our capital costs. It gives us, I think, better flexibility to react to future increases. And I think it puts more risk on the vendor in terms of delivering the capability. Mr. Oberstar. Aren't you hanging a great deal of the future of air traffic management on the ADS-B technology? Mr. Sturgell. We do see ADS-B as one of the backbone technologies of the NextGen system as we go forward. Mr. Oberstar. Now, you don't, you use the technology of STARS in the same manner? Nor the DSR in the en route system? Mr. Sturgell. We have systems today that we have bought, own and operate, and we have things today that we have purchased through services or other transaction agreements. It is a model that has worked very successfully for us today. It gives us both a good, robust private and public sector involvement. That is kind of the model we see going forward as well. Mr. Oberstar. Who is the primary vendor on the ADS-B? Mr. Sturgell. There are three teams that are competing for that contract. It has not been awarded yet. The leads---- Mr. Oberstar. Who are the three? Mr. Sturgell. The three leads are ITT, Raytheon and Lockheed Martin. Mr. Oberstar. Okay. And when do you anticipate making a final decision? Mr. Sturgell. We anticipate awarding that contract by the end of the summer, end of August is what we're looking at. Mr. Oberstar. And what protections are you planning to build into the contract? For example, against, you have a primary and then you said that the primary contractor could engage a secondary contractor. What safeguards are in the proposal you intend to float as an IFB, I assume, for protection against acquisition by a non-U.S. entity? What protections against performance problems? Mr. Sturgell. Mr. Chairman, I can just speak generally. We do have those types of performance problem protections built into a lot of our contracts. Mr. Oberstar. Will you submit those for this Committee? Mr. Sturgell. Yes. I was going to offer that we could bring the program office and come up and brief you more specifically about what we are looking at for that contract. Mr. Oberstar. Is there specific protection against sale or acquisition of this to a foreign interest? Mr. Sturgell. I can't speak specifically on that right now. I'd have to follow up with you on it. Mr. Oberstar. If you are banking the future of air traffic control management on a technology system that is going to be not owned by the FAA and sequentially contracted to a secondary vendor and then subject to acquisition by a foreign interest, then the future of aviation in the United States is, I think precarious. Mr. Sturgell. I appreciate the concerns. I am sure we have protections built in. I just don't know them specifically off- hand. The FAA will own the data that is being provided through this service and this contract. Mr. Oberstar. But not the technology itself, not the hardware? Mr. Sturgell. This technology is being used worldwide. The Canadians are moving with it, Australia is moving it system- wide. Mr. Oberstar. Yes, I understand, Canada is moving it and Australia is moving it and Europe. We just had, in the beginning of April, we had a very intense review of EuroControl and European aviation safety, safety oversight agency. I just say once again that the Southern California TRACON handles more air traffic than all of Europe combined. Don't tell me about all these other countries and systems that are so great and wonderful. I heard about Norway a few years ago. Norway has about as much air traffic as Minneapolis St. Paul. You are dealing with a huge system here. And I hear Lockheed is one of the competitors for this. We had an 11 hour, I am sorry, until 11:30 at night, a nine hour hearing on Lockheed's mismanagement of the Coast Guard's Deepwater program, one where, very similar to what you are proposing here, self-certification, where they are going to operate this system, going to contract it out to them, they are going to run it and you are going to pay a fee for it. What has happened with the Deepwater program is that the taxpayer is paying a huge cost. They are going to have to scrap nine ships that were perfectly fine until the Coast Guard allowed this contract out and let Lockheed and Grumman Boat Division mess them up, not take advice from anybody else, self-certify. I don't want to see that happen to our air traffic control system. These are not like airplanes that the airlines rent, in effect, from GE Leasing, or now Boeing Leasing or Airbus Leasing. You are charting the future of air traffic control in America. You have a huge responsibility on your hands. And we have to make sure it is done right. Thank you. Mr. Costello. I thank the Chairman. To follow up on the point that Chairman Oberstar made, Mr. Scovel, let me ask you about the RNP routes system. The FAA is relying on a third party to help design the RNP routes, as you know. Further in Section 410 of the reauthorization proposal that the FAA submitted, it would expand the authority of the FAA to non-Government third parties to develop new procedures. I wonder if you might express your current concerns and any thoughts you may have on the RNP third party design and expanding the authority of the FAA to give non-Government authorities third party jurisdiction and procedures? Mr. Scovel. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. My staff has not had time to study this question in detail, but our initial take on it was that this represents a considerable delegation on the part of the FAA Administrator of her powers regarding RNP currently, which are to develop, implement and maintain RNP. Currently, third parties are limited only to the development of one-third of that equation. As I understand the proposed legislation, the Administrator proposes to expand third parties' powers to include not only development but also implementation and maintenance of RNP. As a general matter, we have concerns, and I think these echo perhaps some of those that Mr. Oberstar was just making, when it comes to contracting out or privatization or outsourcing. While some of these questions are certainly policy matters for the Congress, as an Inspector General, our concerns have to do first of all with maintaining a strong Federal role for establishing performance requirements. Secondly, Mr. Oberstar mentioned certification. We would maintain that that too is a matter of concern for us, especially when certification has to do with safety, as RNP ultimately will. Finally, we see a continued need for agency oversight. And not the kind of oversight, certainly, that my office, as an office Inspector General, would provide. While we can go in and in great detail through a program audit for a specific period of time conduct a detailed examination of a program, what is necessary in these outsourcing or privatization efforts is the kind of oversight that the Agency itself must maintain. It must be a daily, persistent, consistent degree of oversight that really removes the Agency from the role of partner with its contractor and places it in the role of watchdog. If those three concerns are satisfied, then it truly is a policy matter for the Congress. And as an Inspector General, I am happy to leave those decisions to you. Mr. Oberstar. Will the Chairman yield? Mr. Costello. Yes. Mr. Oberstar. The Inspector General is bringing an extremely important refinement on the issue and the delineation of the details of oversight that he spelled out we should review from the record and incorporate that into our thinking. I want the FAA to take particular note of those concerns. That is exactly what I am talking about. Not end of the road, the Inspector General usually comes in when a program is well down the line and sees whether it has been performed properly. FAA is doing it day to day. That is what your distinction is, and I think that is extremely important. Mr. Costello. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I want to be clear, Mr. Leader, before we conclude this panel and go on to the second panel, it is my understanding from your testimony that at the end of June we can expect to get the enterprise architecture. And by the end of July, we will have the integrated work plan. At the end of July, when we have both of those plans together, I believe that you, in answer to my question, you said that it will clearly define and it will be a comprehensive plan defining both time lines, cost and the program development policy implementation. Is that correct? Mr. Leader. Yes, sir, with the caveat that as we coordinate it with our partners agencies, it will continue to be refined. But it is the baseline for the planning going forward. Mr. Costello. But you believe that both the enterprise architecture and the integrated work plan will be completed by the end of July? They will be comprehensive and they will answer the questions about cost time lines and how the system will be implemented? Mr. Leader. Yes, sir. Mr. Costello. Very good. Unless there are other members who have questions, Ms. Fallin? Do you have any further questions? Chairman Oberstar? Mr. Oberstar. May I just ask, I intended to, I didn't want to extend the time, but Dr. Dillingham, for his observations on my concerns. Mr. Dillingham. Good morning, Chairman Oberstar. We have the same concerns that you have. We echo the concerns that the Inspector General in fact voiced. We are particularly concerned with, particularly if you talk about ADS-B or more for ADS-B in terms of security, we think it is important that it is in fact the FAA that will certify and license the contractor for ADS-B. But we are concerned that we preserve the rights of the Federal Government, particularly where security is concerned. At the same time, Mr. Oberstar, we think that we wouldn't just out of hand dismiss the possibility of some contracting out. Because at this point, it is not clear to us that the FAA has all the resources it needs to do all the things that it is chartered to do. But it needs the oversight and it needs careful scrutiny to the extent that it does do some contracting out in this way. Mr. Oberstar. A lesson from the past to be observed in the present and into the future. In the 1960s and into the 1970s and the mid-1980s, the relationship between FAA and IBM in the development of air traffic control technology was such that you could not tell where FAA left off and IBM began or vice versa. For a while, when IBM was the giant uncontested, that was somewhat accepted practice. But as other technology and other firms with that capability came forward with services and equipment and software to offer, and challenged that leadership role, and we began to see that FAA was losing its objectivity, FAA was losing its innovative ability separate from that of IBM, and too strong a dependence on one vendor because a detriment to the diversification of the FAA air traffic control technology. When we had eventually what I called at the time a meltdown, when FAA/IBM, IBM/FAA proposed technology standard was going to cost maybe $2 billion or $3 billion more, maybe not really be achievable, is when finally the Inspector General, GAO at the time was of great service to our Subcommittee, gave us the reaffirmation of the concerns and fears that we had, that are now being repeated again. This idea of Section 410 of the reauthorization proposal to designate non-Government third parties the ability to develop aircraft operating procedures, that is back to the IBM nexus. That is a major concern that I have, a lesson that we learned painfully, that we created some distance and separation and keep FAA in the position of being the overseer, as Inspector General Scovel said, day to day, hands on management. Thank you. Mr. Costello. I thank the Chairman, and would just, as a side note, add on the Science Committee we have seen a similar relationship between NASA and some of the contractors that they have relied on and work with on a day to day basis, and lose objectivity and oversight. The same is true with the Department of Defense as well. We have had example after example. That is why I have major concerns about contracting out and losing objectivity and oversight. That is one of the reasons why I have made the point many times that we have to be aggressive in our oversight to make certain that the agency is doing its job and we closely scrutinize their responsibilities. With that, I thank all of our witnesses here today, and we will note to Mr. Sturgell and Mr. Leader that we have a few other questions, one of Dr. Dillingham and a few of you that we will submit in writing and ask that you answer them in writing. We thank you for your testimony today, and look forward to seeing you again. I will now call on our second panel to come forward, please. As the second panel is coming forward to be seated, let me introduce our witnesses. The first witness is Peter Bunce, who is the President and CEO of the General Aviation Manufacturers Association. Next is Dr. Christina Frederick-Recascino, the Interim Provost and Director of Research at Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University; Tom Brantley, the President of the Professional Airways Systems Specialists; and Dr. Michael Romanowski, who is the Vice President of Civil Aviation, Aerospace Industries Association. We appreciate all of you being here today and look forward to hearing your testimony just as soon as you get seated. We would make note that your testimony in its entirety will appear in the record and would ask each of you to summarize your testimony. We would call on Mr. Bunch, you first, sir. TESTIMONY OF PETER J. BUNCE, PRESIDENT AND CEO, GENERAL AVIATION MANUFACTURERS ASSOCIATION; CHRISTINA FREDERICK- RECASCINO, PH.D., INTERIM PROVOST AND DIRECTOR OF RESEARCH, EMBRY-RIDDLE AERONAUTICAL UNIVERSITY; THOMAS BRANTLEY, PRESIDENT, PROFESSIONAL AIRWAYS SYSTEMS SPECIALISTS; MICHAEL ROMANOWSKI, VICE PRESIDENT OF CIVIL AVIATION, AEROSPACE INDUSTRIES ASSOCIATION Mr. Bunce. Chairman Oberstar, Chairman Costello, Ranking Member Petri, thank you for inviting me to testify before the Subcommittee today. And thank you for entering my full statement into the record. On behalf of our 60 member corporations and the thousands of employees throughout the U.S. and the world, I applaud this Committee for taking the initiative to have a hearing on this critical issue of transformation. Despite the many differences that exist between general aviation and the major airlines, the regional airlines and the cargo folks dealing with funding of the system, there is nothing that we agree more on and nothing that binds us all together as much as the critical need for transformation. Mr. Chairman, just last week the Senate took critical steps toward the implementation of NextGen with the introduction of S. 1300, the Aviation Investment and Modernization Act of 2007. Although GAMA has significant concerns over the bill's inclusion of a $25 user fee, we do applaud the Senate for its work in strengthening JPDO in addressing critical needs for NextGen. Likewise, we know every member of this Committee is deeply concerned about the pace and planning for NextGen and know that your focus on this issue will bring about positive change. Mr. Chairman, the JPDO was designed as part of Vision-100 legislation to leverage the institutional and technical knowledge of many Federal agencies involved in the transformation process. Unfortunately, many of these relationships, so desperately needed for JPDO and NextGen success, have failed to mature. We believe that in order for the JPDO to be successful, some fundamental structural changes are necessary. Greater authority needs to be given to the JPDO director, to include being a major player on the FAA's Joint Resources Council. Clearly delineating the reporting lines for the JPDO director is important, both up the chain and for those that work for him. And also increasing the Government-wide support for NextGen to include not only signing the memorandums of understanding, but working to make positive change to their budgets, R&D approaches and a sharing of personnel with the JPDO. And finally, to abandon the stovepipe approach that FAA acquisition processes are used within the OEP to be able to take a more systems-wide look at acquiring the system that we need to perform in NextGen. But structural changes alone won't fix the problem. We strongly encourage Congress to work with industry and push the JPDO, the FAA and the Department of Transportation and other participating Government agencies to clearly define what they intend to build and how they intend to build it. This comprehensive plan defining both time and required costs must incorporate reasonable and executable time lines for program development, policy implementation and rule development, aircraft certification and aircraft equipage. You have heard this morning that the plan that is going to be brought forward will talk, will be a plan that will provide a baseline for all others. But I can tell you today with certainty that this plan will not tell us as manufacturers what we have to build to put in the airplane to execute just very basic backbone systems like ADS-B. We do not have that delineation right now for the manufacturers to be able to know exactly what to put in the aircraft. That is why aircraft coming off the production line today, even though we have ADS-B elements in it, are not going to be able to operate in the system as we probably will see it out there, because we don't have the design specifications as of yet. In order for the system to work, aircraft owners, both commercial and GA, will have to equip their aircraft to operate in this new system. Now, the FAA Administrator defines the cost of equipage as being roughly equal to the cost of the Government investment. Let me use ADS-B as an example. The main concern facing us with ADS-B roll-out is that the benefits are still undefined to the users. In fact, we are trying to help the FAA define those benefits. But unless we know what those benefits are, what we are going to find is that people will equip with this technology at the back end of the window, and that is what we saw with the reverse vertical separation memo, RVSM. If they wait until the back of the window, that is out at 2020. Now, the FAA just revised their estimates of what equipage would be like when they get the ground infrastructure in place at about 2014. They talked originally about perhaps having 40 percent of the fleet equipped, now they have revised that to 26 percent. If we are going to truly reach a capacity limit around the year of 2015, 2016, 2017, and we aren't going to have a majority of the fleet equipped until way out at the end of the window, at the end of near 2020, then all the time lines don't reconcile. That gives us serious concern. GAMA believes that Congress must identify a reasonable performance-based and revenue neutral strategy to try to incentivize equipage. That is part of the debate that hasn't been talked about a lot. We talk about the Government investment in this. But unless we are able to somehow figure out a revenue neutral way to incentivize both the commercial and GA folks to be able to equip with this technology, we are not going to get the benefits early enough to be able to solve the capacity problems out in the system. Mr. Chairman, thank you for letting me be here today and I look forward to your questions later on. Mr. Costello. We thank you, Mr. Bunce. The Chair now recognizes Dr. Frederick-Recascino. Ms. Frederick-Recascino. Chairman Costello, Ranking Member Petri, Chairman Oberstar, thank you for allowing me to testify today. My name is Christina Frederick-Recascino, and I am the Interim Provost and Director of Research at Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, the world's largest and oldest university solely devoted to aviation education and research. Our students, faculty and staff live and breathe aviation. In the United States, we have been fortunate to enjoy a vibrant air transportation system, allowing us to move across the Country quickly and easily. However, this year, all trends indicate that congestion may be at an all-time peak. The skies are crowded, the quality of the traveling experience, according to all evidence, is declining and the American public deserves better. At Embry-Riddle, we are currently testing solutions that will improve safety and decrease congestion in the national airspace. One of these solutions is the ADS-B system. Embry- Riddle was one of the early pioneers in the installation and testing of ADS-B. Embry-Riddle outfitted its entire fleet of 100 aircraft with this system and has provided data to the FAA bout increases in safety resulting from this retrofit. We believe it is a good thing, and we have shown that increased situation awareness provided to pilots and operation center staff resulting from ADS-B has enhanced the safety record of our fleet. We have experienced a significantly lower number of near mid-air incidents since our ADS-B installation. Embry-Riddle recently has embarked on another ambitious and timely project. We have created a university public-private partnership called the Airport of the Future. With our private partners, Lockheed Martin, Transtech, ENSCO, Sensis, Jeppesen and Mosaic ATM and three others who are in process, and our public partners, Volusia County, Florida, and the Daytona Beach International Airport, we have created a cutting edge national test bed for new air modernization technologies in the tenth busiest airspace in the Country at a working commercial airport. The Airport of the Future is a four-phase project, developed in response to the call for air traffic and airspace modernization. Each phase will focus on a different air modernization problem. The first phase examines airspace and airport safety, including further testing of ADS-B implementation. Phase two focuses on airport capacity and efficiency issues. Phase Three examines ramp management technologies and point to point technology enhanced arrivals and departures. Phase four tests solutions for all-weather airport operations. The partners in the Airport of the Future project realize that new technologies designed to modernize the airspace system must be tested prior to implementation. At our test bed, all of our private partners have entered into a signed agreement. The will bring their technologies to Daytona Beach International Airport, where they will be tested and integrated with other teams' technologies. Embry-Riddle will collect and analyze data from these integrated systems. We will have the ability to use the data we collect to enter into a simulation to test human factor solutions that include human participants in the airspace system. Controllers, dispatchers and pilots will be able to engage in decision-making activities to test the newest technological solutions. In addition, the data we collect can be used to generate financial estimates of the cost of implementation of these new systems, estimates that are crucial to the Federal Government and to every tax-paying citizen in this Country. On March 27th and 28th of this year, we presented to the world the first demo of our project. We had individuals from all over the globe come to hear the project, including representatives from the FAA, NASA and Germany's DLR. They recognize the importance of this project. In a short period of time, at DBIA, we will have technologies installed. We will show that these technologies can be integrated with all other systems that are at the airport. No other project has brought together multiple partners who have agreed to work together at one location for technology testing and integration. The project is really unprecedented in both scale and scope. The Airport of the Future should become the next national test bed for all NextGen technologies. Since our first demonstration, other companies have expressed interest in joining our partnership and we open it up to any companies and agencies who want to be part of this unique and important vision. Embry-Riddle's motto is ``Leading the World in Aviation and Aerospace Education and Research.'' In all that we do, we look to the skies and lead the way to a stronger and safer future for aviation. We are asking Congress this year to partner with us to make the Airport of the Future the national test bed for NextGen technologies. Embry-Riddle and its partners estimate the cost of the project to be $50 million over the next five years. Our private partners are contributing half the cost of the project, along with the technical support from Embry-Riddle in a facility provided to us. We are requesting that this Committee provide language in the FAA authorization bill supporting our efforts for this important endeavor, that will provide solutions for airspace modernization in the United States. Thank you for your time today, Mr. Chairman. This concludes my testimony. Mr. Costello. We thank you. And the Chair now recognizes Mr. Brantley. Mr. Brantley. Chairman Costello, Congressman Petri and Chairman Oberstar, thank you for asking PASS to testify today. PASS represents approximately 11,000 FAA employees working throughout the United States and overseas. We appreciate the opportunity to present our views on the future of air traffic control modernization. The FAA has introduced a plan to modernize the national airspace system through development and deployment of the Next Generation Air Transportation System, or NextGen. Under previous administrators, PASS worked closely with the FAA in its efforts to modernize the NAS, collaborating on such efforts as the development and deployment of the Standard Terminal Automation Replacement System, STARS, where it ultimately was deployed successfully; the display system replacement, DSR; and the National Airspace System Infrastructure Management System, or NIMS. Throughout these projects and many others, the experience and expertise offered by PASS members proved invaluable. As Congress has seen over the years, and as testified to by the GAO again today, involving the employees who use and operate the systems in the development of those systems, greatly improves the final product and inevitably saves the taxpayer money. Yet in 2003, the FAA began to eliminate PASS' involvement, and PASS has not been a participant in developing and implementing any of the FAA's modernization projects for several years now. PASS believes the FAA must reconsider its exclusionary approach to modernization and once again involve the employees, who will ultimately play a large part in any modernization effort. In addition, there must be a sufficient number of trained FAA technicians in place to maintain the NAS today and into the future. Since the FAA does not have a staffing model to accurately determine the number of technicians needed to meet the agency's mission, PASS is requesting that Congress require a study of FAA technician training and the methods used by the FAA to determine technician staffing needs. The FAA is nonetheless moving forward with plans to modernize the NAS without input from FAA technicians. Recent issues associated with the implementation of the FAA telecommunications infrastructure, FTI, highlight the problems that develop when stakeholders are not involved. A few years ago, PASS' liaison was removed from the FTI project and PASS was informed that its support was no longer needed. Since that time, the costs for the program have escalated, the expected benefits have deteriorated and there have been numerous problems with implementation, leading to several outages across the Country. Implementation problems could have been avoided or reduced had PASS been involved in the development and implementation of the system. Development of additional NextGen systems must include stakeholder participation, especially FAA technicians who are intimately aware of every aspect of the NAS and how each system affects every other system. In addition, the agency's reauthorization proposal includes provisions that would outsource key components of the NAS, such as ADS-B, which I believe is as much a part of the Administration's privatization effort as it is the modernization effort with the NAS. To introduce concepts that would hinder or abandon the work performed by the dedicated professionals that are already in place would be to risk the foundation that keeps this Country's aviation system safe. PASS is very concerned that the Administration's desire to privatize the NAS and related services overwhelms any thought of the true implications of such an action. PASS firmly believes that providing a safe and secure NAS is an obligation that must remain with the Federal Government. The danger of placing the world's busiest, most complex and yet safest air traffic control system into the hands of private contractors is too great a risk. The safety of the flying public should never be sold to the lowest bidder under any circumstance. Thank you, and I would be happy to answer any questions that you have. Mr. Costello. Thank you, Mr. Brantley. The Chair now recognizes Mr. Romanowski. Mr. Romanowski. Thank you, Chairman Costello, Chairman Oberstar, Representative Petri. On behalf of the nearly 300 member companies of AIA and the 635,000 high-skilled, high-wage workers they employ, I would like to thank you for allowing me to testify on the critical issues related to modernizing our aviation infrastructure. I would also like to thank the Subcommittee for its leadership on modernization issues, particularly the establishment of the JPDO and the integrated NextGen process. We remain a strong supporter of both JPDO and NextGen, and the comments I offer here are intended to help strengthen JPDO so that NextGen can become a reality. We have heard this morning that we all agree on the need for modernization and the importance of aviation to our Nation's economy. However, despite the pressing need, we question whether we are really adequately prepared to meet the challenge of implementing this system. The consequences are high. The JPDO has estimated that the cost of not implementing NextGen will be over $20 billion per year by 2015 and over $50 billion per year by 2025. That is just the effect on commercial aviation. That doesn't include other areas. Now, looking across the JPDO enterprise, we see several areas of concern that place NextGen development and implementation at risk. First, I would like to say that we applaud Mr. Leader and the moves he is making on reorganization and refocusing its working groups on implementation. Those are moves in the right direction, and there is progress being made with improving the engagement with industry. And more work there remains to be done and we are going to support him as he moves forward. But on the Government side, we do see systemic issues that will require immediate attention and resolution. Taking these from a high level, we see across the agencies a lack of urgency. We also see a lack of accountability by the agencies for their NextGen responsibilities. And finally, we see a lack of program integration across the agencies and a need to strengthen the JPDO, particularly its program management and systems engineering disciplines. These are all clearly illustrated by the R&D gap that Dr. Dillingham and Mr. Scovel talked about earlier that exist between FAA and NASA. This is an issue we believe needs to be addressed immediately if NextGen is going to succeed. We believe it is going to take strong Congressional leadership to resolve those issues. It is estimated that NextGen development and implementation is going to require at least $1 billion per year. Unfortunately, the Administration's budget request fails to make that level of investment. For example, the FAA's 2008 request only increases funding for NextGen at 3 percent or $36 million. We are losing time. Mr. Sturgell stated in his testimony that by 2015, the system will not be able to handle the traffic that will exist. Given the time required to conduct research, validate and prototype concepts, create new rules and procedures, certify systems and incorporate the necessary upgrades into our infrastructure and the operational fleet, we believe it is critical that we really jump start NextGen now. We need to be more aggressive, taking advantage of the capabilities that are already in aircraft, and we need to ensure that we are prepared to certify the new systems. This highlights the importance of the Aviation Safety Organization in FAA. That is an organization that is currently already resource constrained. But the new regulations, policies and certification approvals that are going to be required for NextGen are going to be needed to be done at that organization. Those are front-loaded activities and we need to ensure the FAA applies sufficient resources to achieve the necessary results in that area. However, developing new policies and certifying new systems depends on having done adequate research. This is an incredible concern for us. The concepts of operations that Mr. Leader is talking about calls out 167 research questions and 77 policy issues that have to be addressed to implement NextGen. With the research gap that exists between FAA and NASA, we question how those are going to be resolved. That research gap should not exist. Congress provided NASA an additional $166 million above their request for 2007. We believe that money needs to be applied now to transitional research for NextGen to close that gap now. Now, if we look across the accountability and authority of JPDO and the agencies, additional work needs to be done there. We believe Vision 100 and the national aeronautics policy that President Bush recently signed gives them the authority to develop and implement the plan. But that requires the agencies to do their part. The agencies' commitment must be strengthened. They need to be held accountable to the integrated work plan and strong Congressional oversight is going to be required to make sure that occurs. We also call out additional recommendations to strengthen the accountability and performance within the JPDO, including fully funding the JPDO and improving the resources it has at its disposal. With that, I will conclude my testimony and welcome any questions you have. Thank you. Mr. Costello. Thank you very much. Mr. Bunce, you indicated in your testimony, both in your testimony today and in your written testimony that I read last evening that you think that the JPDO director, instead of reporting and having accountability both to the COO and the Administrator, that it might be best to have the director report directly to the FAA Administrator. Do you want to elaborate on that? Mr. Bunce. Yes, Mr. Chairman. We in industry want to see Charlie succeed. We have great stakes in making sure that he can be the boss of his organization and that he can provide advice at the right level. If he reports directly to the FAA Administrator and is a member of basically the acquisition arm that the FAA has, then there is a connect between JPDO and the OEP, so that they can take this vision and bring it to reality when they go and acquire systems. So by making the head of the JPDO report directly to the FAA Administrator and putting him on this JRC, there is a capability to raise that position and stature within the FAA to be able to try to leverage all these different systems that they are bringing on board. Also, the head of the JPDO needs to be an advisor to the Secretary of Transportation. When you look at the time frame between the last time that Mr. Mineta had all the principals together for all the different agencies, the time that has elapsed, basically two budget cycles have gone by where we have missed opportunities to put funding in budgets of other agencies to be able to further this NextGen along. So we think that raising the stature of the head of the JPDO becomes very, very important. Mr. Costello. We are going to hear the bells go off in just a few minutes. We have four votes on the Floor coming up. So I am going to ask some questions very quickly and call on Mr. Petri. Let me just ask you, Mr. Bunce, in your testimony you indicate, and I am quoting, that you strongly encourage Congress to both push the JPDO, FAA and DOT and other governmental participating agencies and on and on, to clearly define what they intend to build, how they intend to build it, a comprehensive plan. You have heard the testimony this morning that by the end of July that we are going to have a comprehensive plan and I guess I would just ask you, based upon your experience in dealing with NextGen, do you have confidence that that plan, that we are near the time at the end of July where we are actually going to have a plan that lays it out? Mr. Bunce. Sir, I think it is an iterative process. I think that we are going to have a clearer concept, a clearer vision. And as we go and put this enterprise architecture together, it will give more and more clues as to where we eventually want to go. Industry provided the FAA with clear concerns about ADS-B. And really, we are not going to have a notice of proposed rulemaking right now out until they say September. But in that it is very important. If we don't come out with separation criteria for ADS-B that is at least as good as what we have today, people are going to start scratching their heads. We know that what is going to come out in June and July isn't really the NPRM. That is the technical part. When we look to industry and we say, a plan is something we can build to, and that is really our point. Industry needs to be able to build this infrastructure, and until we get the design specifications and know what some of these augmentation signal requirements are for the GPS to be able to really have a precise position, to know what kind of separation criteria is out there, we have a hard time being able to go and figure out how industry is going to be incentivized to want to go forward and build this quickly before we know how much demand is going to be out there. So all of these things are very important to fit together. Mr. Costello. Thank you. Mr. Brantley, you state in your testimony that the FAA adopted a position of banning PASS from the modernization project. You heard the testimony earlier of the FAA saying that they thought that they gave plenty of input, both to NATCA and to the technicians. I just want you to elaborate on your statement that their position was to ban PASS from the modernization project. Mr. Brantley. Certainly. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I believe the question was answered very artfully earlier. What I would offer is that the agency can direct an employee, order them to be part of a work group that is working on something that has to do with modernization as an assignment of work. Now, as an employee, they are not as free to raise issues or even to pursue them after they are raised as they are if they do it on behalf of the union. Quite frankly, they are protected when they do it on behalf of the union. If they do it as an FAA employee, they fall into the greater than 60 percent of FAA employees who are afraid to speak up when they see a problem, because they fear retaliation. So as a general culture, FAA employees don't speak up, if they can avoid it. So I am not surprised that they have chosen to go this route, because if you don't find problems, then you are not hindered with having to correct them. Mr. Costello. You also mention in your testimony that several recent high visibility outages have called into question the FAA's focus on maintaining the current system. I would ask you to elaborate on that. Mr. Brantley. Certainly. There have been several throughout the last year. Los Angeles, Chicago had a problem earlier. And what they had to do with is, the people that are installing the FTI system, and there are very different, many different companies across the Country, because Harris has outsourced much of that, so the vendors are probably too many to even mention. But they are not intimately familiar with the equipment that the telecommunications infrastructure is designed to feed. So many times they will, whether it is turn a system off inadvertently or when they bring the FTI online, it is not lined up properly, so the communications don't go where they should. It is just something that the FAA is relying on the vendor to do, that they are frankly not capable of. Mr. Costello. You mentioned outsourcing. Since the certification cannot be outsourced, you indicate in your testimony that the FAA has been very creative in trying to circumvent the system, would you elaborate on that? Mr. Brantley. Yes, sir, Mr. Chairman. One of the things that we have seen and heard from the FAA in the last couple of years is that they are trying to reduce the amount of certification they do. Where today they certify the systems, the services, and in many cases the pieces of equipment, depending on the criticality, and each of those must be certified before it can be put into the overall system and be used to control air traffic. Because legal determinations have been made that won't allow the certification to be outsourced, it is considered inherently governmental, the agency has come to the conclusion that just not doing the certification would clear that roadblock. So they want to dramatically scale back the amount and type of certifications that are done. And initially they want to go to strictly a service certification, without any equipment certified at all, which again, being done the way they are planning is going to create a lot of problems. It is going to end up putting us in a position where systems are put into the NAS that aren't ready, and outages are going to occur, people will be pointing fingers, no one will know what is going on and the travelers are going to be sitting in the terminal wondering what is going on. Mr. Costello. Thank you. The Chair recognizes the Ranking Member. Mr. Petri. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I just have one question, given the time constraints. I would like to ask Mr. Brantley, and really, all the members of the panel, in your judgment, does the Joint Planning and Development Office have the necessary resources and authority to carry out NextGen? If not, what changes should we be making to make sure that they do? Mr. Brantley. Mr. Petri, I think it is hard for me to say exactly, because, without being involved in modernization any more than reading about it in the newspaper, and what we hear at the water cooler, it is hard to make a real call on that. But from everything I hear and read, I would say that they are struggling with having the autonomy and the overall buy-in. Until that is nailed down, whatever they come up with is going to be tough to implement, unless each agency is really stepping up to the plate and are a part of it, and that they have the autonomy to do their job without anyone overly controlling them. I think those are probably the biggest issues. Mr. Bunce. Sir, I would just like to add, and be a little more frank here, the head of the JPDO has two engineers that work for him right now, has about six direct reports. So he is having challenges just having the technical expertise that he can reach down and touch and lead an organization to be able to implement NextGen. This is a huge endeavor. We have to give the head of the JPDO the tools to be able to go ahead and execute. Unless he has people that work directly for him, you know, when the military assigns people across departments, you can have an Air Force guy working for a Navy guy. When the Navy person is who that person is reporting to, he writes the report. And why these different agencies can't send quality people over to work in the JPDO, not to say that there aren't, but send their best people over, because this is very important, and have them report directly to the head of the JPDO is something I don't understand. Mr. Romanowski. I would like to add to what Pete has been saying here. JPDO right now, as he said, very few of the people actually work for Charlie Leader. We believe that he needs to have direct performance input into those people. But also, if you look across the agencies, it is very difficult to say who is responsible in those agencies for NextGen. And one of the things that we think is very important is that somebody be named in each of those agencies that has NextGen accountability. DOD is apparently moving down an approach to name an overall NextGen program manager or program director at DOD. We think that ought to be applying to all the partner agencies at DOD, and that person should be tied in and working for Charlie Leader as a direct report as well, so that we can ensure that there is clear flow-down of need, of funding, of resources through the agencies, and that the agencies also have appropriate feedback into the overall integrated plan. One of the key things that we are very concerned about is that, as the integrated plan develops, will that plan really reflect the capabilities and resources available at the agencies or are there gaps that are going to be there. That has to be fed back into the overall plan, the actual performance to the plan, so that we can make adjustments as necessary, the funding is actually applied where it needs to be, and the like. The same thing goes for an engagement with the industry, that the feedback that comes from the industry in terms of implementation and requirements generation gets fed back into the overall plan. So right now, I think JPDO probably has authority given to it. If you look at the statutes in the President's policy, it has the authority to do what it needs to do. But we need to really step up the oversight and accountability. That starts with MOUs, making sure that those are not just, I think Mr. Leader testified that they were symbolic to the Science Committee last month. Those need to be real, meaningful MOUs that really call out clearly what the agencies are going to do with the resources that they are going to provide. And then moving down into the other areas. Mr. Costello. We thank you very much. We have less than four minutes to get over to the Floor, so I would let our witnesses know that we have some written questions that we would like to submit to you and ask you to answer them for the record. We thank you for your testimony today and look forward to continuing to work with you. Just as a side note to Mr. Bunce and Dr. Romanowski, I can tell you that we have had these conversations and I agree with you that JPDO, without question, has the authority that it needs, but it needs to be restructured and needs to be defined. And the people who work there need to report to one person. We will have further discussions about that. We appreciate your testimony and this concludes our hearing. [Whereupon, at 12:45 p.m., the subcommittee was adjourned.] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]