[House Hearing, 110 Congress] [From the U.S. Government Publishing Office] THE FEDERAL TRANSIT ADMINISTRATION'S PROPOSED RULE ON THE NEW STARTS AND SMALL STARTS PROGRAMS ======================================================================= (110-72) HEARING BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON HIGHWAYS AND TRANSIT OF THE COMMITTEE ON TRANSPORTATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ONE HUNDRED TENTH CONGRESS FIRST SESSION __________ SEPTEMBER 26, 2007 __________ Printed for the use of the Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 38-168 PDF WASHINGTON DC: 2007 --------------------------------------------------------------------- For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866)512-1800 DC area (202)512-1800 Fax: (202) 512-2250 Mail Stop SSOP, Washington, DC 20402-0001 COMMITTEE ON TRANSPORTATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE JAMES L. OBERSTAR, Minnesota, Chairman NICK J. RAHALL, II, West Virginia, JOHN L. MICA, Florida Vice Chair DON YOUNG, Alaska PETER A. DeFAZIO, Oregon THOMAS E. PETRI, Wisconsin JERRY F. COSTELLO, Illinois HOWARD COBLE, North Carolina ELEANOR HOLMES NORTON, District of JOHN J. DUNCAN, Jr., Tennessee Columbia WAYNE T. GILCHREST, Maryland JERROLD NADLER, New York VERNON J. EHLERS, Michigan CORRINE BROWN, Florida STEVEN C. LaTOURETTE, Ohio BOB FILNER, California RICHARD H. BAKER, Louisiana EDDIE BERNICE JOHNSON, Texas FRANK A. LoBIONDO, New Jersey GENE TAYLOR, Mississippi JERRY MORAN, Kansas ELIJAH E. CUMMINGS, Maryland GARY G. MILLER, California ELLEN O. TAUSCHER, California ROBIN HAYES, North Carolina LEONARD L. BOSWELL, Iowa HENRY E. BROWN, Jr., South TIM HOLDEN, Pennsylvania Carolina BRIAN BAIRD, Washington TIMOTHY V. JOHNSON, Illinois RICK LARSEN, Washington TODD RUSSELL PLATTS, Pennsylvania MICHAEL E. CAPUANO, Massachusetts SAM GRAVES, Missouri JULIA CARSON, Indiana BILL SHUSTER, Pennsylvania TIMOTHY H. BISHOP, New York JOHN BOOZMAN, Arkansas MICHAEL H. MICHAUD, Maine SHELLEY MOORE CAPITO, West BRIAN HIGGINS, New York Virginia RUSS CARNAHAN, Missouri JIM GERLACH, Pennsylvania JOHN T. SALAZAR, Colorado MARIO DIAZ-BALART, Florida GRACE F. NAPOLITANO, California CHARLES W. DENT, Pennsylvania DANIEL LIPINSKI, Illinois TED POE, Texas DORIS O. MATSUI, California DAVID G. REICHERT, Washington NICK LAMPSON, Texas CONNIE MACK, Florida ZACHARY T. SPACE, Ohio JOHN R. `RANDY' KUHL, Jr., New MAZIE K. HIRONO, Hawaii York BRUCE L. BRALEY, Iowa LYNN A WESTMORELAND, Georgia JASON ALTMIRE, Pennsylvania CHARLES W. BOUSTANY, Jr., TIMOTHY J. WALZ, Minnesota Louisiana HEATH SHULER, North Carolina JEAN SCHMIDT, Ohio MICHAEL A. ACURI, New York CANDICE S. MILLER, Michigan HARRY E. MITCHELL, Arizona THELMA D. DRAKE, Virginia CHRISTOPHER P. CARNEY, Pennsylvania MARY FALLIN, Oklahoma JOHN J. HALL, New York VERN BUCHANAN, Florida STEVE KAGEN, Wisconsin STEVE COHEN, Tennessee JERRY McNERNEY, California LAURA A. RICHARDSON, California (ii) SUBCOMMITTEE ON HIGHWAYS, TRANSIT AND PIPELINES PETER A. DeFAZIO, Oregon, Chairman NICK J. RAHALL II, West Virginia JOHN J. DUNCAN, Jr., Tennessee JERROLD NADLER, New York DON YOUNG, Alaska ELLEN O. TAUSCHER, California THOMAS E. PETRI, Wisconsin TIM HOLDEN, Pennsylvania HOWARD COBLE, North Carolina MICHAEL E. CAPUANO, Massachusetts RICHARD H. BAKER, Louisiana JULIA CARSON, Indiana GARY G. MILLER, California TIMOTHY H. BISHOP, New York ROBIN HAYES, North Carolina MICHAEL H. MICHAUD, Maine HENRY E. BROWN, Jr., South BRIAN HIGGINS, New York Carolina GRACE F. NAPOLITANO, California TIMOTHY V. JOHNSON, Illinois MAZIE K. HIRONO, Hawaii TODD RUSSELL PLATTS, Pennsylvania JASON ALTMIRE, Pennsylvania JOHN BOOZMAN, Arkansas TIMOTHY J. WALZ, Minnesota SHELLEY MOORE CAPITO, West HEATH SHULER, North Carolina Virginia MICHAEL A ARCURI, New York JIM GERLACH, Pennsylvania CHRISTOPHER P. CARNEY, Pennsylvania MARIO DIAZ-BALART, Florida JERRY MCNERNEY, California CHARLES W. DENT, Pennsylvania BOB FILNER, California TED POE, Texas ELIJAH E. CUMMINGS, Maryland DAVID G. REICHERT, Washington BRIAN BAIRD, Washington CHARLES W. BOUSTANY, Jr., DANIEL LIPINSKI, Illinois Louisiana DORIS O. MATSUI, California JEAN SCHMIDT, Ohio STEVE COHEN, Tennessee CANDICE S. MILLER, Michigan ZACHARY T. SPACE, Ohio THELMA D. DRAKE, Virginia BRUCE L. BRALEY, Iowa, Vice Chair MARY FALLIN, Oklahoma HARRY E. MITCHELL, Arizona VERN BUCHANAN, Florida LAURA A. RICHARDSON, California JOHN L. MICA, Florida JAMES L. OBERSTAR, Minnesota (Ex Officio) (Ex Officio) (iii) CONTENTS Page Summary of Subject Matter........................................ vi TESTIMONY Huffer, Mark E., Kansas City Area Transit Authority, General Manager, Kansas City, MO....................................... 29 Poticha, Shelley, Reconnecting America, President and CEO, Oakland, CA.................................................... 29 Simpson, Hon. James S., Federal Transit Administration, Administrator, Washington, D.C................................. 4 Townes, Michael, Hampton Roads Transit, Executive Director, Hampton, VA.................................................... 29 Zimmerman, Christopher, Arlington County Board, Board Member, Arlington, VA.................................................. 29 PREPARED STATEMENTS SUBMITTED BY MEMBERS OF CONGRESS Mitchell, Hon. Harry E., of Arizona.............................. 42 PREPARED STATEMENTS SUBMITTED BY WITNESSES Huffer, Mark E................................................... 46 Poticha, Shelley................................................. 51 Simpson, Hon. James S............................................ 60 Townes, Michael S................................................ 78 Zimmerman, Christopher........................................... 83 SUBMISSIONS FOR THE RECORD Simpson, Hon. James S., Federal Transit Administration, Administrator, Washington, D.C.: Responses to questions from Rep. DeFazio....................... 67 Responses to questions from Rep. Napolitano.................... 75 [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] 38168.001 [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] 38168.002 [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] 38168.003 [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] 38168.004 [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] 38168.005 [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] 38168.006 [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] 38168.007 HEARING ON THE FEDERAL TRANSIT ADMINISTRATION'S PROPOSED RULE ON THE NEW STARTS AND SMALL STARTS PROGRAMS ---------- Wednesday, September 26, 2007 House of Representatives Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure, Subcommittee on Highways and Transit, Washington, DC. The Subcommittee met, pursuant to call, at 10:00 a.m., in Room 2167, Rayburn House Office Building, the Honorable Peter A. DeFazio [Chairman of the Subcommittee] presiding. Mr. DeFazio. The Subcommittee will come to order. I want to thank Members and the witnesses for being here. On May 10th we held a hearing on New Starts and Small Starts, and at that time the FTA had not yet issued its proposed rule for these programs. We had, I thought at the time, a pretty frank exchange of views and the Committee made clear and underlined what we thought was the legislative intent previously. Unfortunately, since that time we now have the NPRM on New and Small Starts, and I don't think that, as currently written, it reflects the concerns that were raised in that hearing. I don't believe it implements the statutory intent, and it has caused tremendous concern among transit stakeholders around the Country in terms of the long-term implications, should it be implemented as currently written. I am hopeful that we will see some major changes. We understand we are in the comment period. The FTA has scheduled some listening sessions, and hopefully not only the FTA will be listening, but those others in the Administration who have been involved in writing this rule will be listening and will be attentive to concerns expressed and perhaps conveyed to them by the FTA. I will get into the details of my particular concerns after we have heard from the Administrator. I appreciate his being here today. But I really do feel that this is potentially a failed attempt at rulemaking that, as I said earlier, somehow there are new provisions that were not authorized by Congress that seem to reflect the agenda of other parts of the Department of Transportation and the Bush Administration, and yet those parts which should reflect the clear statutory instructions from Congress are still wanting. So I look forward to discussing this rule with the Administrator and other witnesses. I do have a markup on a very, very critical issue to my district--it is also a national issue--in another Committee, so at some point I will have to leave, but we will try and move things along as quickly as we can. With that I turn to the Ranking Member, Mr. Duncan. Mr. Duncan. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. You have pretty well adequately stated the situation under the Federal Transit Administration's New Starts Program. Local transit agencies partner with the FTA to develop and construct subway, light rail, commuter rail, streetcar, ferry, and bus rapid transit projects to try to solve specific local transportation problems in their communities. New Starts projects can be brand new starter lines or extensions to existing transit systems. The size, cost, and complexity of these projects varies widely. SAFETEA-LU authorized a new Small Starts program within New Starts for projects that are less than $250 million in total cost and less than $75 million in New Starts funding. The program is designed for simpler, smaller projects and the evaluation and rating process is also supposed to be simpler, and we hope will allow for faster development and construction. The FTA project evaluation and rating process is established in law by this Committee. SAFETEA-LU made a number of changes to the New Starts program and today's hearing will focus on the Notice of Proposed Rulemaking or, as you have stated, NPRM, that the FTA has developed to implement those changes. Once this proposed rule is finalized--and it always amazes me how long it takes to finalize a rule such as this--it will govern New Starts and Small Starts policy for years to come. It will be at least two years after the next authorization bill is passed before changes in that law are implemented in a new final rule, so the final rule that results from the current NPRM before us will be in place at least through 2011, and perhaps longer. I have been impressed and do appreciate the responsiveness and courtesy which the FTA has shown my staff and my constituents in Knoxville in working through a transit center land purchase issue there, but I do wish there was more flexibility in the rules that the agency is implementing in this case. It seems like there is very little room for responding to unique circumstances. This same concern could also be raised regarding the proposed rule on New Starts and Small Starts we are examining today. The FTA runs the risk of locking in certain policies too timely in the rule and not being able to react to new information, including better forecasting tools, ways to capture and reflect economic development around transit stations and along the corridor, and other benefits. The agency needs to carefully consider all the comments it receives in the upcoming comment period and build in enough flexibility in the New Starts and Small Starts evaluation process to help move forward good transit projects. It would be a shame and certainly would not reflect the intent of SAFETEA- LU if this new rule has the effect of discouraging communities from considering transit solutions at all. I thank you, Mr. Chairman, for holding this hearing and I yield back the balance of my time. Mr. DeFazio. I thank the gentleman. I have been notified that Ms. Matsui would like to make a brief opening statement. I would recognize her at this time. Ms. Matsui. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you for calling this important hearing. For many of us, our transit systems are the backbone of our districts. In many cases, our transit systems are also the blueprint for future growth and economic opportunity in the communities we represent. In my district, and especially within the City of Sacramento, we consider most of our future growth and economic development on our transportation infrastructure, and specifically our light rail system. Therefore, it is important that our New Starts and Small Starts programs are responsive to the needs and demands of our growing communities. My main concern is why isn't the FTA following the guidelines and criteria that Congress laid out in SAFETEA-LU. Specifically, I am concerned that the FTA is too narrowly focused on cost-effectiveness of projects, looking only at the time savings and not the full range of the project benefits. While this is important and a criteria that should be followed, other criteria such as land use decisions and economic development opportunities must play a greater role in the FTA decision-making process. If our light rail systems are truly going to meet the needs of our communities, they must be built with the anticipation of future regional growth and economic development. Transit should be used as a tool to encourage our communities to grow smartly and, in some cases, safely. Sacramento is the most at-risk city in the Country for catastrophic flooding. In addition, the Sacramento region is one of the fastest growing regions in the Country. We have to make our land use decisions wisely. In short, the principles of transit-oriented development must be a strong consideration in the New Starts approval process. Over the last decade, public transportation's growth rate outpaced population growth and the growth rate of vehicle miles traveling our Nation's highways. It is my hope that, as we move forward with full implementation of SAFETEA-LU programs, that the full intent of the legislation that was drafted here in the Committee be followed. By this I mean that land use and economic development criteria included among the six evaluation criteria be weighed on equal footing with other factors, such as cost- effectiveness. Transit-oriented land use and development are demonstrated factors that truly do make projects more cost- effective in the long run. We need to capture the dramatic increase of transit ridership across the Country and marry it with the steady population growth many of our communities and regions are experiencing. We need a Federal partner that responds better to these trends. Combining SAFETEA-LU's revised criteria in the New Starts FTA decision-making process is an important step in ensuring that the projects Congress authorizes and ultimately funds may see evolving demand of our regions. Ultimately, fully integrating transit-oriented development into the New Start decision-making process will be the most cost-effective measure we can take to ensure that the investment made by the American taxpayers leverage additional private sector investments and create more sustainable, livable communities. I am looking forward to working on these issues during this Congress. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for calling this hearing. I yield back. Mr. DeFazio. I thank the gentlelady. Any other Members have opening statements? [No response.] Mr. DeFazio. If not, then we will proceed to the honorable witness, Mr. Simpson. TESTIMONY OF THE HONORABLE JAMES S. SIMPSON, FEDERAL TRANSIT ADMINISTRATION, ADMINISTRATOR, WASHINGTON, DC. Mr. Simpson. Good morning, Chairman DeFazio, Ranking Member Duncan, and Members of this Subcommittee. Thank you for the opportunity to testify today on the recent NPRM on FTA's New Starts and Small Starts programs. This proposed rule is intended to continue and strengthen our successful management of this important program. Our goal for New Starts remains to deliver the best projects on time, within budget, and that realize the benefits projected. At the same time, we want to streamline this process so that decisions are made more quickly and projects are delivered sooner. As I testified in May, we believe FTA's management of the New Starts program fosters highly successful Federal local partnerships that benefit millions of Americans across the Country on a daily basis. We believe that this NPRM will continue this record of success. As you know, FTA issued the NPRM on New Starts and Small Starts on August 3rd, 2007. This was the culmination of a significant effort to obtain input from key stakeholders, which we are continuing. In January 2006, we published a series of questions on New Starts and an Advance Notice to Proposed Rulemaking on Small Starts. FTA then provided an opportunity for public involvement by holding three listening sessions. We received over 70 written comments on the New Starts questions and over 90 written comments on the Small Starts ANPRM. The NPRM summarizes and responds to these comments. Continuing our outreach, we are conducting five outreach meetings. At these sessions, FTA staff will provide further explanation of our NPRM and related proposed evaluation measures, and invite public comment to the docket, which closes this November 1st. Once the docket closes, we plan on closely examining the comments we have received. Given the stakeholder interest on this topic, we expect that it will take some time to carefully consider and prepare a final rule. We expect that the rule will be issued some time in 2008. To implement the Small Starts program, the NPRM adds eligibility for non-fixed guideway projects, as in SAFETEA-LU, and defines the kinds of investments needed to qualify. Small Start project justification includes only cost-effectiveness and two measures of project effectiveness, that is, land use and economic development benefits and mobility. Project justification may be made based on simplified travel demand forecasts based on year of opening, rather than a complex 20- year forecast. Local financial commitment is assessed based on a plan that demonstrates the capacity to build and operate the project during the first year of operation. The NPRM proposes that certain simple, low-risk projects, which by their very nature have sufficient benefits to rate well without further analyses, can qualify as Very Small Starts and be subject to a highly simplified project evaluation and rating process. A project will be required to contain certain features and have a total project cost of less than $50 million. The NPRM includes consideration of all the statutory New Starts project justification criteria. The NPRM reorganizes the justification criteria into cost-effectiveness and several measures of effectiveness, namely, land use and economic development benefits, mobility improvements, and environmental benefits, and clarifies that operating efficiencies are covered by cost-effectiveness. The NPRM expands the evaluation of economic development in a new combined measure of land use and economic development benefits. We continue to believe that it is extremely difficult to distinguish economic development benefits from land use benefits. However, the NPRM provides an opportunity for input on how we might do so and how we might implement improved measures of project merit that would include the land use and economic development benefits more directly. The NPRM includes evaluation of the congestion reduction potential of the proposed investment in the assessment of mobility benefits. Further, it proposes to consider the relationship of the project to road pricing strategies as another factor. Finally, the NPRM asks for inputs on methods by which FTA could include the currently unmeasured highway system user benefits in calculating the cost-effectiveness of the proposed project. The NPRM proposes to make permanent our current policy of recommending for funding only those projects that rate at least medium on cost-effectiveness. First, this is the only measure that compares a project's benefits to its costs. Second, the measure of effectiveness we use, user benefits, is an objective and quantifiable metric. Third, other benefits such as improved accessibility and mobility, the propensity for increase in property values, and the likelihood that highway users will switch to transit, reducing demand for highway travel, are directly related to user benefits. Finally, a project with a high rating on cost-effectiveness almost always has high ratings on other factors such as mobility improvements and environmental benefits. Chairman DeFazio, Ranking Member Duncan and Members of this Subcommittee, FTA is committed to the New Starts and Small Starts programs. We believe that the NPRM we have issued provides a good basis on which to make continued improvements to the management of this important program. We remain committed to streamlining project delivery, while providing strong project management oversight to bring good projects in on time and within budget. We look forward to working with Congress on these and other issues facing our Nation's public transportation systems. I want to thank you for the opportunity to be here today, and I am happy to respond to your questions. Mr. DeFazio. Thank you, Mr. Administrator. Ranking Member Mica had another commitment, came in late, and has an opening statement. Mr. Mica. Mr. Mica. Thank you. Thank you for yielding, too, and also for holding this hearing, Mr. DeFazio and Mr. Duncan. I think this is very important. Since we haven't really addressed New Starts with the Administration, I wanted to weigh in a little bit on a couple of my concerns and also from a policy standpoint. One of the things that I think is essential, we are all trying to find ways to deal with congestion and get people out of traffic and into mass transit and other environmentally positive modes of transport. One of the frustrations I have-- and I am pleased to see you here this morning, Mr. Simpson--is just the sheer amount of time it takes to get into the queue, so to speak, with the New Starts program. And I think part of the problem I have identified is sometimes Congress, and I would ask this question: Have we set too many requirements? I don't have a question, but one of the things I would like you to do to respond to me and also to the Committee would be to provide us with any of your specific recommendations on how could speed this process up. I think we are going to hear from Norfolk and I will ask the question about their light rail, and I think from the entry to P&E it is eight years, I was told. I have been involved, as you know, with a commuter rail on an existing rail right-of-way. We first proposed this in 1989. Of course, communities and partners have to make a decision, and they did that, but I know we have been involved in this for at least three years, answering some questions that are sort of as plain as the nose on somebody's face. We have turned the consulting requirements or the requirements to do New Starts into a cottage industry that is very costly and time consuming. So I want to know how we can speed up the process. Speeding it up can also save us time and money. The other thing, too, is I can't tell you, having been involved in these not just in my district with commuter rail, but around the Country, the players change. The local players change and the politics, and some of the politics, of course, evolve around these questions and they get pretty testy. So the longer that takes, the more players we deal with and the political challenges become even greater. So I compliment you on what you are doing. You have to play by the rules that we in Congress set, but anything you can recommend or anything you can come up with that can condense that period of time to get these New Starts moving. Then, looking at exceptions for projects like commuter rail on existing rail lines, this isn't exactly rocket science. For example, through my communities, I have Amtrak already with a franchise. They already make these commuter stops. They could probably increase their traffic without all of these studies and requirements, but folks are a little bit reluctant to give Amtrak any more responsibility based on their performance and some of the constraints that they have to operate under. So those are just my comments this morning. I look forward to working with you. I know Mr. DeFazio and Mr. Duncan are also interest in seeing how we can help communities, States, and localities that move these new projects forward. Thank you, and I yield back. Mr. DeFazio. Thank you. I thank the Ranking Member for those comments. We will now proceed to questions for the Administrator. At issue in the earlier hearing, in May, and I believe still today, is that I feel you have not delivered on the statutory direction, I believe, from Congress regarding economic development and land use. They have been lumped into one criteria, and I have a couple problems with it. One is that it is lumped into a criteria which scores 20 percent, which, given the statutory direction, I believe does not adequately address the direction from Congress to act in these areas and to emphasize projects that would provide benefits in those areas. Secondly, as I understand the way--I mean, we did have testimony later, after you appeared in May, from several experts who had models and said there is no big deal or problem in predicting or forecasting economic benefits and quantifying them; that the work has been done, but somehow the FTA can't find that work and implement it. It seems that what you are attempting to do is look at the impacts of a limited facility on the regional economy, as opposed to just looking at what the local transit agencies would look at, which is the economic development based on the corridor and the station area economic development. I think that is part of the problem why FTA can't qualify; they are saying, well, we want to look at the impact of this line serving this segment, this neighborhood, and what the impact would be on the regional economy kind of gets lost. And we are going to have testimony a little later representing a county in Virginia about how they don't have any trouble quantifying exactly what is going to happen when they do the streetcar line in terms of the more intense development that is going to occur and the economic benefits that are going to flow from that. So do you think this this part of the problem, Mr. Administrator, why you can't get to economic development, that you are off chasing the regional benefit, when I believe the models that have been developed, and would be more practical since these are relatively small projects, to measure the benefits on the corridor and the stations? Mr. Simpson. Let me answer that two ways. First, let me tell you what FTA is doing since the last hearing in terms of economic development. Then I can give you my thoughts generally on the measurement of economic development. First, we have had a two-phased project, one started over a year ago, and I mentioned it at my last hearing, where we did a study, and the effort included an initial study to develop a methodology to forecast changes in economic development activity that result from transit capital investment projects. The FTA developed and tested two potential approaches. One was a regional economic model to forecast changes in jobs and income, and, two, to develop a method to forecast station area development that would result from transit investments, which I think is what you are referring to, Mr. Chairman. When we looked at those, we found that the first one, the regional economic modeling approach, was rejected due to the high cost and complexity of implementing these models, as well as concern about the erratic results observed in FTA's test cases. I said it in my last hearing, that cost-effectiveness gives everybody a lot of grief. These models that we looked at would be just as challenging. Mr. DeFazio. Right. So why don't we just discard the regional approach and focus on the second which you mentioned? Mr. Simpson. I'm going to get to that. Mr. DeFazio. All right. Mr. Simpson. The station area forecasting method was also somewhat unsatisfactory in that the impact of the transit investment on development patterns was not significant in FTA's test cases. Now, we didn't stop there. There is more. We have a phase two study that seeks to make additional progress in developing a method to evaluate the economic development impacts of capital transit investments. The first thing we are doing, which I mentioned to you previously, is we are convening a panel of top experts on economic development impacts which are well known to the industry and are leaders in the field. They are going to review FTA's results to date and try to come up with a program for us. They are going to also assist us in consulting and developing a program that can show us which methods, if we can achieve them, are likely to succeed. The panel is also going to develop a methodology and research program based on panel recommendations, and so forth and so on. But the bottom line is that, to date, we have not been able to find anything that we can use on a cross-cutting basis to measure economic development. And just as a sidebar, I have been reading Alan Greenspan's book on the age of turbulence and he talks about economic forecasting, and he basically says how complex the world really is, and when you try to measure something, it is just not that easy. And I think that, if you will allow me to steal a page from his book, it is pretty much the same case here. But what we have found consistently throughout the transit program at FTA is that when we measure cost-effectiveness, which I know gives a lot of folks a lot of grief, there is a direct correlation between the cost-effectiveness measure and economic development and mobility and all the other factors. They are inextricably linked and we just can't uncouple them. That is why, when we now have decided to put land use and economic development together, we are trying to do a couple things: we are trying to show transparency and, as you said at your last hearing, we have this mysterious black box that we go back to the shop and try to churn out these cost-justifiable projects. We are trying to be transparent and to let everybody know clearly what we are thinking and how we are thinking, and we are making our best attempt at that. With respect to economic development and land use, we believe that you can't have economic development unless you have land use, good land use patterns and policies. So it is a no-start if you don't have that in place. So if we rate a project with really effective land use and then give another measure of economic development, you could be double-counting, number one. Number two, even if you do have really good land use, it is not enough to make the case that you are going to have that economic development; there are other externalities that are so great, including--we have had a run-up in real estate over the last 17 years. I don't care where you travel around the city, every place that I have traveled has seen economic development and the redevelopment of cities and warehousing districts that have become a great mixed use development, and people seem to be moving back to the city. But there are other externalities like interest rates, like jobs, and all those other things that are really hard to try to put into a formula and put into our so-called black box and churn out a metric that is cross-cutting throughout the whole Country and that is meaningful. The second thing with economic forecasting is we have got our transportation model, as I spoke about, and some of this economic forecasting is almost a second level of economic forecasting. So I think that, in a certain way, it explains what our predicament is here. Mr. DeFazio. Right. Well, if we can come back to earth for a minute. Mr. Simpson. Okay. Mr. DeFazio. I think you can look at projects that have been completed and, yes, you do have land use, which is a theoretical underpinning, but land use potential is only realized in certain instances; there is a lot of potential that isn't realized. So I wouldn't say just having that and then counting the actual economic benefits and/or more intense development that resulted from the construction of the transit project are the same thing at all. I mean, land use provides the potential, but the potential often is not realized until there is a project. And if you just look at the nodes that have developed just right over here in Virginia and around the D.C. area, the intense development has taken place and you can measure within a certain distance of each of the transit stations the values that have occurred. You can do so, similarly, in Portland, Oregon, where they have put a streetcar. You can see where, along that line, they have the same zoning on one side of the river and the other, but the more intense development has been realized along the streetcar line because that became a magnet for the development. So I have got to disagree, and I think that we just gave direction that doesn't require consulting with Alan Greenspan or these other exotic metrics, but just the reality of will economic development follow this project and will there be value created. I think that is a fairly simple thing, I believe, to quantify. Having studied economics, I know it is not a science, so let's discard the scientific stuff and go to observational reality and direction from Congress, which is we want economic development and we don't want it to be part of a criteria which is only 20 percent and which is totally trumped by the black box of cost-effectiveness. And then going to cost-effectiveness, part of that goes to another concern, which is trips not taken. Again, we don't seem to be putting any value on avoiding automobile use and/or commuting. I just had the Chairman out to ride a tram in Portland, and you were on that same tram. It has now been operational. They say they have had a million riders in less than a year on the tram, and what they are finding is at the base of that tram, which is also served by a streetcar line, a lot of people who work at Oregon Health Sciences University are relocating there. So they are either abandoning their cars or only using their cars infrequently. But there wouldn't be any credit for that, it is a trip not taken. They are living on a transit line, they are living on a tram. You are not involving the tram. But the point is we are missing a lot of the benefits here. And then we also wanted to have environmental criteria, which go to trips not taken, congestion, lack of pollution, all those things, and now you have brought in this new criteria. So this is going to be a two-part question. One, why can't we measure trips not taken and why isn't that a benefit, because I think it is an avoided cost? Secondly, how is it that we would penalize a transit agency which, in most jurisdictions, has no control, none whatsoever, over policy relating to roads, bridges, and highways, if their local jurisdiction, which they don't control, doesn't impose tolling and congestion pricing over here, then you are going to penalize the transit project which is proposed over here to mitigate congestion with trips not taken? I mean, you are putting the transit agency in a bit of a difficult position here. Mr. Simpson. Mr. Chairman, we are in agreement with you that we should measure the trip not taken. We asked the question in the NPRM, and just to try to stay on earth, the problem that we have experienced with the trip not taken, it is sort of like the second order of magnitude or it is the forecast on the forecast. In other words, we are trying to forecast a certain development and a certain economic development, so that is a forecast, so we have got this one forecast. Now, off that forecast, we are going to try to forecast again behavior patterns, travel patterns, where people won't need to use their automobiles. So it is the second order of magnitude in a forecast, so the---- Mr. DeFazio. Maybe we ought to just count the number of people that use the transit. Mr. Simpson. Well, we should. Mr. DeFazio. Right. Mr. Simpson. We do. I think we do. But this trip not taken is a very difficult---- Mr. DeFazio. And distribute a survey to them and say before you moved here, how did you get to work. Mr. Simpson. Right. You know, I understand the trip not taken, having lived in an urban environment, so I understand it. Mr. DeFazio. Right. Mr. Simpson. But let me just say again that we are asking that question. We do believe that it should be counted. And I know that there are one or two models out there that are counting the trip not taken, or proposing to count the trip not taken. Once again, when we put it into a national program, we have to make sure that we have a product that is not usable in one county and not used in the rest of the Country. Mr. DeFazio. Okay, but then how about my second part of the question? Transit agencies often do not control other modes of transportation and/or the policies that relate to them. So why should a transit agency be penalized in applying if their local jurisdiction has not adopted congestion pricing? Mr. Simpson. The proposal is not to penalize anybody. Mr. DeFazio. Well, I understood the first proposal was just to give them extra points. As I understand the NPRM, you could get demerit points for not having that, in addition to getting extra points. Mr. Simpson. Not to my knowledge, but could you hold on one second? Mr. DeFazio. Yes. Mr. Simpson. It is only a matter of boosting, Mr. Chairman. It would only help, it wouldn't hinder. And it also---- Mr. DeFazio. So you are going to filter, but you are going to filter--I mean, it seems like pretty broad language. The first proposal was we are going to take something that wasn't statutorily authorized by Congress---- Mr. Simpson. Right. Mr. DeFazio.--that is an obsession of this Administration, particularly a few ideologues from right-wing think tanks who have positions of power, that relate to theories of market and congestion pricing, and we are going to use it anywhere and everywhere we can. So now we have added it on to transit. We had this discussion last time, so I am not going to totally revisit that in terms of whether or not you are discouraging transit at this point with this. So you are just saying this so-called filter is essentially the same thing you proposed before, which is if an agency, which you don't control, in your vicinity adopts congestion pricing, you will get extra points on your transit project even though you had nothing to do with it. Mr. Simpson. That is correct. But most planning is not---- [Laughter.] Mr. Simpson. Well, wait a minute, now, Mr. Chairman. Most planning is not done in a vacuum. Typically, you have got the whole MPO and the whole planning process. So we are saying if an area were to adopt a congestion pricing strategy that would help transit, because now you are getting more vehicles off the road and you have more people riding transit, we would look at things like, in the mobility factor, fewer vehicle miles traveled---- Mr. DeFazio. But when we are talking about New Starts and Small Starts, we are not talking about--many projects are not deep into suburban areas. Mr. Simpson. Right. Mr. DeFazio. So when you include that--I mean, for the inner city folks, I guess we would have to be talking about cordon pricing and saying if you want to use your car today, it is going to cost you $15 or $20. We are going to be like London. Of course, they have slightly different land use patterns in Europe. Again, the transit agency doesn't control that, and it is beyond me why that should be a factor. I can see, in some limited instances, when you are dealing with light rail versus, say, streetcar or true Small Starts, something that is an extensive system which serves suburban areas, that you might get some extra points with the idea that you are going to somehow drive people onto that and they are going to utilize it more. I believe if you do it right and you make it convenient, they will use it, and I don't believe that we need to penalize people to make them do it, and the Chairman of the full Committee shares my concern about this. Mr. Simpson. Mr. Chairman, I don't want to take up the Committee's valuable time to discuss this, but from everything that I know and speaking to the folks at FTA, we know of no area where anybody would be penalized as a result of not implementing a congestion strategy---- Mr. DeFazio. Right. But again, the point is that transit agencies don't control these other policies. Transit agencies we want to be run efficiently, we want them to bring in projects on budget or under budget, we want them to run efficiently, and we want them to serve the general public. None of that, again, externalities that might or might not drive customers toward them, that are beyond their control, I don't believe, in most instances, should be scored. Mr. Simpson. This is an NPRM and the point is well taken. But if I could just continue for the record for one second. Mr. DeFazio. Sure. I am well over my time. Mr. Simpson. With respect to congestion, as you know, and we have said it before and it is mentioned throughout the statute, the Department believes, first of all, that it is one DOT, and we are not looking at highway versus transit. As in the MPO planning process, we are trying to look at transportation solutions for a corridor, and it could be a mixture of transit and highway projects. You know, since SAFETEA-LU was written, which was probably five or six years ago, we have got a national crisis that is on the front page every day on congestion, and the Department is trying to take a proactive stance to try to solve the problem that perhaps wasn't thought about when SAFETEA-LU was written. Mr. DeFazio. Well, I beg to differ. I think it was a major consideration when SAFETEA-LU was written. This Committee attempted to have about another $70 billion or $80 billion to invest over the term of the bill, which the White House fought tooth and nail, and in the end we got a bill that wasn't adequate in terms of investment, and now they are trying to make up for that by saying, well, we will just use market forces, and I have just got to disagree with this cockamamie theory. Thank you. I am going to turn now to the Ranking Member. Mr. Duncan. Well, thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Administrator, you know, the problem that I see is this. I have great respect for Mr. Greenspan and I agree with most of what he says on things, and I understand your quote that he said the world is a lot more complicated than people realize. On the other hand, a lot of people feel that the government, and particularly the Federal Government, makes things a lot more complicated than they really need to be. So, in SAFETEA-LU we had these laws trying to come up with some sort of environmental streamlining to speed up some of these projects because people on both sides of the aisle agreed that all of these projects were taking far too long. Where there is really a desire to move fast, we can do so. We showed that on the bridge out in Minneapolis. I mean, we passed a $250 million bill within just a few days of that happening. We always hear, and it gets sort of old to me to say that we are in a global marketplace now or we have to compete globally, and yet we see all these other countries that are so dynamic economically moving really fast on major projects, major highway projects, major aviation projects. I chaired the Aviation Subcommittee for six years and I will never forget the main runway in Atlanta. It took 14 years from conception to completion. It only took 99 days of actual construction, and it was primarily due to all the environmental rules and regulations and red tape. Certainly, we don't want to do to the environment what they are doing in some of these places like China and other places, but we have to do better. We have got to have a better balance in there because we have got to speed up these projects. A few months ago we had testimony in here about a highway project they have been working on in California since, I think, 1990, 17 years, and it was only 12 miles. So what I am getting at through all this is what do you think your proposed rule will do to contribute to faster decision-making and project development, particularly in regard to the New Starts, the bigger programs? Mr. Simpson. Your question really gets to the question or statement, rather, that Congressman Mica made earlier, so maybe I can address it in that context. I mean, the environmental is one piece of it, but with a lot of these projects--I know it varies on the complexity. We talk about the length to bring a project from the planning cycle to the revenue date or the date that a project opens--there are a whole bunch of reasons for them and they don't all wind up at the doorstep of the Federal Government. We find that most of the projects--and I think you asked that question last time, Congressman, local commitment, rather than cost-effectiveness, is the reason why many projects fail and don't proceed through fruition, and that holds true for the delay in projects. We find that in many times, as Congressman Mica was so eloquent in explaining it, there are changes in political parties, there are changes in transportation officials, and what was once a priority may not be a priority or other things happen, and you thought you had local commitment and now you no longer have commitment. So that is one reason why. The other thing is transportation planning. Sometimes, when we plan these projects--and we have a project very close to Washington, D.C. that is like that--that the scope gets changed and people think about, midstream, well, maybe we are not going to have an aerial alignment, maybe we should do a tunnel, and that is perfectly within the local jurisdiction. That also slows up projects. Our NEPA process, we are trying to do the best that we can with respect to NEPA and with respect to the processes that go on in FTA. We have commissioned Deloitte and we have implemented many of the changes, and I won't take the Committee's time to tell you them now, but I would be more than happy to send them to you for the record. Then we have also improved the product at FTA over the years. You know, there was a time, maybe 10 or 12 years ago, where not our forecasting, but the grant recipients' forecasts on ridership were woefully inadequate and low, and their costs were a lot lower than what the actual costs would be. Now, you know what the rationale is for that: we need to get projects funded, so let's keep the ridership numbers as optimistic as we can and the costs as low as possible. So FTA, with the help of Congress, clamped down on that and we are moving forward with a Contractor Performance Assessment Report. We started our own risk analysis to try--we do a lot, but basically what I am saying is we are trying to keep projects on time and on budget because we would rather be here talking about this than why the project blew the estimate by 50 percent. And we are trying to streamline the process as much as we can without jeopardizing the integrity of the program. It is a multifaceted approach and the project time line did go from 3.7 years to 4.9 years, where it is at now,--I guess it has been over the last 10 years--but then again we are handling like $22 billion worth of projects within 99.5 percent of construction costs, which is unheard of. We don't have that anywhere, and I think it is a testament to the risk program. So we are working what we can, it is just that there are so many partners involved--between the local governments, the Federal Government, the funding partners--that it is not as easy as that when you build these major capital infrastructure projects. And with respect to the rest of the world, I only know that we have rules and regulations that protect everybody, and I know other countries sometimes don't have the same environmental guidelines or they don't need to get consensus from the community. We have all that public involvement. Mr. Duncan. Well, I have certainly seen and read about what you are saying, you know, one mayor will start a project and be real enthusiastic about it, and the next mayor is not quite so enthusiastic or whatever. But I also have heard through so many Subcommittee hearings on several different Subcommittees in this Committee, I have heard local officials, I have heard academic experts, I have heard private business, you know, the contractors and so forth, say that all these projects that we deal with in this Committee--highways, water projects, aviation projects, the whole kit and caboodle--that, on average, these things take about three times as long and tossed about three times as much as they should. If we really had the desire to speed some of these things up, if we all joined together and made that our main---- What do you think is the most time-consuming process for New Starts projects sponsors in fulfilling the evaluation requirements? Mr. Simpson. Well, it depends on the project. I mean, a lot of it is we have got some projects where they haven't done all the environmental protocols correctly or their forecasting is not--you know, we have seen projects before and we will have projects come in where the forecasting doesn't look right, where you will see forecasting on the date when the project is scheduled to be completed and 10 years later you have seen-- this is just an example--or 100 percent increase in ridership, things that are out of the norm. So we see less of that today, but those are the kinds of things that we have to put the paperwork back to the grant receiver and say, you know, this really doesn't look right, you need to look at your travel models and you need to look at this and you need to look at that. So it is hard to just say any one thing, it is a whole host of things, and it is a cumbersome process. Mr. Duncan. Well, we have other Members here. I don't want to take up too much time, but let me just ask one last question. At our May hearing that the Chairman mentioned, the GAO testified that there is less than half the number of New Starts projects in the pipeline in fiscal year 2008 than there was in 2001. Is that from State and Federal funding? What is the situation? Mr. Simpson. No. I think it was we had a lower bar. In other words, sort of like if you just decided--I like to use the SAT as an example for the New Starts program, with the SAT score being cost-effectiveness. It is almost like if we throw away the SAT, let everybody come in to preliminary engineering, let's bring everybody in, which was happening for a long while because of political pressures and other and lower standards. So we found out, with our limited assets of full-time equivalents, that we had our staff at FTA working on a multitude of projects, probably half of which aren't going to make it past PE. So I think you brought this up last time, so I do have some extra data. From 1999 to 2005, which is what you are talking about, we found that 56 percent of the projects are out of the process because of a lack of local commitment. So there is a lack of local commitment, which seems to trump everything else, where projects fall out, number one. Number two, we have certain standards now, and if you would like to, I can articulate them. Certain things have to happen before we allow a project into preliminary engineering, because once we allow the project in preliminary engineering, that is when the resources of the Federal Government or local government, they start spending money and putting a lot of resources into a project. We want to make sure that projects now that come into preliminary engineering have a really good shot of being funded. The short answer is we didn't do that in the past. Mr. Duncan. All right. Thank you very much. Mr. DeFazio. Okay, we will turn to Members in the order in which they arrived for questions. Ms. Hirono would be first on the Democratic side. Ms. Hirono. I know that we are, today, addressing the proposed rule, however, on July 20th, 2007, the FTA issued the New Starts and Small Starts evaluation and rating process, which I think are the guidelines that FTA intends to use, and pretty much this rating process issuance incorporates many of the factors in the proposed rule. So what is the intention of the rule if you already have guidelines that incorporate these rules and you intend to use those guidelines, I assume, regardless of whether the proposed rules go into effect or not? Mr. Simpson. Congress asked us to be more transparent in what we do and to look at economic development and other factors, and at the last hearing we heard from some Members that we weren't really paying enough attention to environmental benefits and the like, so, as the program changes, we are trying to change along with the requirements that Congress has enacted. So we are putting this proposed rule out to get comment. Ms. Hirono. My understanding is that this July 20th issuance already incorporates the weight to be given to the cost benefit aspects of New Starts and Small Starts, so it seems as though you are already going in that direction under these guidelines that have already been issued, so I need clarification from you. Mr. Simpson. Yes. Particularly the Small Starts was a new program and we didn't have the rule out. We put out what we thought would be--I guess what we thought might work in the short run, until we had a final rule. So there was a certain logic that went along with that, and I think you will see that that logic follows what the proposed rule is now, particularly for the Small Starts program. Once again, this is for comment, so we are expecting a lot of comment from all the stakeholders before we initiate a final rule. Ms. Hirono. In other words, then, just so I am very clear on this, then, the final rule will trump or will supersede whatever is in your July 20th, 2007? Mr. Simpson. Yes. Right now we have guidance. We have guidance right now. Ms. Hirono. Okay. Mr. Simpson. We needed a place to start, a placeholder, and we are moving towards the final rule, and hopefully that final rule will come out sometime in 2008. Ms. Hirono. I have one more question. Has any New Starts project ever received a high financial rating, as opposed to the medium rating? Mr. Simpson. Yes. Yes. Quite a few. Ms. Hirono. Could you provide the Committee with a list of those New Starts that achieved a high financial rating? Mr. Simpson. Yes. We will do that, absolutely. Ms. Hirono. Thank you. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. DeFazio. That was of interest to me also. We would like to see a list of those that have achieved a high rating. Mr. Simpson. Matter of fact, yours received a high, your BRT project in your town received a high rating. Mr. DeFazio. New Starts and Small Starts. Mr. Simpson. New Starts as well. Mr. DeFazio. Okay. Thank you. Ms. Hirono, are you---- Ms. Hirono. I yield back my time. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. DeFazio. Okay. Mr. Coble. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Simpson, the gentleman from Tennessee put a question to you that concerns me, and that is the apparent lack of increase in the starts that are in the pipeline, and I know you responded to that, but am I correct in concluding that maybe one of the reasons for this is that it is so difficult that the local authorities just can't get their hands around it? Mr. Simpson. No, I wouldn't call it that. It is difficult, but we give a tremendous amount of technical assistance in outreach to anybody that is interested in a New Starts. It is just that there are certain milestones that you need to achieve in order to get into the preliminary engineering stages where basically the Federal Government starts to follow the projects through to construction. As I said, years ago the entry was very simple. If you had a project, pretty much you could get it into the preliminary engineering, and we found that there was a high failure rate. So we figured that sort of prior planning prevents poor performance. Let's try to do as much planning and let's try to do as much work so that if you do get into preliminary engineering, because there's a lot at stake once it's in PE, there's an expectation that you are going to have a project, so let's not disappoint communities and the like, so let's work with folks. And once they're in PE, many times when projects get into this preliminary engineering stage, we work with projects that may not be viable and we help--because we have been building projects all over the Country and this may be a community's first project, so there are many projects that come to us. Once they meet the PE milestone, we work with them just like partners, investment bankers, and we tell them, you know, maybe your project is too long, or you need fewer stations or you need more stations, or have you thought about transit- oriented development and the like, have you thought about alternative forms of financing. So we really work very hard with the--we take ownership of the project, basically. We work very hard with the grant recipients, and it is very timely. So whatever shortfalls the local community or the transit agency may lack, we really try to help them and we give them proper guidance. It is really in that way. I say that seriously. We take ownership of the project. Mr. Coble. Mr. Simpson, there have been concerns voiced about the proposed rules expanded eligibility to allow New Starts funds to be used to build high occupancy toll lanes, popularly referred to as HOT lanes, in addition to the high occupancy vehicle, HOV, lanes, which are currently allowed. What is the FTA's statutory authority to amend this regulatory definition, and will this change make the treatment of HOT lanes consistent under highway and transit law? Mr. Simpson. We are really trying to help transit projects as much as we can, and what we found over time, you don't see bus lanes being constructed any longer, and it is our belief that one of the reasons is that cost of a bus lane--I know from my personal experience in the northeast, particularly in my old community in Staten Island, we have exclusive bus lanes that travel probably about 15 miles from one of the suburbs to the center of Manhattan or to the tunnels that connect the highway to Manhattan, and those bus lanes typically run at about 30 to 40 percent of capacity. So on existing bus lanes that transit authorities, in this case, the City of New York, they have a bus lane where they are running buses, great express bus service, and they have only got 30 to 40 percent of capacity. So it was our thinking, to try to be creative and look for alternative financing methods and to help transit, that the use of an HOT to make a bus lane or another lane, an HOT lane, as long as you maintain that flow of traffic so that the buses are not bogged down, that the HOT lane or the pricing lane, if you will, is incidental to the main purpose of the bus project, but it is also subsidizing the bus project. So if you can envision a bus lane that is maybe 30 to 40 percent of capacity, now you put cars on the lane up to the point where you have real-time pricing, up to the point so that you don't bog down that lane and it meets the requirement of at least 5 miles of the speed limit, all those cars that are on the lane that are getting that what we call free flow, there is a lot of revenue to be picked up off of those people that feel that time is money. That actually goes to subsidize transit projects. So the person who is sitting in the bus, looking out the window of the bus as it travels down the exclusive HOT lane, the cars that are on that lane are subsidizing the fare box to promote more transit. It is very similar to what New York City Transit does when they build a tunnel and they put telephone wires and cable and a whole host of things in that tunnel. Now, that is an incidental purpose; they didn't build that subway tunnel--they built the subway tunnel to drive the train through it, but they are picking up huge revenues to help offset the fare box by allowing these incidental purposes or uses to the tunnel. So that's what the thinking was there. It is a new innovative way of thinking to help alleviate traffic congestion, because now, whatever cars that you take off those other free lanes, you are helping everybody there. So you are using unused capacity, and we believe that since that is not the main purpose of the HOT lane, it is incidental, it is an ancillary purpose, that we are perfectly within the statutory authority to do that. Mr. Duncan. Well, I think, Mr. Chairman, any time we can take action to improve congestion, which inevitably negatively impacts productivity, results in additional consumption of gasoline, I am endorsing that. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. DeFazio. Mr. Simpson, if you could, since you gave a long explanation, but at the very end I thought you sort of brushed over the question. Again, he started the question with what do you believe is your explicit statutory authority. Could you just get back to that? It sort of was incidental at the end. I think what you said was because it's incidental, or something, that somehow you found it was statutory. Mr. Simpson. I think it is best if I give you another example. Mr. DeFazio. No, I don't want examples. Just what statute are you referring back to? I mean, what is the expressed statutory authority to use these funds for HOT lanes? Because you could argue the other side of the argument, which is the Federal funds that go to construct the HOT lanes are subsidizing the non-transit use of that lane, at least initially, because later, perhaps, you will realize the potential of those additional revenues and maybe you will pay back the additional investment was made. So what is the statutory authority? Mr. Simpson. Well, first, our intent is that whatever Federal dollars from the FTA program are utilized, it is for the transit portion of the project only. That is what our intent is. Secondly, can I get back to you for the record fully with where in our statute, because I don't have that? Mr. DeFazio. Yes, we would like that. Thank you. Mr. Simpson. Okay, thank you. Mr. DeFazio. Mr. Mitchell. He left also? Okay, then we go to Mr. Bishop from New York. Mr. Bishop. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I want to just follow up on the question that you were just asking. In the Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, you also create a new category called Very Small Starts. So my first question is what is the explicit statutory authority under which you are creating that category. Mr. Simpson. Well, I don't know that we have an explicit statutory authority, but, once again, we have a lot of really good thinkers at FTA that do a lot of transportation modeling, and we have got economists. We know that when you build a transit project, the complexity of forecasting and all those other things increases exponentially the larger the project is. So when you start to get to like your project on the Long Island Railroad, the East Side Access project, as these projects start to get complex, the forecasting, all those things and all those requirements that you need to measure in order to determine whether you are going to rate the project a pass or a fail, get a lot harder. We just happen to know, from working with all of these transportation models, that if you have at least 3,000 riders a day,--and there are two or three other requirements--that the project is no more than a $3 million a mile, and a couple of other things, that it automatically would meet our requirements because we have just seen that over the pipeline. So it is sort of like a preapproval, if you will. Mr. Bishop. Let me just stay on that for a second. The $3 million per mile, in response to a question from Mr. Coble, you just indicated that one of the goals was to help transit projects as much as you could. By creating or imposing this $3 million per mile limit on Very Small Starts, does that not eliminate certain types of transit projects like streetcars? Mr. Simpson. No, not at all, no. See, what we are saying is--I left out the most important thing. The project has to be less than $50 million. So if you happen to have a project that is less than $50 million, it costs less than $3 million a mile to implement, and it has got 3,000 riders a day, it is basically a preapproval. We know that that will meet the requirements because it is really small in nature, the complexity is not there, and we just happen to know, in studying these projects and funding projects before we had the Small Starts program, even, or these exempt projects, that these projects meet the criteria. You know, it is a proposal. If the desire of Congress is not for us to label that or have that, we will note that in the comment here today. But it is certainly not to exclude any project, because there is the regular, you have got the Small Starts program and you have got the New Starts program as well. So there is no limitation on anything, it is just that, hey, by the way, community, if you happen to have a project that meets that litmus test, it looks good. Mr. Bishop. And, again, not to be difficult, but in response, I believe, to a question from Ms. Hirono, you indicated that one of the goals here was transparency, improved transparency. Are you not at odds with that goal by virtue of layering all these both new designations and new requirements onto the NPRM? Mr. Simpson. I kind of think we are just trying to be customer-focused. It is like if you go into a bank and buy a mortgage, you want a fixed rate, an adjustable rate, or a one- year ARM. It is just another option for people that may have a small project that they need to fund quickly. So I don't really know how to respond to that other than, when we get the comment, if the transit industry or the stakeholders don't like it, this is a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking. Mr. Bishop. Thank you very much. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. DeFazio. If I could, just following up on that. I would agree with the gentleman from New York. I believe that the $3 million per mile yardstick would exclude any streetcar project--and that is the consensus in the transit community across America--from the Very Small Starts program. We are not aware of any that have been built for less than that. In fact, it would exclude many BRT projects that have enhanced guideways and those sorts of things. So, pretty much, I think we are just going down to--maybe this would help the HOT lane issue or something. I don't know what the objective is here, but you are excluding streetcars, as far as I am aware. If you have any evidence of any streetcar project that came in and has applied for Very Small Starts under $3 million a mile---- Mr. Simpson. The only streetcar project that we have right now is a project that is out on the West Coast at about $140 million or $150 million. Mr. DeFazio. Right. And people aren't applying because they just know they can't meet the criteria. Mr. Simpson. I don't know that that is the case, Mr. Chairman, but we will note that. Mr. DeFazio. Well, anecdotally, I mean, you say you want to be customer focused--I guess let me just ask this and then we will go on the next. If you are going to be customer-focused, you are going to be real attentive, then, to the majority opinion expressed on the NPRM, which I believe will be echoing a number of the concerns you have heard here today. Mr. Simpson. Mr. Chairman, but to answer the earlier question, if they don't meet the criteria, they can still apply under the Small Starts program. Mr. DeFazio. I know. But you are basically excluding them from the Very Small Starts program. Mr. Simpson. Well, no, we are saying--no, we are not. Mr. DeFazio. Because you are establishing---- Mr. Simpson. No, I don't believe that we are. I really hadn't given it that much thought, but I asked Mr. Steinmann and he said no. Mr. DeFazio. Well, you set the $3 million bar, which isn't part of Small Starts. Mr. Simpson. But all that we know now is that if you meet these requirements, the project works. Once you get beyond any of those limitations, then we really have to study the project. That is all we are saying. Mr. DeFazio. Yes, but you are excluding a mode is I think the point. Anyway, we won't belabor it. We will turn now to Ms. Fallin. Ms. Fallin. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. DeFazio. You will probably be the last set of questions before the votes. Go ahead. Ms. Fallin. All right. I have one question, Mr .Simpson. How does the new rule requiring the FTA to incorporate congestion relief benefit into the New Starts process? We talked a lot about congestion on our highways. How will that new rule help with that? Mr. Simpson. Well, one of the things that we are doing is right now, if we had a congestion program with a pricing component--or let me just back up a step. We don't measure now the impacts and the benefits. When we build a transit project, there will be a certain amount of cars that come off the highway as a result of that, and the people that remain on the highway receive a benefit because there are fewer cars. We don't measure that in our cost-effectiveness, so we think that it is a benefit that is really out there for people. So the first question is to ask that and to try to--we are going to work with the Federal Highway Department to try and come with a model so we can measure that benefit, because it will help all projects, particularly projects--well, any transit project. It will help any transit project. So that is the first thing that we are asking the question and proposing to do. The second thing we are saying is that if you have got a congestion program in place in your town and it happens to coincide with a transportation project, that we will give you a benefit as a result of that. If you have a pricing strategy, we will give you one up tick in your rating because you are, in effect, getting more cars off the road and there is a benefit to transit that we don't capture that now. When we do our forecasting to figure out the ridership that supports the finances of a transit project, we have got no method of-- because this is somewhat of a new kind of thing, these HOT lanes and all that. We have no way to measure the extra riders that would ride on transit as a result of that. So we are saying we think we have some things right now with VMT reductions, vehicle miles traveled, and the like, and we are also trying to respond to the fact that we know we have a nationwide crisis on highway congestion, and we are trying to do whatever we can to alleviate that and to assist transit while we do so. I think that sums it up. Mr. DeFazio. Okay, thank you. Mr. Baird, go ahead. We are going to have two votes, so Mr. Baird will ask his questions, then we will recess and come back for a few other questions. Mr. Baird. First question is very quick. Under the fixed guidelines proposal, would ferries still qualify? Mr. Simpson. I believe they do. Yes. Mr. Baird. That's good. Secondly, in my district, we are working on the Columbia River Crossing project, and there is a debate right now, should we go light rail, should we go buses. The advocates of light rail point out that we can connect to the very successful light rail system that Portland and vicinity have put in place; others look at buses as having relative advantages. To what extent do you prejudice the decision through your proposed rulemaking and to what extent would you take into account, if there were to be a light rail proposed, because it links up to existing light rail, how would that decision-making process be affected by your proposal? Mr. Simpson. Well, it is a simple question with a difficult answer, and I will try to be as quick as I can with it. We measure each project on its own merit and we look at the alternatives. Basically, a bus rapid transit or a bus project would be less expensive than a fixed guideway project like light rail. So, before we look at the cost-effectiveness, we say, okay, where do we need to be out in terms of our transportation alternatives? What is the best thing we can do short of the fixed guideway? And we do a model on that. Then we figure what is the delta, the difference in cost between that bus project, if you will, and the fixed guideway project. We take the cost of that plus the operating costs and we look at the differences in travel time savings, how much more time do we save with the fixed guideway project, which creates a problem for some folks, but it is a metric that we use and we have used it consistently. Then there are other attributes that are associated to a fixed guideway project like the reliability of rail; you don't have to worry about traffic jams. People like to sit in a rail car; they know where the tracks are. There are a bunch of things we call a modal constant. So we give another benefit to the fixed guideway in terms of time, because we want to keep it consistent, so the whole thing is done in time. So we look at that project and we look at all of our metrics and we say, okay, now, based upon what the alternative was and this new project, does the project meet our cost- effectiveness criteria along with the other statutory requirements, weighting cost-effectiveness as a key indicator, 50 percent of them. Mr. Baird. So stay with the practical application. It is helpful. Mr. Simpson. Yes. Mr. Baird. So in our community we have got a citizens' commission plus the two departments of transportation trying to make decisions. What are the relative differences? They are trying to decide right now which do we go with. Mr. Simpson. Right. Mr. Baird. How do they factor in your decision-making process and outcome in terms of deciding what they think is the right thing to do? Mr. Simpson. They have a transportation plan, a long-term plan, a medium plan. Typically, it is financially constrained; how much money do they have to do the project. And when they look at a corridor, they look at the transportation problem and how best to solve it, and they decide, the local community, not FTA, decides on locally preferred alternative. The folks that really do their planning in advance have an idea whether or not those guidelines, if they wanted a light rail, whether it would meet the Federal requirement or not. So there is a lot of that. That is why we want to get with the MPOs in the transit agencies early in the process so we can help them, so they don't bring us an alternative that might not be---- Mr. Baird. What would be the funding difference? What kind of magnitude of funding difference might--let's suppose our community comes to you and says if we go light rail, it will cost X, if we go bus rapid transit, it will cost Y. How much do you kick in on the choice? Mr. Simpson. Do you mean how much is the Federal share? Mr. Baird. Yes. Mr. Simpson. We look at the project, we look at the size of the community, the benefits that are derived. On average, we look at a 50/50 contribution. If it is a mega project, if it is a project that is in the billions of dollars, around a third, because we do have a limited amount of funding. Mr. Baird. But my point would be if it's 50/50, would you fund 50/50 for bus and also, then, 50/50 for light rail, if they choose that? Mr. Simpson. It depends. We would look at really what project winds up coming through the pipeline. We try to have those discussions as early as possible so the transit agency knows what the financial commitment is of the Federal Government. Mr. Baird. Might you be in a position to say we will match 50 percent if you do bus rapid transit, but only 20 percent if you do light rail? Or if they choose light rail---- Mr. Simpson. No, we don't do that because we believe it is a local decision. We really don't directly--maybe indirectly if they don't meet cost-effective, but we don't directly tell which city what mode, whether it be a fixed guideway or---- Mr. Baird. So they don't necessarily have to factor that in. Mr. DeFazio. There are three minutes remaining to the vote, Brian. You have a little bit of time left, so you can finish up when we come back. Mr. Baird. We will get to this later. Mr. Simpson. Okay. Mr. DeFazio. Thank you. We will recess probably for 10 to 15 minutes. Mr. Simpson. Thank you. [Recess.] Mr. DeFazio. The Subcommittee will come back to order. We appreciate the Administrator's and the other witnesses' tolerance of our hectic schedule. I guess, sort of following up on a subset of Mr. Baird's questions. First, as I would understand, when you are talking about approximately 50/50, you are talking about very large projects, where a smaller share was requested, is that correct? Mr. Simpson. Usually, the grant recipient comes to us with a plan. We take a look at a whole bunch of things: how we funded other projects, how much money is left in our statutory authority, things like that; what is the ability of the grant recipient to pay their share. So there are a whole host of things, and it is usually--that is never really an issue, Mr. Chairman, with a grant recipient, in terms of funding projects. But we don't dictate in any way what the Federal share is. Mr. DeFazio. But this all then gets back somewhat to cost- effectiveness. I mean, the issue is if in a local jurisdiction there are contributions that constitute betterments that are no burden on the Federal taxpayer, contributed by the local business community, developers, whatever, local improvement district was formed that paid for them, however they were paid for, do those get cranked into the cost-effectiveness? And if so, why, because I don't think that they should be. Mr. Simpson. Mr. Chairman, you are not alone in that regard. We actually asked the question in the NPRM. Right now there are two things. You can have several definitions of betterments, but betterments are components of the project that are not essential, so that if you do away with the betterments, you still get all the benefits of the project. An example might be--although my wife wouldn't like this example--art work in the stations. Art is a betterment. So right now the betterments are captured, so what we do sometimes, we tell the grant recipient, if they don't meet cost-effectiveness, are there any betterments that you can take out? You know, how many betterments can you take out and still keep the project? So we are trying to get to the point where, hey, what are the essential components of a project. Then we ask the question, in terms of betterments, do we need to count those or should we count those, because, particularly with the private sector, as you hit on, private sector sees the value in transportation projects and currently, if there was any private sector contribution, we count that. So the question that we ask is if we have a particular project--and there are a lot of projects where developers, landowners, private interests see tremendous value that accrue to them as a result of this federal-State investment--should we or could we exclude those contributions to cost-effectiveness. And the rationale for that would be if it is not costing the taxpayer any money, there is a betterment as a result of that, there is something that is accruing, like a donation from the private sector, so we believe that that has merit to look at, so we have asked the question. And that might also help some of these other projects that, as you mentioned, streetcars, where there is certainly a value to developers and people particularly close to the investment. They see a value, and many streetcar projects are being funded privately, so we asked the question if we have a project that were to come forward before the FTA, if there is a private contribution, should we exclude the private contribution from the project and from cost-effectiveness. Mr. DeFazio. So that is outstanding as one of the questions in the rule? Mr. Simpson. Yes. Mr. DeFazio. And you are taking comments on that? Mr. Simpson. And would like to get comment on that. Mr. DeFazio. Because it seems to me part of the rationale for the cost-effectiveness criteria is, one, to have a screen, but, two, theoretically, to look at what is the cost-benefit for Federal taxpayers. You are also looking essentially at financial soundness, risk, debt, those sorts of things, and if the betterments are not constituting a financial overhang that has the potential to bring this system down, I don't see why they would have to be calculated in at all; and/or if you built the system and the betterments were essentially an add-on and someone added on the betterment after the system was approved or built, we wouldn't count it. I mean, at that point you can't count it, right? Mr. Simpson. I can't express my view on it because we have the rule, but I hear what you are saying. Mr. DeFazio. I understand. Mr. Simpson. You know, that might also--you know, when we talk about economic development with respect to certain projects, that we are not measuring economic development, particularly, you know, we put the cards out on the table, this streetcar projects, addressing that question might be able to give you the--what is the true economic value of a streetcar project? Well, maybe it is that value that the private sector decides that they feel that it is worth that is given as a contribution to a project and excluded from cost-effectiveness. Mr. DeFazio. Again, further on economic development, you mentioned in your testimony that you have engaged a consultant? Mr. Simpson. Yes. Mr. DeFazio. Are the results of that consulting going to be accommodated in the rule or is this consulting result going to come in after the rule is already finished? What is the timing on that? Mr. Simpson. I can't give you an answer on that right now, I don't know. Mr. DeFazio. Okay. But it seems that if you have gone to the trouble and expense of engaging a consultant, that hopefully that contract will be structured in such a way that it will inform the rule, since it is a statutory criteria. Mr. Simpson. Absolutely. And it is a priority and we have got a meeting here in Washington, D.C. on October 17th with nine of the Nation's top transportation experts to discuss economic development as part of the phase two. Mr. DeFazio. Okay. Could we get a list of those and what firms or organizations they represent? Mr. Simpson. Yes, you can. Mr. DeFazio. Okay, great. Thank you, Mr. Administrator. Appreciate that. Now, I have a question, and it seems to me it is a no- brainer, but apparently there is some theory or controversy out there, and that is the issue of does transit provide significant--in fact, there was a press conference going on upstairs just before this with APTA talking about the benefits of mass transit in terms of congestion mitigation and the amount of fuel it saves. I mean, you can quantify it to a great extent. So is it the position of the department that these projects, absent this ancillary action by another body to impose congestion pricing or something, but just the construction of a transit project itself, is it intended to mitigate congestion? Mr. Simpson. A transit project serves a whole host of purposes. As you know, it promotes good economic development, environmental benefits, and also to alleviate congestion, as outlined in SAFETEA-LU. So I don't know if I understand the question, but I am agreeing with you that it achieves all of those things. Mr. DeFazio. All right. Okay. Well, no, there are some people out there saying transit sort of exists, but it is really not addressing congestion; they sort of take it for granted and don't--I mean, if you had a strike tomorrow and shut down the New York subway, I think what a benefit it had been. Mr. Simpson. That is exactly what thought came to mind when you mentioned that. If somebody is not sure that transit fights congestion, then they need to take a look at the articles in New York or anyplace else that had a transit strike, or even just a service failure or disruption of service as a result of a power outage. Mr. DeFazio. Right. Okay. I see that I have been joined by the Ranking Member. Oh, do you have some questions? Okay, I recognize the gentleman, Mr. Dent. Mr. Dent. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Simpson, I realize I came in after you presented your testimony, but I just wanted to relay some comments to you and just ask for your response. In my community there is a lot of talk about passenger rail from the New York metropolitan area into the Lehigh Valley of Pennsylvania--Allentown, Bethlehem, and Easton. The lines currently run to around Clinton, New Jersey, and getting them from Clinton to the western edge of New Jersey and Phillipsburg is, of course, a challenge. There is talk about running passenger rail from Lansdale, just north of Philadelphia, up to a community called Quakertown, a lot of talk about it. And I would like you to comment, too, if the community were to express interest in a New Starts program or Small Starts, what should I tell them about the local matching requirements? What would be their obligation for that type of a passenger rail project? Mr. Simpson. First of all, I am very familiar with that alignment. I have spent, I don't know, hundreds of days in Allentown and the whole 78 corridor, and was just in Clinton, New Jersey two weeks ago. Mr. Dent. And there is a study going on right now on the 78 corridor. Mr. Simpson. There is a study. I think in that particular case, I think there would be some sort of a bi-State agreement between New Jersey and Pennsylvania. Mr. Dent. That is correct. First phase was completed as it relates to non-rail options and we are developing the rail phase now. Mr. Simpson. Not dissimilar to what we do elsewhere, I think that we would need to get all the stakeholders in a room and determine who would be the grant recipient for the project; what would be the entity, do you need to create a new entity; and what is the--you know, you have got two States, so what is the share of the dollars that would flow through. You may have to develop a port authority or some sort. But if you would like, we would be more than happy to contact your office after we leave here and fill you in, because the FTA would be very helpful in assisting your community with that proposed commuter rail line, I believe it is. Mr. Dent. Yes, commuter rail. And I guess that is the question, too. Oftentimes I tell the community that there will be a local match requirement. Mr. Simpson. Right. Mr. Dent. And what are you stating as official policy for the FTA now in terms of local match for these types of New Starts? Mr. Simpson. Official policy is that you need to come up with at least 20 percent, and we would encourage an overmatch, anything above that; and then it depends on the community's ability to contribute their share, along with what we have done historically in the past, we like to have a level playing, and within the transit community there is sort of an understanding of how much money you should ask for given the certain size and complexity of a project. Mr. Dent. Is that local funding requirement consistent for both New Starts and Small Starts? Mr. Simpson. It is the first thing we look at, and that is where we get into a lot of problems, where we believe there is a commitment on a local level and then, as time passes, for one reason or another, the local commitment fades, and that is why the project becomes a no-start. Mr. Dent. Well, I would be very happy to further discuss this issue with you. Mr. Simpson. Absolutely. We will contact you as soon as soon as we leave here. Mr. Dent. Thanks for your testimony. Okay. And just one final question that I have. The FTA, as you know, has been working with FHWA to develop a mobility measure that explicitly includes congestion relief benefits to highway users and pedestrian ridership of transit systems. What is the status of that effort? Mr. Simpson. We have allocated some research dollars. I believe it is $100,000. We are working with FHWA as we speak because, as this Committee asks us to do all the time, to measure all of the benefits that accrue to a given transportation project, and what we don't measure right now is if we were to build a new transit project in a corridor--let's take your project. Let's say we build your project. What we haven't been able to do is--and let's say I-78 from Allentown going to Newark, everybody wanted to go to Newark on I-78, and we are at peak period in the travel, you know, it is congest. The I-78 can get congested, as you know. So let's say the transit project is good enough where we are able to take off a portion of those vehicles that now ride transit. Well, we pick up the benefit of the folks riding transit, but we don't pick up the travel time savings that accrue to the people that stay in the automobiles. So what we are saying is--I mean, this would be the best case scenario--if it took an hour to get from Allentown to Clinton in traffic, maybe it would take 40 minutes for all those other drivers if we took 5 percent of the drivers off the road. We want to be able to measure that and measure that within cost-effectiveness, because it truly is a benefit of travel time savings. Mr. Dent. Thank you. I will yield back to the Chairman. Mr. DeFazio. Ms. Hirono, do you have further questions? [No response.] Mr. DeFazio. Mr. Boozman? Mr. Boozman. Very quickly. We appreciate your being here. You said that you needed at least 20 percent. In reality, what is that percent really, though? Now, because of the---- Mr. Simpson. An average? I would say it is averaging about 50 percent. Mr. Boozman. So it is about 50. And that is just because of the competition, the people that are saying that they will come up with 50 percent? Mr. Simpson. Well, you know, it is a whole host of things. I mean, if we have got a couple of projects in New York that were mega projects, literally in the billions, so you could easily wipe out 20, 30 percent of the statutory authority if you were to fund it at the maximum. So we really work closely with the transit agencies, and that has really not been a problem with us. We bend where we have to. You know, I am surprised that there are that many questions on that topic, but that is something that never crosses my desk, it is really never an issue. I guess there is an understanding out there with the transit properties where we are at on that. Mr. Boozman. So there is enough competition out there that people will come up with the dollars up to the 50 percent? Mr. Simpson. Yes. Mr. Boozman. It makes it tough if somebody without as much resource only has a 20 percent. That really---- Mr. Simpson. We understand that and we work with the grant recipients. Mr. Boozman. Okay. Thank you very much. Thank you for being here. Mr. Simpson. Thank you. Mr. DeFazio. One last question. SAFETEA-LU authorized a study that is being, as I understand it, done jointly under the auspices or sponsorship of FTA and HUD, Reconnecting America, which is to--we have been talking about sort of the economic benefits that result from transit projects, but we haven't really gotten into this aspect of it, which is the linkage between affordable housing and transit, and I am wondering when that study's results are going to be available. Again, it is sort of like my last question. Are those results going to be available before you finalize your NPRM? Mr. Simpson. Mr. Chairman, to my knowledge, that study has been published and it has been out for at least six months. Mr. DeFazio. Okay. Mr. Simpson. And if you would like to talk about the results of the study, I can, but the study has been--and I apologize if your office has not gotten a copy of it. Mr. DeFazio. So, again, those results will inform the rule to some extent. To the extent they find there is a linkage between affordable housing or the potential for affordable housing would seem to me, again, to be a benefit that would need to be looked at in evaluating transit projects. Mr. Simpson. You know, we do that within the mobility factor, but I will tell you what the takeaway for me was with that study. We have said it here, that as a result of building transportation multi-use development around transit nodes, the price value goes up. It is more expensive to rent an apartment or to buy an apartment or a home which is within walking distance of a transit property. And the people who need to be able to walk and to get to work the most are the people sometimes who can't afford it, and it is a concern that we have at FTA and it is a concern that HUD has, and we have talked about it. Mr. DeFazio. Sure. Well, that is a general urban redevelopment rule of thumb, but some communities, for instance, not to be totally parochial, but Portland has a requirement on the developers that they provide a certain number of affordable units in doing their developments. So, I mean, the question is since we talked about you get scored for planning and those sorts of things, would you get some benefit or scoring for having a policy to provide affordable housing in these corridors? Mr. Simpson. Absolutely. We capture it under transit dependent mobility, and it is---- Mr. DeFazio. So that will be expressed in the final rule, then, that this would be---- Mr. Simpson. Well, the proposal that we have right now on the street clearly articulates that. Mr. DeFazio. Because it certainly would--some entities haven't done that, and it would certainly potentially encourage entities who are interested in qualifying a project to undertake to see that, as the development took place, that they were providing for some place for affordable housing. Mr. Simpson. Well, FTA and the DOT believes in that and HUD believes in that and the Administration believes in that, so we will make sure that it is part of it. Mr. DeFazio. Okay, thank you. I have no further questions. Mr. Duncan? [No response.] Mr. DeFazio. All right, with that, we thank you once again for providing your time and your expertise, Mr. Administrator, and we look forward to a totally transmogrified final rule. Mr. Simpson. It has been a pleasure and honor to be here, and as I said in the past, I look forward to our next hearing. Mr. DeFazio. I would call the next panel: Mr. Christopher Zimmerman, Arlington County Board Member; Mr. Michael Townes, Hampton Roads Transit; Mr. Mark E. Huffer, Kansas City Transportation Authority; and Ms. Shelley Poticha, Reconnecting America, although she does have an Oregon connection. TESTIMONY OF CHRISTOPHER ZIMMERMAN, ARLINGTON COUNTY BOARD, BOARD MEMBER, ARLINGTON, VA; MICHAEL TOWNES, HAMPTON ROADS TRANSIT, EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR, HAMPTON, VA; MARK E. HUFFER, KANSAS CITY AREA TRANSIT AUTHORITY, GENERAL MANAGER, KANSAS CITY, MO; AND SHELLEY POTICHA, RECONNECTING AMERICA, PRESIDENT AND CEO, OAKLAND, CA Mr. Zimmerman. I have always thought it should be a prerequisite for service in higher office that one serve in local government first. Thank you, Mr. Chairman and Members of the Subcommittee. I am pleased to be here this morning. I am Chris Zimmerman, a member of the County Board of Arlington, Virginia, right here across the river, in which capacity I serve on the various regional transportation bodies around here, like the Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority and the Northern Virginia Transportation Authority. I have submitted, of course, a full statement for the record, but I just wanted to make a few comments and then answer your questions. The community that I have the opportunity to represent is today a very thriving urbanizing community that enjoys extremely low employment, extremely low office vacancy rates, and is widely cited as a model of what is now called smart growth nationally and even internationally. Five years ago, when the Environmental Protection Agency gave their first smart growth award for overall excellence, it was to Arlington for the Roslyn-Ballston corridor. That stands in contrast to where it was a generation ago, when it was a fairly typical declining inner ring suburb, with declining population, with schools that were emptying out, with retail that was really dying. When you wanted to go to a restaurant, you went outside. When you wanted to go shopping, you went outside. It has really turned around in the last generation largely because of the foresight of people who served before me, but also because they were able to leverage a big public investment with a significant Federal contribution in the Metro system, and then use that effectively to create the Roslyn-Ballston corridor and the Jefferson Davis corridor, which are about 10 percent of the land area of my very small county, smallest county in America, effectively at 26 square miles. Ten percent of that land is generating half the tax revenue that we collect. The 26 square miles in Arlington, out of a Northern Virginia region of over 1,000 square miles, accounts for about 60 percent of the transit ridership. Sixty percent of all trips in Northern Virginia begin or end in Arlington. We have some of the highest transit usage, with over 23 percent of rush hour trips being made--of workday trips, I should say, being made on transit; and in our Metro corridors it is more like 40 percent. Now, the reason I cite all this is that I believe that if the rules that are in place now, or that are proposed now, were in place at the time, that that transit investment could not have been made. I don't believe Arlington would have qualified for the funding that made this possible under the regulations as they are now being pursued by the FTA. As it happens, today we are looking at the next generation of transit development, and we are looking both to redevelop in the Crystal City area, where we have the biggest impact of BRAC from the last round anywhere in the Country, with 18,000 jobs scheduled to leave Crystal City; and we are looking at what has to be done to make it again a vibrant economic center, and we are looking at transit investments obviously as part of that. Not far from there and connected to it, hopefully, is the Columbia Pike corridor, where we are looking to transform what has been an automobile-oriented strip into a more walkable main street, and we have a streetcar project, very much modeled on the Portland streetcar, which we think has the same kind of potential for economic growth and transforming an area, really, that you have seen in Portland. However, we don't think that the current rules will make it possible for us to get any help from the FTA and the Federal Government the way they are proposed now, and we are looking at what we have to do and what we can accomplish on our own because we really don't see any way that we would qualify. The specific rules that are being promulgated would make it very difficult for our projects to qualify, which seems fairly strange because they look like exactly the kind of projects that you intended in passing the last law. The Columbia Pike streetcar project, for instance, which is about a five to six mile stretch, is a project under $250 million, probably $120 million, $140 million, something like that. If we could get 50 percent money, then $60 million, $70 million, something like that, would seem to be within the parameters. But the way the rules are being promoted, we would not likely qualify. The ridership that we have been able to encourage already is held against us rather than working for us. The additional funds that we will put in and the higher costs that are involved in an urban area work against us, even when we are spending our own money. So, in short, this is fairly frustrating and seems to us to be counter to the intentions of Congress in passing the last act. Finally, let me just say that I think our commitment to transit as an integral part of community and economic development would be the model that was intended and that you would want to promote in the interest not only of our region, but the Nation, but it doesn't seem to be the model that the proposed regulations would promote. Again, Mr. Chairman, thank you very much for inviting me here. I look forward to your questions. Mr. DeFazio. Thank you, Mr. Zimmerman. Mr. Townes. Mr. Townes. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. It is an honor to be here with you today. I appreciate the opportunity to testify on the Notice of Proposed Rulemaking. I want to note that while I am the incoming chair of the American Public Transportation Association, the testimony that I present today represents my views, and not those of APTA, regarding the proposed rulemaking. I also want to note that on October the 1st, the City of Norfolk, Virginia, the entire Hampton Roads region and HRT will celebrate the signing of a full funding grant agreement for $232.2 million for a 7.4 mile starter light rail line in the City of Norfolk. I want to thank Congresswoman Drake, who was here earlier, for her strong consistent support of this project, as well as Administrator Simpson for making this project a reality. I don't have enough time to touch on all the points that I think are important with the proposed rulemaking, but I will touch on three in the time that I have, and that includes provisions not included in SAFETEA-LU that are in the proposed rulemaking, the land use and economic development measures weights, and the weight given to cost effectiveness, things you have talked about earlier today. The Notice of Proposed Rulemaking contains provisions that were not addressed by Congress when it adopted the Safe Accountable Flexible Efficient Transportation Equity Act, a legacy for users, but represents substantial changes to the New Starts program. The proposed rulemaking would change the definition of fixed guideway and allow New Starts and Small Starts funds to be used for high occupancy toll lanes. This proposed change is not found anywhere in 49 U.S.C. 5309. This change is intended to alter the purpose and focus of the New Starts program. The only conclusion that can be drawn from this proposed change is that the FTA intends to diminish the historical investment and traditionally fixed guideway projects. I would also note that there is no requirement that the transit service which served to establish the amount of the section 5309 investment be maintained after the project is built. Now, why would the FTA support funding a project where there is no ongoing commitment to maintaining transit service in the corridor? The proposed rulemaking also seeks to redefine these projects that are eligible under the Small Starts program and develop a program that is not neutral as to project eligibility or the level of project review. I have identified those changes in my written testimony; I won't belabor that point. With regard to land use and economic development measures and weights, Congress amended section 5309 in SAFETEA-LU by emphasizing the importance of land use and economic development when it moved these criteria from the consideration subsection to the project justification subsection. To the outside observer, it seems clear that the intent of Congress was to put greater weight and emphasis in the New Starts project evaluation and review process on land use and economic development. Instead, the proposed rulemaking diminishes the weight to be given to land use by combining it with economic development as a single factor and assigning only 20 percent to that weight. Moreover, 5309 establishes separate criteria for land use and economic development, which would appear to clearly indicate an intent by Congress to develop separate measures for each. Instead, the proposed rulemaking not only reduces the weight and emphasis given to land use and economic development, but merges them into a single criteria rather than developing separate measures. Furthermore, FTA states that the cost to develop a measure for economic development that is distinctive from land use is overly costly and burdensome. Now, I don't recall that the cost or burden on transit authorities was an issue when FTA developed the Summit software and implemented the TSUB measure for cost-effectiveness in 2002. While I don't know what it costs FTA to develop the software and implement TSUB, many communities, including mine, were required to spend several hundred thousand dollars to revise travel demand models to be able to interact with Summit and capture the user benefits in ridership. Finally, FTA should be rewarding communities that seek to concentrate economic development in project corridors or at stations through the use of local policies and incentives. The benefits of a project are not measured solely in terms of mobility improvements, but also on the impact of shaping economic development patterns. Finally, weights given to cost-effectiveness. Prior to the March and April Dear Colleague letters, FTA employed a multiple measure approach that enabled a medium or medium-high rating for land use to offset a medium-low rating for cost- effectiveness. Even with a medium-low rating on cost effectiveness, a project could not obtain an overall project rating of medium, based on receiving a medium or high rating on the land use plans in the region where the project was being built. The March and April 2005 Dear Colleague letters changed FTA's policy, but were not implemented as a permanent change to regulation. In the Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, FTA has not only chosen to require 50 percent weight for cost effectiveness, which effectively trumps all the other project evaluation or review criteria, but also attempts to make it permanent law through inclusion in the notice. I hope the Committee would agree that the proposed allocation of weight and excessive emphasis on cost effectiveness is contrary to your intent when you adopted SAFETEA-LU, and I hope that you would agree that the incorporation of specific weighting of criteria should not be included in the final rule, but continue to be left to guidance documents to enable FTA to shift the allocation of weights as might be appropriate in the future. Thank you for the opportunity. Mr. DeFazio. Thank you, Mr. Townes. Mr. Huffer. Mr. Huffer. Good morning, Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee. My name is Mark Huffer. I am the General Manager of the Kansas City Area Transportation Authority, also known as KCATA, and we are the regional transit authority serving the Kansas City, Kansas-Kansas City, Missouri metropolitan area. While we are pleased to make comments on the NPRM today regarding the New Starts program, I am going to limit my comments to the Small Starts and Very Small Starts categories only, as they are most closely related to two recent major capital investment projects in the Kansas City area, one of which is already implemented and the other one is planned. In 2005, KCATA opened the region's first bus rapid transit project known as MAX. MAX was built at a cost of approximately $3 million a mile and would have met all the criteria of a New Starts program had they been in place at that time. Since New Starts program was not in existence in 2002 through 2005, when we constructed this project, Federal funding was instead attained through a series of discretionary grants spread out over four Federal fiscal years. The uncertainty of Federal funding and the timing of the revenue stream presented significant challenges in making construction awards and phasing implementation of this project. Without a long-term Federal commitment, the scope and size of the project was changed numerous times. MAX has been an unqualified success. Ridership in the corridor is up over 40 percent. Thirty percent of our customers are new to public transit, and customer satisfaction is exceptionally high. Because of the success of this program, FTA has been very supportive of KCA's effort to expand into other corridors in the community and, in fact, MAX has already received Federal funding commitments of $24 million under the New Starts guideline to expand into the Troost corridor in 2009. In general, we applaud the congressional decision to establish a separate Small Starts category for New Starts funding in SAFETEA-LU. This program will allow projects like ours to move quickly, allowing the community to benefit from these projects at a quicker pace. I want to comment on Small Starts right now, and that is that the NPRM defines a Small Starts project as one with a total project cost under $250 million, with 5309 funding not to exceed $75 million. While we fully support the concept of Small Starts, we are concerned that the proposed changes do not go far enough in streaming the New Starts process for projects under Small Starts category. The process of getting to an FTA funding decision on a Small Starts project still appears to be arduous and time-consuming, requiring nearly the full range of FTA New Starts criteria and processes. We believe it was Congress's intent to enable recipients to expedite implementation of significant capital investments; yet, the New Starts evaluation criteria require a full alternatives analysis, as well as a NEPA environmental study, regardless of the nature of the project. These two elements are among the most burdensome and deliberative steps in receiving Federal funds. There is little advantage to seeking Small Starts funding as long as these requirements are not changed. Additionally, we believe that FTA should reconsider and clarify the provision that prohibits a corridor project from being divided into several Small Starts projects. We concur that a corridor should not receive several Small Starts funding for projects concurrently, and that projects should not be artificially segmented just to qualify as a Small Start. However, given the long lead times and high capital costs for implementation of major capital investment projects, phased implementation is a realistic approach, and the benefits of such approaches should be recognized. For example, if a metropolitan area makes a decision to build a 20 mile corridor, it might choose to implement the system in three separate phases over several years. If the phasing is appropriate and NEPA requirements met, FTA should consider each phase for Small Starts funding eligibility, even though the total 20 mile line might otherwise qualify for New Starts. In regards to Very Small Starts, this has been a program that we believe will be beneficial to Kansas City. As a result of the less stringent requirements for the Very Small Starts program, we will be able to implement the Troost BRT-MAX corridor project within four years of corridor planning. We are generally supportive of FTA's Very Small Starts requirements, but we believe that FTA should consider eliminating the local financial commitment criteria regarding local overmatch of Federal funds. We recognize that FTA will not rate any project below medium for failure to overmatch, but question whether it should be an evaluation criteria for projects of this size at all. Similar comments in New Starts regarding Small Starts. We believe FTA should reconsider and clarify how the requirement requiring all projects in the corridor to be considered together for evaluation purposes will be implemented. If multiple-phase projects qualify and are appropriately defined with independent utility, KCATA believes each phase should be independently evaluated as a Very Small project. We do have a concern that the $3 million per mile threshold, even exclusive of vehicle acquisition, will result in a modal bias toward bus projects. Further, we encourage FTA to consider raising that threshold or at least indexing it to allow for inflationary growth, because it is very possible that within several years, even BRT projects will not be able to be built at $3 million a mile. Finally, we react very favorably to the concept of the project construction grant agreement for Very Small projects. We find this to be a beneficial requirement that will provide the same assurance as a full funding agreement for much larger projects. We thank the Congress for your interest in this. We support the direction taken by Congress and FTA to streamline the New Starts process and encourage FTA to consider all possibilities to continue to make the process from beginning to end more expedited. Mr. DeFazio. Thank you, Mr. Huffer. Ms. Poticha, we have about seven and a half minutes to go, so rather than hurry through your testimony, I think we will reserve your testimony until after the short recess, and then we will proceed to questions. At that point, I have to go to the markup in resources and Ms. Hirono will take the chair, unless Chairman Oberstar wants to take the chair. He can always have the chair whenever he wants. So, with that, we will stand in recess until probably about 15 minutes ago. Thank you. [Recess.] Ms. Hirono. [Presiding] We are back. Good afternoon. Okay, we are on Ms. Poticha. Please proceed. Ms. Poticha. Good afternoon, Members of the Committee. Thank you very much for the opportunity to appear before you today. I am Shelley Poticha, President of Reconnecting America, a national nonprofit dedicated to using transit investments to spur a new wave of development that improves housing affordability and choice, revitalizes downtowns and urban and suburban neighborhoods, and creates lasting value for our communities. We host the Center for Transit-Oriented Development, and thanks to language included by this Committee in SAFETEA-LU, we receive Federal funding to provide standards, guidance, and research on transit-oriented development for the 40 regions that either have or are planning new transit lines. As I go from region to region, it is clear that there is a thirst for new and increased investments in transit. First of all, transit ridership is at a 40-year high, with three- quarters of the growth coming from heavy, light, and commuter rail. We are finding that mayors value transit to help spur urban regeneration and reduce traffic congestion; businesses value transit because employees can get to work on time; and transit is viewed as a key amenity in attracting the highly desirable creative class to local economies Developers see an untapped market for housing near transit and are designing new products and new neighborhoods to meet this demand. And communities recognize that when all the pieces come together, transit can help improve the quality of life and lower cost of living. A common thread in every one of these places is the recognition that transit is a powerful tool that is made more powerful when combined with proactive land use an economic development strategies. Despite these encouraging trends, we hear frequent complaints about the Federal partnership. Funding for transit is not keeping up with demand or rising construction costs. The length of time, the complexity, and the added cost of trying to navigate the Federal New Starts process is increasing and placing an undue burden on transit projects, while high rate projects receive much less scrutiny. There is a growing concern, whether real or perceived, that including a full range of amenities, streetscape improvements, and pedestrian safety enhancements in a proposed transit project will jeopardize Federal funding. Yet, these are the very features that help maximize walking trips to transit and create high value urbanism. Local concern over meeting the cost-effectiveness index has led some communities to short-change the number of transit stations, rail cars, or corridor enhancements that would help meet or even exceed 20 year ridership projections. In addition, our research shows that actual ridership on many recently built transit lines is higher than predicted by FTA's Transit System User Benefit or TSUB model. Some lines, such as Minnesota's Hiawatha Light Rail and the Metro Red Line in Houston are outperforming their ridership estimates 15 years ahead of projections. This raises significant concerns about the substantial weight placed on these model results. The good news is that over-performing lines give transit agencies and communities the momentum and political capital to expand their transit systems to benefit more of a region, but the bad news is that these over-performing lines are resulting in a shortage of transit vehicles, parking spaces, inadequate tracking or maintenance facilities, or the inaccurate evaluation may have contributed to a downgrading to lower capacity technologies. Ridership numbers are the primary input into the FTA's model to compute cost-effectiveness. Last fall, in response to requests by FTA for specific guidance on how economic development could be evaluated and defined apart from the land use criteria, our Center for Transit-Oriented Development commissioned research on the topic; convened meetings with academics, practitioners, and economists; and we found that there are different definitions of economic development that are being used. Without congressional direction on how to interpret economic development, FTA appears to be trying to define economic development as the impact of a proposed transit investment on the regional economy; whereas, local governments and practitioners are trying to maximize and coordinate the transit investment to leverage and focus economic development and growth in a proposed corridor. We believe that there are a number of commonly used indicators and metrics for evaluating economic development that could be incorporated into the transit evaluation process, and they do not require the creation of a new black box model. The Federal New Starts and Small Starts programs sets the rules for engagement in how communities coordinate proposed transit investments with larger regional decisions about population growth and economic development. I urge you to remain steadfast in your intent to implement this congressional directive. We need a strong partner for communities that are trying to create new transit investments that provide residents with greater transportation choices, use transit as a development strategy, and promote more travel options that reduce greenhouse gas emissions. We cannot afford a Federal transit policy that may result in less transit being built or that makes it more costly and uncertain to obtain Federal funding. We would welcome the opportunity to work with FTA on these processes and rules to help create a fair economic development and land use set of evaluation processes. Thank you very much for the opportunity to appear before you today. Ms. Hirono. Thank you very much to all of the panelists, and we will begin questioning. I would just like to start by asking Mr. Zimmerman, you heard me question Mr. Simpson regarding the directive that they issued in July of this year. Do you have a concern that FTA will use their July 20th directive, which does give weight to the cost benefit factor, that they would use that in their analysis of New Starts and of Small Starts pending the adoption of the new rules, which could take a while? Mr. Zimmerman. Yes, that is precisely the concern. Of course, the way it is drawn up, the cost factors seem to work against us; the benefit factors work against us with things multiplied by cost--you know, costs including things potentially that desire expense, in any case, or enhancements we may make that may make the investment more valuable in the long-run; and, on the other hand, the benefit side not counting for some of the real reasons for making the investment in the first place, which the statute seem to include as two distinct criteria. So, you know, with the indication that that is the way they are going to evaluate any proposal, it leads me to question whether there is any point in submitting such a proposal. Ms. Hirono. So pending the adoption of the new rules--and we hope that they will be changed to reflect the will of Congress and the underlying legislation--what can we do so that--I am a new Member of Congress, so I need to ask these questions. What can we do to direct the FTA to not impose these kinds of percentage requirements that are not in the statute? Mr. Zimmerman. Well, it would be my hope that Congress could give pretty clear direction that it meant what it said, perhaps by some of the things that I think Ms. Poticha was suggesting, you know, perhaps providing a more clear definition, you know, going beyond what you have already done. I mean, I imagine it must be very frustrating, frankly. The government I work in, the management doesn't get to not do what we put in law. But that certainly looks to me like what is happening here. But if you can't get them to do what you already told them, perhaps you have to give them more specific instruction. Other than that, I am not really sure. Ms. Hirono. Thank you. Mr. Huffer, you indicated that you basically support the direction of these new rules as it relates to your State and what you are doing there, is that correct? Mr. Huffer. Generally for and in particularly for Very Small Starts program. Ms. Hirono. Very Small Starts. You heard some of the other testimony that the proposal for the Very Small Starts could actually push a lot of jurisdictions into going in that direction so that they don't have to undergo the full range of analysis and assessment. Is that of concern to you? Mr. Huffer. Our primary concern with Very Small Starts relates to the cost per mile. We think that that probably prohibits streetcars and forces communities into bus rapid transit. We have two bus rapid transit projects, one developed that was under $3 million per mile, including vehicles, and one that is being developed that will be under $3 million excluding vehicles. But we fully believe that we would never be able to do even a BRT in future years with that $3 million threshold in there. Ms. Hirono. So aside from wanting to increase that $3 million per mile, you don't share the concerns expressed by I think it was Mr. Townes, that the new Very Small Starts would actually move a lot of projects into those modes of transportation that would be covered under---- Mr. Huffer. Our primary concern, again, is that it would prohibit communities from proceeding with a streetcar project. But what we do like is that, as Administrator Simpson said, those projects are small enough that they pretty much automatically qualify for Federal funding, and you can really expedite that process at that point. But we do have issues with some of those items as it relates to Very Small Starts. Ms. Hirono. Thank you. Do the Members have any questions? Mr. Boozman? Mr. Boozman. Thank you, Madam Chair. Mr. Townes, congratulations on moving your Norfolk light rail project through the New Starts process and executing your full funding grant agreement next Monday, October 1st. Having just been through this process under the current New Starts rules, do you believe that any of the changes in the new proposed rule will make the process easier or faster than for the project sponsors? You are a guy that has just gone through this. Are any of the proposed changes, do you feel like that will help or speed up the process? Mr. Townes. No, sir, I don't believe that the process, as outlined in the Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, will go any faster or be any less complicated, and I don't think it is fair or reflects the intent of this Committee or Congress in terms of bringing new measures into the process so that the true benefits, not just the cost-effectiveness benefits, of these projects are recognized. Mr. Boozman. Okay. Very good. Mr. Huffer, do you believe that a bus rapid transit project such as the Metro Area Express or the Troost corridor BRT generates transit-supportive land use and positive economic development effects? And can you give us some examples? Mr. Huffer. Sure. We will say, first o fall, yes, we do believe that it does produce positive economic development effects and does help with transit corridor development, but not to the extent to rail. We would never believe that to be the case. But I think a good example is on our main street MAX, our first project that was open, the businesses in that corridor formed a community improvement district by which they tax themselves and hired additional security, additional people to clean litter control, just because they saw that as an advantage; they saw that MAX was working in the corridor, and to them it was helping to bring new businesses in, and they wanted to present additional face. So they actually tax themselves to form a CID. Mr. Boozman. Ms. Poticha, did I get that right? Ms. Poticha. Poticha. Mr. Boozman. Good. Ms. Poticha. Yes. Thanks. Mr. Boozman. I am Boozman, Bozeman, whatever. [Laughter.] Ms. Poticha. I can relate. Mr. Boozman. Reconnecting America, has it looked at better ways to estimate and incorporate the New Starts evaluation process pedestrian use of transit? You touched on that earlier, I think, about pedestrian being important, to get there so you can get on the--can you kind of elaborate on that a little bit? Ms. Poticha. Well, we have a database of every fixed transit station in the United States and we are able to pull data on how people get around in the neighborhoods that touch the transit stations, and what we have done is that people who live in areas within a half mile of a transit stop walk, bike, and take transit four times as much as their peers in the region. I think one of the challenges in the way that transit projects are evaluated now is that the measurement of those pedestrians is often lost in the computer modeling, and, in fact, although I am not a modeling expert, I have heard from many of the academics and practitioners that the current models that generate ridership are not sensitive to pedestrians and don't fully measure those. That is part of the reason why we have been doing research on the tracking of projected ridership that is being generated through this FTA computer model and actual ridership, and what we are finding is that in many, many cases the ridership exceeds or is far accelerated beyond what is estimated by the computer model. I think much of this may be coming from this wave of transit-oriented development that has happened in the last 10 years around many, many transit stations in the United States, creating this whole market for neighborhoods where people can walk to transit, walk to services. And, yet, I think in many ways that is not being captured very well by the current system. Mr. Boozman. Well, thank you all very much. I appreciate it. This is so important. You know, we talk about economic development; we talk about the benefit of reducing emissions, all of the things that we are concerned about, but also it really is important for single moms and single dads who don't have the resources to commute. If you can't do that, you can't have a job, and then also for our seniors. You know, many of them are able to continue to live in their homes because they can get out and shop and do the things that they need to do with just a little bit of help of transportation. So, again, thank you all very much. Ms. Hirono. I have a few more questions. Some of you may be aware, possibly not, that Honolulu is one of the New Starts cities, and I know that, in working with the mayor there on obtaining Federal funding, that it is certainly not just a question of cost-effectiveness, but there is a lot of discussion around how can we revitalize those areas that the transit stops will be in and economic development. Those are very real issues just because FTA may not have quite the models that they feel are reliable. I have a question for Ms. Poticha. FTA has argued that it is too difficult and costly to separate land use from economic development factors and is, thus, proposing a single combined measure of effectiveness. What are your thoughts about this approach? Ms. Poticha. Well, I have been an urban planner for about 25 years, and a vast majority of my career has been around working with communities who are trying to build communities around transit. It is very important for communities to plan the kinds of land uses that happen around transit to change their zoning codes so that mixed use walkable neighborhoods can actually be built. In many places, as these transit lines come in, the rules don't allow those kinds of neighborhoods to be built and so there is an effort that needs to be done to prepare the land use policies to even allow these neighborhoods to be possible. But that is not sufficient, in my opinion, to generate the kinds of neighborhoods that truly capture the value that transit provides, and what we are seeing is the most successful places are places that have put in place financial tools that help support and incentivize development to come to these areas; that create the sites where development can actually happen. In many of these places you are running your transit line through an existing community. You might have a zoning that allows transit-oriented uses, but that is often prevented because the land maybe hasn't been assembled in any real way. So there are a whole set of tools that can be used to work with the private sector to ensure that economic development happens and that this kind of glomeration and clustering of uses and activity truly takes place. So I would say that they are related, but they are different, and both are necessary in order to truly maximize the public's investment in this transportation infrastructure. Ms. Hirono. So would you agree that FTA is perhaps jumping the gun in trying to codify certain percentages that does not give the kind of weight that some of us would like to give to those other factors? Ms. Poticha. Well, I have heard a lot about the challenges of creating a predictive computer model that would generate an estimate of economic development benefits from a particular transit investment, and I had always thought that the most appropriate way to evaluate transit projects was a combination of predictive models and some qualitative measures, because communities are very complex places. And as we are now learning when we look at these ridership models, they are not necessarily accurate. So I would--one of the things that we found through all of our research and commissioning papers from various academics and practitioners who work with economic development on a regular basis is that probably the best way to look at economic development is a combination of qualitative and quantitative metrics. Ms. Hirono. That sounds like a yes answer to me. Yes. Thank you. Ms. Poticha. Well, I would also say that we looked at some of the full funding grant agreements that have been made since 2000, and one of the things that is a worry to me is that there are 14 projects on this list--which I can submit to you--that received either a low or a medium-low cost-effectiveness rating through the FTA's evaluation process. And yet, when land use, which was one of the factors, was included into the evaluation, they rose up high enough in order to get funding. So, clearly, there is a recognition of the benefits of these other factors, and I would say that we should continue to do that and improve upon it. Ms. Hirono. Thank you. And I would like you to submit the 14 projects. Ms. Poticha. I would be happy to. Ms. Hirono. If there are no further questions, thank you. This hearing is adjourned. I would like to thank once again all of the panelists for giving us the benefit of your views. 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